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SITESiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc.Sell5.5·$112.39+2.36%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

SiteOne Landscape Supply offers 30% analyst upside with a strong 4.5:1 reward-to-risk ratio and rising earnings estimates, but a confirmed death cross, negative 2.6% monthly moving average decline, elevated put-to-call ratio of 2.62, and below-floor business quality scores make the near-term technical picture challenging for new entry.

Thesis pillars

  • High Analyst Upside With Improving EstimatesStable
  • Confirmed Death Cross DowntrendStable
  • Elevated Put Call Options CautionStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. (SITE) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Industrial Distribution

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $112.39 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Our business, operations, and financial condition are subject to various risks as set forth in Part I, Item 1A., ''Risk Factors'' below. The following information should be read in conjunction with the Risk Factors, Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and... Read more

$112.39+24.4% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#7 of 20 Industrial Distribution
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield3.60%
Stop $104.52Target $139.83(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.3:1
Analyst target$160.73+43.0%11 analysts
$139.83our TP
$112.39price
$160.73mean
$200

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $112.39 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 58. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 25d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202625d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Earnings estimates trending UP
Analyst upside: 24%
Risks
Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)33.3
P/E (Fwd)20.8
Mkt Cap$5.0B
EV/EBITDA16.1
Profit Mgn3.2%
ROE10.0%
Rev Growth0.1%
Beta1.34
DividendNone
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C0.15bullish
IV63%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.1
Quality Rank
3.8
Value Rank
4.1

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
2.8
Support Resistance
3.1
52w Position
3.3
Gap
5.0
GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 25d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $100.52Resistance $117.83

Price Targets

$105
$140
A.Upside+24.4%
A.R:R2.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 4.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (25d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SITE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $112.39 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 58. Prior stop was $104.52. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SITE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $139.83 (+24.4% upside). Prior stop was $104.52. Stop-loss: $104.52.

What are the risks of investing in SITE?

Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is SITE overvalued or undervalued?

SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. trades at a P/E of 33.3 (forward 20.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SITE?

18 analysts cover SITE with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $161.

What does SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. do?Our business, operations, and financial condition are subject to various risks as set forth in Part I, Item 1A., ''Risk...

Our business, operations, and financial condition are subject to various risks as set forth in Part I, Item 1A., ''Risk Factors'' below. The following information should be read in conjunction with the Risk Factors, Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations, and the Financial Statements and Supplementary Data and related notes included elsewhere in this Annual Report on Form 10-K.

Related stocks: REZI (Resideo Technologies, Inc.) · GIC (Global Industrial Company) · MSM (MSC Industrial Direct Company, ) · DNOW (DNOW Inc.) · WCC (WESCO International, Inc.)
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