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SITESiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc.Buy Wait5.7·$99.87+1.25%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

SiteOne Landscape Supply offers 30% analyst upside with a strong 4.5:1 reward-to-risk ratio and rising earnings estimates, but a confirmed death cross, negative 2.6% monthly moving average decline, elevated put-to-call ratio of 2.62, and below-floor business quality scores make the near-term technical picture challenging for new entry.

Thesis pillars

  • High Analyst Upside With Improving EstimatesStable
  • Confirmed Death Cross DowntrendDeteriorating
  • Elevated Put Call Options CautionDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. (SITE) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

Buy WaitGrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Industrial Distribution

Earnings in 3 days (2026-07-29). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $96.33. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $99.87. Engine's entry $96.33 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

Our business, operations, and financial condition are subject to various risks as set forth in Part I, Item 1A., ''Risk Factors'' below. The following information should be read in conjunction with the Risk Factors, Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and... Read more

$99.87+36.8% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#7 of 19 Industrial Distribution
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield4.05%
Entry $96.33(1 ATR pullback)Stop $89.59Target $136.66(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 5.2:1
Analyst target$157.08+57.3%12 analysts
$136.66our TP
$99.87price
$157.08mean
$200

Wait for pullback to $96.33. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $99.87. Engine's entry $96.33 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 27, MACD bearish. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 20263d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
No bear case signals

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)29.1
P/E (Fwd)18.4
Mkt Cap$4.4B
EV/EBITDA14.6
Profit Mgn3.2%
ROE10.0%
Rev Growth0.1%
Beta1.34
DividendNone
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C4.00bearish
IV61%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.0
Volume
3.7
Capitulation risk (RSI 27, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.4%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 1.7<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dA.R:R 5.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Speculative
RSI
27 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $98.17Resistance $116.80

Price Targets

$90
$96
$137
A.Upside+36.8%
A.R:R5.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 3 days - binary event risk
! momentum at 1.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SITE stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $96.33. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $99.87. Engine's entry $96.33 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 27, MACD bearish. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $136.66 (+36.8%), stop $89.59 (−11.5%), A.R:R 5.2:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SITE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $136.66 (+36.8% upside). Target $136.66 (+36.8%), stop $89.59 (−11.5%), A.R:R 5.2:1. Stop-loss: $89.59.

Is SITE overvalued or undervalued?

SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. trades at a P/E of 29.1 (forward 18.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about SITE?

18 analysts cover SITE with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $157.

What does SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. do?Our business, operations, and financial condition are subject to various risks as set forth in Part I, Item 1A., ''Risk...

Our business, operations, and financial condition are subject to various risks as set forth in Part I, Item 1A., ''Risk Factors'' below. The following information should be read in conjunction with the Risk Factors, Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations, and the Financial Statements and Supplementary Data and related notes included elsewhere in this Annual Report on Form 10-K.

Related stocks: GIC (Global Industrial Company) · DNOW (DNOW Inc.) · WCC (WESCO International, Inc.) · REZI (Resideo Technologies, Inc.) · MSM (MSC Industrial Direct Company, )
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