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SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. (SITE) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Industrial Distribution

Sell if holding. At $127.22, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum.

Our business, operations, and financial condition are subject to various risks as set forth in Part I, Item 1A., ''Risk Factors'' below. The following information should be read in conjunction with the Risk Factors, Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and... Read more

$127.22+14.7% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#4 of 17 Industrial Distribution
Stop $118.32Target $145.92(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.4:1
Analyst target$167.73+31.8%11 analysts
$145.92our TP
$127.22price
$167.73mean
$200

Sell if holding. At $127.22, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/6 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)35.8
P/E (Fwd)22.5
Mkt Cap$5.4B
EV/EBITDA19.2
Profit Mgn3.2%
ROE9.6%
Rev Growth3.2%
Beta1.57
DividendNone
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C0.45bullish
IV51%elevated
Max Pain$120-5.7% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-31Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers.** On March 31, 2026, SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.7
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.4%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
2.7
Growth Rank
3.1
Value Rank
4.3
GatesMomentum 1.9<4.5A.R:R 1.4 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $118.12Resistance $150.82

Price Targets

$118
$146
A.Upside+14.7%
A.R:R1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 1.4:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-29 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SITE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $127.22, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $118.32. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SITE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $145.92 (+14.7% upside). Prior stop was $118.32. Stop-loss: $118.32.

What are the risks of investing in SITE?

Negative momentum.

Is SITE overvalued or undervalued?

SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. trades at a P/E of 35.8 (forward 22.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SITE?

18 analysts cover SITE with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $168.

What does SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. do?Our business, operations, and financial condition are subject to various risks as set forth in Part I, Item 1A., ''Risk...

Our business, operations, and financial condition are subject to various risks as set forth in Part I, Item 1A., ''Risk Factors'' below. The following information should be read in conjunction with the Risk Factors, Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations, and the Financial Statements and Supplementary Data and related notes included elsewhere in this Annual Report on Form 10-K.

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