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SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. (SITE) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Industrial Distribution

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $110.71 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Our business, operations, and financial condition are subject to various risks as set forth in Part I, Item 1A., ''Risk Factors'' below. The following information should be read in conjunction with the Risk Factors, Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and... Read more

$110.71+26.3% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#10 of 17 Industrial Distribution
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield3.65%
Stop $106.72Target $139.83(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.2:1
Analyst target$160.73+45.2%11 analysts
$139.83our TP
$110.71price
$160.73mean
$200

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $110.71 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 36, MACD bearish. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 69d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 26%
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)32.8
P/E (Fwd)20.5
Mkt Cap$4.9B
EV/EBITDA15.9
Profit Mgn3.2%
ROE10.0%
Rev Growth0.1%
Beta1.42
DividendNone
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C10.00bearish
IV45%normal
Max Pain$95-14.2% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-31Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers.** On March 31, 2026, SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Volume
2.5
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.4%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.6
Quality Rank
2.7
Value Rank
4.7
GatesMomentum 1.8<4.5A.R:R 3.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 69d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
36 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $110.02Resistance $147.32

Price Targets

$107
$140
A.Upside+26.3%
A.R:R3.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.8/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (69d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SITE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $110.71 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 36, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $106.72. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SITE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $139.83 (+26.3% upside). Prior stop was $106.72. Stop-loss: $106.72.

What are the risks of investing in SITE?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Negative momentum.

Is SITE overvalued or undervalued?

SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. trades at a P/E of 32.8 (forward 20.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SITE?

18 analysts cover SITE with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $161.

What does SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc. do?Our business, operations, and financial condition are subject to various risks as set forth in Part I, Item 1A., ''Risk...

Our business, operations, and financial condition are subject to various risks as set forth in Part I, Item 1A., ''Risk Factors'' below. The following information should be read in conjunction with the Risk Factors, Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations, and the Financial Statements and Supplementary Data and related notes included elsewhere in this Annual Report on Form 10-K.

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