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Xometry, Inc. (XMTR) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Industrial Distribution

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $86.00: Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 10%; Below-average business quality.

Xometry is an AI-native global online manufacturing marketplace connecting 81,821 active buyers with 4,996 active suppliers for custom manufacturing. In 2025, total revenue was $686.6M including $113M international (18% of marketplace revenue); the Thomasnet platform adds... Read more

$86.00+1.7% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#6 of 17 Industrial Distribution
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-0.13%
Stop $81.80Target $89.42(resistance)A.R:R -1.1:1
Analyst target$85.13-1.0%8 analysts
$89.42our TP
$86.00price
$85.13mean
$65
$100

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $86.00: Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 10%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 89. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.50, earnings proximity 76d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Xometry, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Target reached (-15.8% upside)
Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)71.9
Mkt Cap$4.6B
EV/EBITDA-292.4
Profit Mgn-7.0%
ROE-17.5%
Rev Growth35.9%
Beta1.00
DividendNone
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.13bullish
IV75%elevated
Max Pain$23-73.8% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-24Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Sanjeev Singh Sahni (President) appointed as CEO effective July 1, 2026; Randolph Altschuler (current CEO) transitioning to Executive Chair role. Named successor with clean handoff; no disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Unprofitable operations — net margin -7.0%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Gross Margin
3.9
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
6.3
Piotroski F
6.7
Cash-burning: FCF -1% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
8.8
Industry growth leader

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.7
Bollinger
1.6
52w Position
9.3
GatesA.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.50EARNINGS PROXIMITY 76d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
89 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $44.32Resistance $91.24

Price Targets

$82
$89
A.Upside+4.0%
A.R:R-1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-15.8% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (76d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is XMTR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $86.00: Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: High short interest: 10%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 89. Prior stop was $81.80. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the XMTR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $89.42 (+1.7% upside). Prior stop was $81.80. Stop-loss: $81.80.

What are the risks of investing in XMTR?

Target reached (-15.8% upside); Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0).

Is XMTR overvalued or undervalued?

Xometry, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 71.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about XMTR?

16 analysts cover XMTR with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $85.

What does Xometry, Inc. do?Xometry is an AI-native global online manufacturing marketplace connecting 81,821 active buyers with 4,996 active...

Xometry is an AI-native global online manufacturing marketplace connecting 81,821 active buyers with 4,996 active suppliers for custom manufacturing. In 2025, total revenue was $686.6M including $113M international (18% of marketplace revenue); the Thomasnet platform adds industrial advertising and supplier listing services.

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