QXO, Inc. (QXO) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup
Industrials · Industrial Distribution
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $17.02: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10 and A.R:R 5.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.
QXO is the largest publicly-traded distributor of roofing, waterproofing, and complementary building products in North America, operating ~600 branches across all 50 U.S. states and seven Canadian provinces after acquiring Beacon Roofing Supply in April 2025. It serves over... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $17.02: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10 and A.R:R 5.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 32, MACD bearish. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 85d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
Recent Developments — QXO, Inc.
Latest news
- Citigroup Maintains Buy on QXO, Lowers Price Target to $28 — benzinga May 15, 2026 neutral
- Stephens & Co. Maintains Overweight on QXO, Lowers Price Target to $26 — benzinga May 14, 2026 neutral
- Baird Maintains Outperform on QXO, Lowers Price Target to $30 — benzinga May 13, 2026 positive
- QXO Q1 Adj. EPS $(0.12) Misses $(0.09) Estimate, Sales $1.730B Miss $1.735B Estimate — benzinga May 12, 2026 negative
- Citigroup Maintains Buy on QXO, Lowers Price Target to $30 — benzinga May 7, 2026 positive
Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMSupplierthree suppliers each contributing 10%+ of purchases35%10-K Item 1A: 'we had three suppliers that each contributed 10% or more of total purchases and, in total, represented nearly 35% of total purchases.'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-03-17Item 5.02MEDIUMOn March 15, 2026, Sean Smith (Chief Accounting Officer) resigned effective March 15, 2026, to pursue employment closer to his family. Robert Loughran appointed Interim Chief Accounting Officer effective March 16, 2026. No disagreement cited.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Unprofitable operations — net margin -6.0%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $17.02: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10 and A.R:R 5.2:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 32, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $15.78. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $27.41 (+61.6% upside). Prior stop was $15.78. Stop-loss: $15.78.
Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0).
QXO, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 21.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Sell.
19 analysts cover QXO with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $32.
What does QXO, Inc. do?QXO is the largest publicly-traded distributor of roofing, waterproofing, and complementary building products in North...
QXO is the largest publicly-traded distributor of roofing, waterproofing, and complementary building products in North America, operating ~600 branches across all 50 U.S. states and seven Canadian provinces after acquiring Beacon Roofing Supply in April 2025. It serves over 110,000 residential and non-residential contractor customers; no single customer accounts for more than 1% of net sales. QXO targets $50B in annual revenues within a decade through acquisitions, with the Kodiak Building Partners acquisition expected to close in Q2 2026.