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Global Industrial Company (GIC) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Industrial Distribution

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $28.64 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Global Industrial Company, through its subsidiaries, operates as an industrial distributor of various industrial and maintenance, repair, and operation (MRO) products in the United States and Canada. It offers storage and shelving products, safety and security products, carts... Read more

$28.64+18.7% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#1 of 17 Industrial Distribution
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield5.61%
IncomeYield3.80%(5y avg 2.67%)Payout56.08%sustainable
Stop $26.92Target $34.00(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.3:1
Analyst target$40.00+39.7%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $28.64 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 26, MACD bearish. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Val8.0Qual6.1Grw5.4Mom3.9Sent6.4Ins3.9Peer6.2Tech7.1Risk7.05.9OVERALL

Recent Developments — Global Industrial Company

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.0
P/E (Fwd)12.8
Mkt Cap$1.1B
EV/EBITDA10.4
Profit Mgn5.3%
ROE24.3%
Rev Growth9.2%
Beta0.82
Dividend3.80%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.33bullish
IV54%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Volume
4.1
Obv
10.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 26, below 200MA)Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+2.2%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 3.9<4.5A.R:R 2.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 77d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
26 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $27.75Resistance $34.15

Price Targets

$27
$34
A.Upside+18.7%
A.R:R2.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (77d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GIC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.9/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $28.64 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 26, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $26.92. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GIC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $34.00 (+18.7% upside). Prior stop was $26.92. Stop-loss: $26.92.

What are the risks of investing in GIC?

Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Negative momentum.

Is GIC overvalued or undervalued?

Global Industrial Company trades at a P/E of 15.0 (forward 12.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GIC?

8 analysts cover GIC with a consensus score of 2.3/5. Average price target: $40.

What does Global Industrial Company do?Global Industrial Company, through its subsidiaries, operates as an industrial distributor of various industrial and...

Global Industrial Company, through its subsidiaries, operates as an industrial distributor of various industrial and maintenance, repair, and operation (MRO) products in the United States and Canada. It offers storage and shelving products, safety and security products, carts and trucks, HVAC and fans, furniture and decor, material handling products, janitorial and facility maintenance products, workbenches and shop desks, tools and instruments, plumbing and pumps, office and school supplies, packaging and shipping products, lighting and electrical products, foodservice and retail products, medical and laboratory products, motors and power transmission products, building supplies, machining products, fasteners and hardware, vehicle maintenance products, and raw materials. The company distributes its industrial and MRO products under the Global, GlobalIndustrial.com, Nexel, Paramount, Interion, and Absocold brands. The company serves for-profit and not-for-profit businesses; state, local, and private educational organizations; and government entities, including federal, state, and local municipalities through relationship marketers, e-commerce sites, and catalogs. The company was formerly known as Systemax Inc and changed its name to Global Industrial Company in June 2021. Global Industrial Company was founded in 1949 and is headquartered in Port Washington, New York.

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