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RSKDRiskified Ltd.Sell4.9·$5.15+2.59%
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Riskified Ltd. (RSKD) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.15: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.50; Below-average business quality.

Riskified Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops and offers an e-commerce risk intelligent platform that allows online merchants to create trusted relationships with consumers in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia-Pacific, and the Americas. It... Read more

$5.15-0.2% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#119 of 124 Software - Application
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield6.31%
Stop $4.83Target $5.12(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$5.55+7.8%5 analysts
$5.12our TP
$5.15price
$5.55mean
$5
$7

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.15: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.50; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 17, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-5.9% upside)
Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)14.1
Mkt Cap$686M
EV/EBITDA-21.3
Profit Mgn-5.2%
ROE-5.7%
Rev Growth7.1%
Beta1.38
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.50bearish
IV58%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.3
Quality Rank
2.4
Value Rank
7.6

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
1.8
52w Position
8.1

Unprofitable operations — net margin -5.2%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Moat
5.1
Fcf Quality
6.0
Gross Margin
6.5
Piotroski F
6.7
Current Ratio
7.5
FCF-positive but moderate margins (FCF margin 12%, FCF yield 6.3%)No competitive moat
GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEINSIDER 1.60%=EXTREMEMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.3>=4.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $4.73Resistance $5.22

Price Targets

$5
$5
A.Upside-0.6%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.9% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-17 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RSKD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.15: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.50; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $4.83. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RSKD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $5.12 (-0.2% upside). Prior stop was $4.83. Stop-loss: $4.83.

What are the risks of investing in RSKD?

Target reached (-5.9% upside); Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0).

Is RSKD overvalued or undervalued?

Riskified Ltd. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 14.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RSKD?

12 analysts cover RSKD with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $6.

What does Riskified Ltd. do?Riskified Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops and offers an e-commerce risk intelligent platform that allows...

Riskified Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops and offers an e-commerce risk intelligent platform that allows online merchants to create trusted relationships with consumers in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia-Pacific, and the Americas. It offers Chargeback Guarantee that ensures the legitimacy of merchants' online orders; Dispute Resolve, which is used to compile submissions for fraud and non-fraud related chargeback issues; Policy Protect, a machine learning solution designed to detect and prevent refund and returns policy abuse in real-time; Account Secure, a solution that cross-checks every login attempt; and PSD2 optimization that helps total conversion and reduce cart abandonment. It serves direct-to-consumer brands, online-only retailers, omnichannel retailers, online marketplaces, and e-commerce service providers in various industries, such as payments, money transfer, tickets and travel, electronics, home, and fashion and luxury goods. The company was incorporated in 2012 and is based in New York, New York.

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