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RRXRegal Rexnord CorporationSell5.1·$212.74-0.60%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Regal Rexnord has strong price momentum and exceptional free cash flow conversion well above reported earnings, but a perfect Piotroski score is undermined by weak profitability margins, below-average peer ranking, and zero remaining upside to the analyst consensus target.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Streak ConsistencyStable
  • Supplier Concentration And Low MarginsImproving
  • Exceptional Free Cash Flow ConversionStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Regal Rexnord Corporation (RRX) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. At $212.74, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.3%; Concentration risk — Supplier: single or limited number of suppliers.

Regal Rexnord designs and manufactures electric motors, power transmission components, and automation products across three segments — Automation & Motion Control, Industrial Powertrain Solutions, and Power Efficiency Solutions — with 29,200 employees and manufacturing in the... Read more

$212.74+6.3% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#46 of 58 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield5.56%
IncomeYield0.65%(5y avg 0.93%)Payout32.56%sustainable
Stop $197.85Target $226.20(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.7:1
Analyst target$260.00+22.2%9 analysts
$226.20our TP
$212.74price
$260.00mean
$300

Sell if holding. At $212.74, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.3%; Concentration risk — Supplier: single or limited number of suppliers. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Regal Rexnord Corporation

About Regal Rexnord Corporation

Regal Rexnord's order backlog grew to $2,536.0 million at December 31, 2025, up from $1,707.0 million one year earlier, reflecting demand across three segments — Automation & Motion Control (AMC), Industrial Powertrain Solutions (IPS), and Power Efficiency Solutions (PES). The company employs approximately 29,200 associates worldwide, including 8,700 in the U.S., 8,100 in Mexico, 3,600 in China, and 3,500 in India, and sells through direct OEM relationships, a distributor channel accounting for nearly 40% of sales, and direct end-user accounts.

Regal Rexnord generates revenue across three distinct segments. AMC targets discrete factory automation, aerospace, food and beverage, data center, and medical markets with conveyor systems, precision motors, drives, controllers, and customized modular E-Pod power management solutions. IPS — described as the company's largest segment — serves general industrial, metals and mining, energy, and commercial HVAC markets with bearings, gearboxes, couplings, clutches, and integrated industrial powertrain sub-systems that pair Regal Rexnord motors with matched power transmission components. PES produces fractional to 5 horsepower motors and variable speed controls for residential and commercial HVAC, with seasonally higher demand in spring and summer. Base materials consist primarily of steel, copper, and aluminum, supplemented by bearings, electronic assemblies, permanent magnets, and ferrous castings — all subject to tariff and trade policy risk. The April 2024 divestiture of industrial motors and generators businesses for $444.0 million, representing the substantial majority of the Industrial Systems segment, sharpened the portfolio focus.

Show full overview

Following U.S. tariff escalation and China's retaliatory export controls on certain rare earth magnets in 2025, Regal Rexnord's 10-K disclosed that these restrictions create supply chain risk and may limit production of products requiring rare earth magnets to the extent mitigation falls short. Separately, the company acknowledges dependence on a single or limited number of suppliers for some specialty materials and components — an exposure that could disrupt production if a key supplier experiences quality or delivery failures and no qualified alternative can be sourced quickly enough to prevent customer delivery impacts.

See also: Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

From Regal Rexnord Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202611d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: single or limited number of suppliers
Thin upside margin: 6.3%
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)49.5
P/E (Fwd)15.8
Mkt Cap$14.2B
EV/EBITDA15.5
Profit Mgn4.8%
ROE4.3%
Rev Growth4.3%
Beta1.06
Dividend0.65%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C0.30bullish
IV67%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSuppliersingle or limited number of suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'We are dependent on a single or limited number of suppliers for some materials or components required to manufacture certain of our products'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-01Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Jerry Morton, EVP & President of Industrial Powertrain Solutions, to retire Dec 31, 2026; Mark Klossner succeeds him effective June 1, 2026. Klossner joined via Altra acquisition (March 2023).
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-22Item 5.02MEDIUM
    CEO succession: Aamir Paul (President North America, Schneider Electric SE) named to succeed Louis Pinkham as CEO effective no later than July 1, 2026. Pinkham transition first announced Oct 2025.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-16Item 5.02LOW
    CEO transition timeline extended: Louis Pinkham remains CEO through June 30, 2026 per mutual agreement. No successor named as of this filing. Monthly retention payment of $770,833 during extension.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
2.6
Growth Rank
2.8
Value Rank
4.7
GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5A.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentEARNINGS PROXIMITY 11d<=14d (soft)Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $200.83Resistance $247.80

Price Targets

$198
$226
A.Upside+6.3%
A.R:R0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 4.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.7 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (11d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RRX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $212.74, A.R:R 0.7:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 6.3%; Concentration risk — Supplier: single or limited number of suppliers. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $197.85. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RRX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $226.20 (+6.3% upside). Prior stop was $197.85. Stop-loss: $197.85.

What are the risks of investing in RRX?

Concentration risk — Supplier: single or limited number of suppliers; Thin upside margin: 6.3%; Weak growth.

Is RRX overvalued or undervalued?

Regal Rexnord Corporation trades at a P/E of 49.5 (forward 15.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RRX?

15 analysts cover RRX with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $260.

What does Regal Rexnord Corporation do?Regal Rexnord designs and manufactures electric motors, power transmission components, and automation products across...

Regal Rexnord designs and manufactures electric motors, power transmission components, and automation products across three segments — Automation & Motion Control, Industrial Powertrain Solutions, and Power Efficiency Solutions — with 29,200 employees and manufacturing in the U.S., Mexico, China, India, and Europe. Backlog stood at $2,536.0 million at December 31, 2025, up from $1,707.0 million a year prior, with no single customer exceeding 10% of net sales.

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