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Regal Rexnord Corporation (RRX) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. At $186.49, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Regal Rexnord designs and manufactures electric motors, power transmission components, and automation solutions across Automation & Motion Control, Industrial Powertrain Solutions, and Power Efficiency Solutions segments. With ~29,200 associates worldwide, revenue comes from... Read more

$186.49+16.8% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#40 of 48 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield6.34%
IncomeYield0.75%(5y avg 0.94%)Payout32.56%sustainable
Stop $175.38Target $217.89(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.4:1
Analyst target$250.44+34.3%9 analysts
$217.89our TP
$186.49price
$250.44mean
$300

Sell if holding. At $186.49, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.8/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 76d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Val6.1Qual5.2Grw4.0Mom2.5Sent7.7Ins3.8Peer2.3Tech7.7Risk5.44.8OVERALL

Recent Developments — Regal Rexnord Corporation

Material events (past 30 days)

  • Apr 22, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: Aamir Paul (President North America at Schneider Electric SE) named as new CEO of Regal Rexnord, effective no later than July 1, 2026, succeeding Louis V. Pinkham. Pinkham will remain as director until 2026 annual meeting. Clean handoff with successor named.

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)43.3
P/E (Fwd)13.8
Mkt Cap$12.4B
EV/EBITDA14.1
Profit Mgn4.8%
ROE4.3%
Rev Growth4.3%
Beta1.13
Dividend0.75%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C1.10bearish
IV55%elevated
Max Pain$125-33.0% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-22Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Aamir Paul (President North America at Schneider Electric SE) named as new CEO of Regal Rexnord, effective no later than July 1, 2026, succeeding Louis V. Pinkham. Pinkham will remain as director until 2026 annual meeting. Clean handoff with successor named.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-16Item 5.02LOW
    Regal Rexnord extended CEO Louis V. Pinkham's tenure through June 30, 2026 to allow additional time to evaluate CEO candidates. Compensatory arrangement updated accordingly. Successor search ongoing.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
2.0
Growth Rank
2.8
Value Rank
4.6

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.8
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5A.R:R 1.4 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 76d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
41 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $180.80Resistance $236.34

Price Targets

$175
$218
A.Upside+16.8%
A.R:R1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 1.4:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (76d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RRX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $186.49, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $175.38. Score 4.8/10, high confidence.

What is the RRX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $217.89 (+16.8% upside). Prior stop was $175.38. Stop-loss: $175.38.

What are the risks of investing in RRX?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is RRX overvalued or undervalued?

Regal Rexnord Corporation trades at a P/E of 43.3 (forward 13.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RRX?

15 analysts cover RRX with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $250.

What does Regal Rexnord Corporation do?Regal Rexnord designs and manufactures electric motors, power transmission components, and automation solutions across...

Regal Rexnord designs and manufactures electric motors, power transmission components, and automation solutions across Automation & Motion Control, Industrial Powertrain Solutions, and Power Efficiency Solutions segments. With ~29,200 associates worldwide, revenue comes from OEMs, distributors, and end-users across industrial, HVAC, data center, and aerospace markets.

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