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Regal Rexnord Corporation (RRX) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $215.73 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 6 days (event risk).

Regal Rexnord designs, produces, and services electric motors, power transmission components, and automation products through three segments: Automation & Motion Control, Industrial Powertrain Solutions, and Power Efficiency Solutions, serving HVAC, data center, aerospace,... Read more

$215.73-0.5% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#30 of 48 Specialty Industrial Machinery
Stop $200.79Target $214.80(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$242.44+12.4%9 analysts
$214.80our TP
$215.73price
$242.44mean
$265

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $215.73 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 56, MACD bullish. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Earnings in 6 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)48.5
P/E (Fwd)15.2
Mkt Cap$13.6B
EV/EBITDA15.0
Profit Mgn4.7%
ROE4.3%
Rev Growth4.3%
Beta1.09
Dividend0.69%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C1.98bearish
IV75%elevated
Max Pain$70-67.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSuppliersingle or limited number of suppliers for some materials
    10-K Item 1A: 'We are dependent on a single or limited number of suppliers for some materials or components required to manufacture certain of our products.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-22Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Aamir Paul named successor to CEO Louis V. Pinkham, effective no later than July 1, 2026. Paul joins from Schneider Electric SE (President North America). Pinkham transition previously disclosed October 29, 2025.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-16Item 5.02LOW
    Regal Rexnord 8-K/A updated CEO search timeline: Pinkham departure extended to June 30, 2026 or earlier agreed date. No successor named; search ongoing per October 2025 disclosure.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
2.0
Growth Rank
3.3
Value Rank
4.5
GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.1>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $180.27Resistance $219.18

Price Targets

$201
$215
A.Upside-0.4%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.3% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-06 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RRX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $215.73 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 56, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $200.79. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RRX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $214.80 (-0.5% upside). Prior stop was $200.79. Stop-loss: $200.79.

What are the risks of investing in RRX?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 6 days (event risk).

Is RRX overvalued or undervalued?

Regal Rexnord Corporation trades at a P/E of 48.5 (forward 15.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RRX?

15 analysts cover RRX with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $242.

What does Regal Rexnord Corporation do?Regal Rexnord designs, produces, and services electric motors, power transmission components, and automation products...

Regal Rexnord designs, produces, and services electric motors, power transmission components, and automation products through three segments: Automation & Motion Control, Industrial Powertrain Solutions, and Power Efficiency Solutions, serving HVAC, data center, aerospace, discrete automation, and general industrial markets globally.

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