MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS (MWA) Stock Analysis
Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery
Sell if holding. At $25.97, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.9%.
Mueller Water Products manufactures and markets water infrastructure products — valves, fire hydrants, metering systems, and leak detection — for North American utilities and construction markets through Water Flow Solutions (58% of revenues) and Water Management Solutions... Read more
Sell if holding. At $25.97, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.9%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 49d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
About MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS
About MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS
Mueller Water Products generated $1,429.7 million in consolidated net sales in fiscal 2025, with Water Flow Solutions contributing $824.9 million (58% of total) and Water Management Solutions contributing $604.8 million (42%). Combined backlog reached $320.7 million at September 30, 2025. Canadian customers accounted for approximately 5% to 6% of each segment's net sales, reflecting a predominantly North American market focus. The company operates ten manufacturing facilities across the United States, Israel, and China.
Mueller sells primarily to national and regional waterworks distributors on a non-exclusive basis; its two largest distributors together accounted for approximately 37% of gross sales in fiscal 2025 and typically do not operate under long-term contracts. Sales cycles for metering systems often extend over several years, and end users tend to be reluctant to switch away from historically preferred brands — a dynamic that reinforces Mueller's installed base of iron gate valves and fire hydrants. Principal competitors in iron gate valves and fire hydrants include McWane, Inc. and American Cast Iron Pipe Company; in water metering, Sensus, Neptune Technology Group Inc., and Badger Meter, Inc. are primary rivals. Raw materials include brass ingot, scrap steel, sand, and resin; purchased parts and raw materials together represented approximately 43% of cost of sales in 2025. The company maintains several single-source or limited-source supplier relationships, and disruption to any such relationship could impair product availability and result in delays and lost profits.
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Mueller Water Products' repair products are manufactured at a facility in Ariel, Israel that experienced a temporary shutdown in October 2023 following the onset of the Israel-Hamas war; the facility reopened in November 2023 but continued conflict in the region could increase the likelihood of future supply interruptions and continued to impact the company's ability to produce and deliver products on time. High transportation costs — driven by the size and weight of water infrastructure products and relatively few manufacturing sites — add a further cost layer that may make Mueller's products less competitive against locally manufactured alternatives, particularly if energy and fuel costs rise.
See also: Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery
From MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-15Recent Developments — MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS
Latest news
- NEWS Mueller Water Products declares $0.070 quarterly dividend By Investing.com - Investing.com UK — Investing.com UK neutral
- NEWS Mueller Water Products Announces Quarterly Dividend - The Globe and Mail — The Globe and Mail neutral
- NEWS Mueller Water Products (MWA) Edges Lower Amid Consolidation Near Key Levels - Dealer Delta - thelegaladvocate.com — thelegaladvocate.com neutral
- NEWS Mueller Water Products (MWA) Upgraded to Buy: Here's Why - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS Down 16% in 4 Weeks, Here's Why You Should You Buy the Dip in Mueller Water Products (MWA) - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance negative
Generated 2026-06-17T09:07:23Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomertop 2 distributors37%10-K Item 1: 'our two largest distributors, which together accounted for approximately 37%, 38% and 35% of our gross sales in 2025, 2024 and 2023 fiscal years, respectively'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-02-23Item 5.02LOWScott Floyd appointed EVP and Chief Commercial Officer effective February 23, 2026. Internal promotion from SVP Sales and Marketing; no departure of an existing officer.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $25.97, A.R:R 1.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.9%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $24.80. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $28.01 (+7.9% upside). Prior stop was $24.80. Stop-loss: $24.80.
Thin upside margin: 7.9%.
MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS trades at a P/E of 19.6 (forward 16.3). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Sell.
9 analysts cover MWA with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $32.
What does MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS do?Mueller Water Products manufactures and markets water infrastructure products — valves, fire hydrants, metering...
Mueller Water Products manufactures and markets water infrastructure products — valves, fire hydrants, metering systems, and leak detection — for North American utilities and construction markets through Water Flow Solutions (58% of revenues) and Water Management Solutions (42%). Consolidated net sales were $1,429.7M in 2025, sold primarily through waterworks distributors.