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American Superconductor Corpora (AMSC) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $48.95 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings expected to decline ~65% (cyclical peak).

American Superconductor Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides megawatt-scale power resiliency solutions worldwide. It operates through Grid and Wind segments. The Grid segment offers products and services that enable electric utilities, industrial facilities, and... Read more

$48.95+5.9% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#3 of 48 Specialty Industrial Machinery
Stop $45.11Target $51.34(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$52.33+6.9%3 analysts
$51.34our TP
$48.95price
$52.33mean
$40
$68

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $48.95 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings expected to decline ~65% (cyclical peak). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 74. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 27d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Earnings expected to decline ~65% (cyclical peak)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.1): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.7
P/E (Fwd)45.1
Mkt Cap$2.3B
EV/EBITDA95.3
Profit Mgn46.7%
ROE35.8%
Rev Growth21.4%
Beta2.98
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.64bullish
IV103%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.8
Bollinger
1.9
52w Position
3.8
Gap
4.0
GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 27d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
74 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $30.87Resistance $52.39

Price Targets

$45
$51
A.Upside+4.9%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Cyclical trap - fwd PE 45x vs trail 16x (2.9x)
! Target reached (-8.3% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-27 (27d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AMSC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $48.95 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings expected to decline ~65% (cyclical peak). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 74. Prior stop was $45.11. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AMSC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $51.34 (+5.9% upside). Prior stop was $45.11. Stop-loss: $45.11.

What are the risks of investing in AMSC?

Earnings expected to decline ~65% (cyclical peak); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.1): -1.5.

Is AMSC overvalued or undervalued?

American Superconductor Corpora trades at a P/E of 15.7 (forward 45.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AMSC?

10 analysts cover AMSC with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $52.

What does American Superconductor Corpora do?American Superconductor Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides megawatt-scale power resiliency solutions...

American Superconductor Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides megawatt-scale power resiliency solutions worldwide. It operates through Grid and Wind segments. The Grid segment offers products and services that enable electric utilities, industrial facilities, and renewable energy project developers to connect, transmit, and distribute power under the Gridtec Solutions brand. The company provides transmission planning services, which identify power grid congestion, poor power quality, and other risks; grid interconnection solutions for wind farms and solar power plants, power quality systems, and transmission and distribution cable systems; D-VAR systems used for controlling power flow and voltage in the AC transmission system; actiVAR system, a fast-switching medium-voltage reactive compensation solution; armorVAR system installed for reactive compensation, power factor correction, loss reduction, utility bill savings, and mitigation of common power quality concerns related to power converter-based generation and load devices; and D-VAR volt var optimization (VVO) that serves the distribution power grid market. This segment also offers ship protection systems, which reduce a naval ship's magnetic signature; and Onboard power delivery systems, power generation systems, and propulsion systems; and transformers and rectifiers systems. The Wind segment designs wind turbine systems and licenses these designs to third parties under the Windtec Solutions brand. The company also supplies power electronics and software-based control systems, engineered designs, and support services; and provides customer support services to wind turbine manufacturers. This segment's design portfolio comprises a range of drivetrains and power ratings of 2 megawatts and higher. American Superconductor Corporation was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Ayer, Massachusetts.

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