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GTESGates Industrial Corporation plSell5.7·$26.40+1.11%
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Gates Industrial Corporation pl (GTES) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $26.40 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Gates Industrial manufactures power transmission belts (62% of 2025 net sales) and fluid power products including hydraulic hoses and fittings (38%) for aftermarket and OEM customers in 130+ countries; $3.44B net sales in Fiscal 2025. ~68% of net sales are aftermarket and ~32%... Read more

$26.40+2.4% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#15 of 48 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield5.49%
Stop $24.60Target $27.04(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst target$31.08+17.7%12 analysts
$27.04our TP
$26.40price
$31.08mean
$37

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $26.40 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Overbought (RSI 76)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.5
P/E (Fwd)14.0
Mkt Cap$6.6B
EV/EBITDA11.8
Profit Mgn7.2%
ROE7.7%
Rev Growth0.4%
Beta1.27
DividendNone
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C333.58bearish
IV65%elevated
Max Pain$22-16.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomertop ten customers24%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our top ten customers accounted for approximately 24% of our consolidated net sales and accounted for approximately 29% of our trade accounts receivable balance'
  • MEDIUMGeographicU.S. revenues37%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 37% of our Fiscal 2025 revenues were generated from customers in the U.S.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.1
Quality Rank
2.8
Value Rank
7.4
GatesA.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
76 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $22.86Resistance $27.03

Price Targets

$25
$27
A.Upside+2.4%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.4% upside)
! asymmetry at 0.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GTES stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $26.40 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $24.60. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GTES stock price target?

Take-profit target: $27.04 (+2.4% upside). Prior stop was $24.60. Stop-loss: $24.60.

What are the risks of investing in GTES?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Overbought (RSI 76).

Is GTES overvalued or undervalued?

Gates Industrial Corporation pl trades at a P/E of 27.5 (forward 14.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GTES?

18 analysts cover GTES with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $31.

What does Gates Industrial Corporation pl do?Gates Industrial manufactures power transmission belts (62% of 2025 net sales) and fluid power products including...

Gates Industrial manufactures power transmission belts (62% of 2025 net sales) and fluid power products including hydraulic hoses and fittings (38%) for aftermarket and OEM customers in 130+ countries; $3.44B net sales in Fiscal 2025. ~68% of net sales are aftermarket and ~32% OEM; no single customer exceeds 10% of net sales.

Related stocks: AMSC (American Superconductor Corpora) · CXT (Crane NXT, Co.) · EPAC (Enerpac Tool Group Corp.) · MIDD (The Middleby Corporation) · CSW (CSW Industrials, Inc.)
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