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Helios Technologies, Inc. (HLIO) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $77.94, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Americas (Electronics segment) (79.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Helios Technologies designs and manufactures hydraulic motion control and electronic controls technology for construction, agriculture, industrial, marine, and health/wellness markets through two segments: Hydraulics and Electronics. Revenue comes from OEM and distributor sales;... Read more

$77.94+14.7% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#2 of 48 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield3.86%
IncomeYield0.62%(5y avg 0.67%)Payout14.84%sustainable
Entry $68.34(50-day MA)Stop $63.56Target $78.40(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1Setup A.R:R 2.1:1
Analyst target$84.67+8.6%6 analysts
$78.40our TP
$77.94price
$84.67mean
$90

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $77.94, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Americas (Electronics segment) (79.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 70, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $77.94 has reached target $78.40. No upside to wait for. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity 79d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Helios Technologies, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.89)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Americas (Electronics segment) (79.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.6% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)42.4
P/E (Fwd)23.1
Mkt Cap$2.6B
EV/EBITDA17.2
Profit Mgn7.0%
ROE6.7%
Rev Growth16.8%
Beta1.23
Dividend0.62%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.48bullish
IV48%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicAmericas (Electronics segment)79%
    10-K Item 1: 'our 2025 Electronics segment sales were 79% in the Americas, 10% in EMEA and 11% in APAC'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-26Item 5.02LOW
    Compensation Committee approved Amended and Restated Executive Officer Severance Agreement with Sean Bagan on Feb 23, 2026, increasing his base salary continuation upon Involuntary Termination to 24 months from 12 months. No departure event; routine compensatory arrangement.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
2.5
Value Rank
3.6
Growth Rank
7.4
GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEMomentum 8.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY 79d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
70 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $65.13Resistance $80.00

Price Targets

$64
$68
$78
A.Upside+0.6%
A.R:R-0.4:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.5% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (79d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HLIO stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $77.94, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: Americas (Electronics segment) (79.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 70, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $77.94 has reached target $78.40. No upside to wait for. Target $78.40 (+0.6%), stop $63.56 (−22.6%), A.R:R -0.4:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HLIO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $78.40 (+14.7% upside). Target $78.40 (+0.6%), stop $63.56 (−22.6%), A.R:R -0.4:1. Stop-loss: $63.56.

What are the risks of investing in HLIO?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Americas (Electronics segment) (79.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.6% away).

Is HLIO overvalued or undervalued?

Helios Technologies, Inc. trades at a P/E of 42.4 (forward 23.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about HLIO?

12 analysts cover HLIO with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $85.

What does Helios Technologies, Inc. do?Helios Technologies designs and manufactures hydraulic motion control and electronic controls technology for...

Helios Technologies designs and manufactures hydraulic motion control and electronic controls technology for construction, agriculture, industrial, marine, and health/wellness markets through two segments: Hydraulics and Electronics. Revenue comes from OEM and distributor sales; in 2025 no single customer made up 10% or more of consolidated net sales. Electronics OEM sales were 78% of Electronics segment revenue, and Hydraulics contributed 64% of total company sales.

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