Skip to main content
RPMRPM International Inc.Buy Wait5.8·$107.00+2.13%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

RPM International is a specialty coatings and sealants company with superior return on equity relative to peers and strong analyst sentiment, but double concentration risks in both customer and supplier relationships, and the stock has essentially reached its analyst price target with minimal remaining upside at current levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Dual Concentration Customer SupplierStable
  • Earnings Variability Below ExpectationsImproving
  • Price At Analyst Target Minimal UpsideStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

RPM International Inc. (RPM) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

Buy WaitQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Wait for pullback to $103.23. At $107.00 the A.R:R is 0.9:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $103.23 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Customer: key Consumer segment customers (65.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: sole source suppliers.

RPM International's subsidiaries manufacture specialty paints, protective coatings, roofing systems, sealants, and adhesives for construction, industrial, and consumer markets. The company recorded $7.4 billion in net sales for fiscal year ended May 31, 2025 across four segments... Read more

$107.00+6.1% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#14 of 41 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield3.50%
IncomeYield2.06%(5y avg 1.76%)Payout41.20%sustainable
Entry $103.23(1 ATR pullback)Stop $96.66Target $113.53(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.9:1
Analyst target$130.50+22.0%14 analysts
$113.53our TP
$107.00price
$130.50mean
$151

Wait for pullback to $103.23. At $107.00 the A.R:R is 0.9:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $103.23 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Customer: key Consumer segment customers (65.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: sole source suppliers. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 46. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/11 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news boost analyst 0.70, news boost analyst cluster(6), earnings proximity 68d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 1, 202668d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive news sentiment (+0.87)
Positive insider activity
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: key Consumer segment customers (65.0%)
Concentration risk — Supplier: sole source suppliers
Thin upside margin: 6.1%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.3
P/E (Fwd)15.8
Mkt Cap$13.7B
EV/EBITDA13.6
Profit Mgn8.4%
ROE21.4%
Rev Growth7.2%
Beta1.03
Dividend2.06%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.63bullish
IV44%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerkey Consumer segment customers65%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our key customers in the Consumer reportable segment include Ace Hardware ... and Wal-Mart ... sales to these customers accounted for approximately 65% ... of net sales'
  • LOWCustomerkey Consumer segment customers consolidated22%
    10-K Item 1A: 'sales to these customers across all of our reportable segments accounted for approximately 22% ... of our consolidated net sales for the fiscal years ended May 31, 2025'
  • MEDIUMGeographicforeign operations29%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our foreign manufacturing operations accounted for approximately 28.9% of our net sales for the fiscal year ended May 31, 2025'
  • HIGHSuppliersole source suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'sole source suppliers, the unavailability of raw materials or increased prices of raw materials that we are unable to pass along to our customers could have a material adverse effect'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-02Item 1.01LOW
    On May 27, 2026, RPM International amended its $300 million accounts receivable securitization facility (Amendment No. 11 to RPA), removing credit spread adjustment and adding a leverage ratio financial covenant.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-23Item 5.02LOW
    Thomas C. Gentile, III appointed to Board of Directors effective April 20, 2026. Gentile currently serves as chairman, CEO and president of Hexcel Corporation (NYSE: HXL). No reason cited for departure of any director.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
1.7
Revenue Growth
4.3
GatesA.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.1>=4.5Insider activity: OKNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70NEWS BOOST ANALYST CLUSTER(6)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 68d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $99.65Resistance $112.40

Price Targets

$97
$103
$114
A.Upside+6.1%
A.R:R0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! asymmetry at 0.9 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-01 (68d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RPM stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $103.23. At $107.00 the A.R:R is 0.9:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $103.23 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Customer: key Consumer segment customers (65.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: sole source suppliers. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 46. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $113.53 (+6.1%), stop $96.66 (−10.7%), A.R:R 0.9:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RPM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $113.53 (+6.1% upside). Target $113.53 (+6.1%), stop $96.66 (−10.7%), A.R:R 0.9:1. Stop-loss: $96.66.

What are the risks of investing in RPM?

Concentration risk — Customer: key Consumer segment customers (65.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: sole source suppliers; Thin upside margin: 6.1%.

Is RPM overvalued or undervalued?

RPM International Inc. trades at a P/E of 20.3 (forward 15.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.3/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about RPM?

21 analysts cover RPM with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $131.

What does RPM International Inc. do?RPM International's subsidiaries manufacture specialty paints, protective coatings, roofing systems, sealants, and...

RPM International's subsidiaries manufacture specialty paints, protective coatings, roofing systems, sealants, and adhesives for construction, industrial, and consumer markets. The company recorded $7.4 billion in net sales for fiscal year ended May 31, 2025 across four segments — CPG (38%), Consumer (33%), PCG (20%), and SPG (9%) — with roughly 30% of sales in international markets.

Related stocks: SQM (Sociedad Quimica y Minera S.A.) · MTX (Minerals Technologies Inc.) · WDFC (WD-40 Company) · ALB (Albemarle Corporation) · IOSP (Innospec Inc.)
Home Stocks RPM

Latest news

Latest News

TradingView3d agoCONCERNAnalyst
GuruFocus59d agoAnalyst
Seeking Alpha60d agoAnalyst
Investing.com60d agoMerger Acquisition
Moomoo60d agoAnalyst
Marketscreener.com60d agoAnalyst
Investing.com60d agoAnalyst
Benzinga4d ago
Yahoo Finance4d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance4d ago
Yahoo Finance4d ago
Quiver Quantitative4d agoEarnings
TradingView4d agoAnalyst
MarketBeat11d agoEarnings
Investing.com108d agoAnalyst
The Motley Fool108d ago
The Globe and Mail109d ago
MSN109d ago
Investing.com109d ago
MarketBeat109d ago
Loading more...