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Albemarle Corporation (ALB) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $191.61: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

Albemarle produces lithium compounds (Energy Storage), bromine and specialty chemicals (Specialties), and refining catalysts (Ketjen, being divested in early 2026) for ~1,900 customers in ~70 countries. A major global lithium producer with assets in Chile, Nevada, Australia, and... Read more

$191.61+10.6% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#21 of 36 Specialty Chemicals
Stop $177.81Target $211.40(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$197.47+3.1%22 analysts
$211.40our TP
$191.61price
$197.47mean
$83
$245

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $191.61: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-7.0% upside)
Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)21.2
Mkt Cap$22.5B
EV/EBITDA36.2
Profit Mgn-9.9%
ROE-4.7%
Rev Growth15.9%
Beta1.43
Dividend0.85%
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.83neutral
IV85%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicChina39%
    10-K Item 1A: 'In 2025, net sales shipped to or within China represented 39% of our total net sales.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-17Item 5.02LOW
    On April 13, 2026, Chief Accounting Officer Donald J. LaBauve Jr. advised the Company of his intent to retire effective June 1, 2026, following 36+ years of service. No dispute or disagreement, including regarding accounting practices or financial reporting, was cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-04Item 5.02LOW
    On February 26, 2026, the Board appointed Michelle T. Collins and Mark R. Widmar as independent directors. Collins assigned to Audit & Finance and Governance committees; Widmar to Compensation and Safety/Operations committees. Routine non-executive director appointments; no arrangements or related party transactions.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
0.2
Operating Margin
0.9
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
7.7
Piotroski F
8.9
No competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9Quality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.6
Value Rank
2.0
Growth Rank
8.5
Industry growth leader
GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.9>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $170.29Resistance $215.71

Price Targets

$178
$211
A.Upside+10.3%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.0% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-06 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ALB stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $191.61: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $177.81. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ALB stock price target?

Take-profit target: $211.40 (+10.6% upside). Prior stop was $177.81. Stop-loss: $177.81.

What are the risks of investing in ALB?

Target reached (-7.0% upside); Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0).

Is ALB overvalued or undervalued?

Albemarle Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 21.2). TrendMatrix value score: 4.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ALB?

29 analysts cover ALB with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $197.

What does Albemarle Corporation do?Albemarle produces lithium compounds (Energy Storage), bromine and specialty chemicals (Specialties), and refining...

Albemarle produces lithium compounds (Energy Storage), bromine and specialty chemicals (Specialties), and refining catalysts (Ketjen, being divested in early 2026) for ~1,900 customers in ~70 countries. A major global lithium producer with assets in Chile, Nevada, Australia, and China; in 2025, net sales shipped to or within China represented 39% of total net sales.

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