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RPMRPM International Inc.Hold5.8·$109.05
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

RPM International is a specialty coatings and sealants company with superior return on equity relative to peers and strong analyst sentiment, but double concentration risks in both customer and supplier relationships, and the stock has essentially reached its analyst price target with minimal remaining upside at current levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Dual Concentration Customer Supplier↑Improving
  • Earnings Variability Below Expectations→Stable
  • Price At Analyst Target Minimal Upside↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Jul 22, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

RPM International Inc. (RPM) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $109.05, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

RPM International makes specialty coatings, sealants, roofing systems and related products through three segments: Construction Products, Performance Coatings and Consumer, with manufacturing in 22 countries. It generated $7.9 billion of net sales in fiscal 2026, selling to... Read more

$109.05+1.9% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#20 of 43 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield3.98%
IncomeYield2.09%(5y avg 1.76%)Payout39.93%sustainable
Stop $103.25Analyst target $111.15(−10% haircut)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst consensus$123.50+13.3%16 analysts with price targets
$111.15Analyst target
$109.05price
$123.50mean
$147

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $109.05, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 70. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 63d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About RPM International Inc.

About RPM International Inc.

RPM International reported net sales of $7.9 billion for the fiscal year ended May 31, 2026, divided among Construction Products at $3.1 billion, Consumer at $2.7 billion and Performance Coatings at $2.1 billion. Its subsidiaries run about 120 manufacturing locations across 22 countries and sell into roughly 167 countries and territories, with 31% of sales generated internationally. Petroleum-based derivatives, minerals and metals make up many of its raw materials.

RPM earns revenue by selling specialty coatings, sealants, roofing systems and related products. The Construction Products Group, 39% of consolidated net sales, sells to manufacturers, contractors, distributors and end-users, and includes the Tremco roofing and sealant lines. The Performance Coatings Group, 27%, serves industrial facilities and public institutions with flooring, corrosion-control and fireproofing products under brands such as Stonhard and Carboline. The Consumer segment, 34%, sells Rust-Oleum, DAP and Zinsser products to mass merchandisers, home improvement centers and hardware stores. The 10-K describes its markets as fragmented, with no single competitor across all product lines, and names Akzo Nobel, Axalta, Carlisle, H.B. Fuller, PPG Industries, Sherwin-Williams and Sika among companies that compete in them. Raw material costs are managed through contracts, multiple sourcing and alternative materials, although sole source suppliers or price increases that cannot be passed to customers could weigh on results.

Show full overview

No single customer exceeded 10% of consolidated net sales in fiscal 2026, 2025 or 2024, yet the largest Consumer-segment customer represented 20% of that segment's net sales in fiscal 2026, compared with 23% in fiscal 2025. A lost account, a canceled order or collection difficulty at that customer may reduce net revenues materially, given the Consumer segment's $2.7 billion of sales. Balance sheet leverage adds a second angle: total debt of $2.5 billion at May 31, 2026 sat against $3.3 billion of stockholders' equity, and covenants in the credit facility could restrict operational flexibility.

See also: Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

From RPM International Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted October 18, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 2, 2026

Recent Developments — RPM International Inc.

Latest item Nov 2, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:44:09Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jan 7, 202763d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.2
P/E (Fwd)16.5
Mkt Cap$13.9B
EV/EBITDA13.2
Profit Mgn8.7%
ROE21.1%
Rev Growth4.8%
Beta1.02
Dividend2.09%
Analysts with ratings22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.60bullish
IV40%normal
Max Pain$135+23.8% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomersingle largest customer20%
    10-K Item 1A: 'sales to our single largest customer represented 20%, 23% and 22% of our Consumer segment net sales for fiscal 2026, 2025 and 2024, respectively'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-07-22Item 5.02LOW
    David C. Dennsteadt, previously Executive Vice President, named President and Chief Operating Officer effective July 17, 2026; group presidents now report to him. Frank C. Sullivan continues as Chair and CEO.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
1.2
Gap
4.0
52w Position
8.2
GatesA.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 63d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
70 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $95.55Resistance $110.87

Price Targets

$103
$111
A.Upside+1.9%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.9% upside)
! asymmetry at 0.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-07 (63d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RPM stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $109.05, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 70. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $111.15 (+1.9%), stop $103.25 (−5.6%), A.R:R 0.2:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RPM stock price target?

Analyst target: $111.15 (+1.9% upside). Analyst target $111.15 (+1.9%), stop $103.25 (−5.6%), A.R:R 0.2:1. Stop-loss: $103.25.

What are the risks of investing in RPM?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

Is RPM overvalued or undervalued?

RPM International Inc. trades at a P/E of 20.2 (forward 16.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about RPM?

22 analysts rate RPM, with a consensus score of 4.0/5. 16 analysts publish price targets averaging $124.

What does RPM International Inc. do?RPM International makes specialty coatings, sealants, roofing systems and related products through three segments:...

RPM International makes specialty coatings, sealants, roofing systems and related products through three segments: Construction Products, Performance Coatings and Consumer, with manufacturing in 22 countries. It generated $7.9 billion of net sales in fiscal 2026, selling to contractors, distributors, industrial users and mass merchandisers, with 31% of sales international. Rust-Oleum, Carboline, DAP and Tremco are its most significant trademarks.

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