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RPM International Inc. (RPM) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Sell if holding. At $102.24, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 9.6%; Concentration risk — Customer: top Consumer segment customers (65.0%).

RPM International manufactures specialty chemicals, paints, coatings, roofing systems, sealants, and adhesives globally through four segments: CPG (~38%), Consumer (~33%), PCG (~20%), and SPG (~9%), marketing in 163 countries with $7.4B net sales in FY2025. Revenue comes from... Read more

$102.24+9.6% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#11 of 36 Specialty Chemicals
Stop $95.87Target $111.42(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.4:1
Analyst target$128.07+25.3%14 analysts
$111.42our TP
$102.24price
$128.07mean
$148

Sell if holding. At $102.24, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 9.6%; Concentration risk — Customer: top Consumer segment customers (65.0%). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 31, MACD bearish. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Earnings estimates trending UP
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: top Consumer segment customers (65.0%)
Thin upside margin: 9.6%
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.4
P/E (Fwd)17.2
Mkt Cap$12.9B
EV/EBITDA13.4
Profit Mgn8.6%
ROE22.9%
Rev Growth8.9%
Beta1.09
Dividend2.15%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.42bullish
IV52%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomertop Consumer segment customers65%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Within our Consumer segment, sales to these customers accounted for approximately 65%, 67% and 67% of net sales for the fiscal years ended May 31, 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-23Item 5.02LOW
    Thomas C. Gentile III appointed to RPM International's Board of Directors effective April 20, 2026. Gentile is Chairman, CEO, and President of Hexcel Corporation. No officer departure cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.5
Obv
6.8
Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.0%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.0
Revenue Growth
4.7
GatesMomentum 2.3<4.5A.R:R 1.4 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 83d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
31 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $94.50Resistance $112.59

Price Targets

$96
$111
A.Upside+9.0%
A.R:R1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 1.4:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (83d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RPM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $102.24, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 9.6%; Concentration risk — Customer: top Consumer segment customers (65.0%). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 31, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $95.87. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RPM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $111.42 (+9.6% upside). Prior stop was $95.87. Stop-loss: $95.87.

What are the risks of investing in RPM?

Concentration risk — Customer: top Consumer segment customers (65.0%); Thin upside margin: 9.6%; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is RPM overvalued or undervalued?

RPM International Inc. trades at a P/E of 19.4 (forward 17.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RPM?

21 analysts cover RPM with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $128.

What does RPM International Inc. do?RPM International manufactures specialty chemicals, paints, coatings, roofing systems, sealants, and adhesives globally...

RPM International manufactures specialty chemicals, paints, coatings, roofing systems, sealants, and adhesives globally through four segments: CPG (~38%), Consumer (~33%), PCG (~20%), and SPG (~9%), marketing in 163 countries with $7.4B net sales in FY2025. Revenue comes from construction, industrial, specialty, and consumer end markets.

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