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RPMRPM International Inc.Sell5.6·$100.09
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

RPM International is a specialty coatings and sealants company with superior return on equity relative to peers and strong analyst sentiment, but double concentration risks in both customer and supplier relationships, and the stock has essentially reached its analyst price target with minimal remaining upside at current levels.

Thesis pillars

  • Dual Concentration Customer Supplier↓Deteriorating
  • Earnings Variability Below Expectations↓Deteriorating
  • Price At Analyst Target Minimal Upside↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

RPM International Inc. (RPM) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $100.09: Below 200-day MA; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

RPM International makes specialty coatings, sealants and building materials across consumer, construction products, performance coatings and specialty products segments, with fiscal 2025 net sales of $7.4 billion. About 30% of sales come from international markets. Consumer... Read more

$100.09+11.1% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#26 of 43 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield4.34%
IncomeYield2.28%(5y avg 1.75%)Payout39.93%sustainable
Stop $94.93Target $111.15(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.1:1
Analyst target$123.50+23.4%16 analysts
$111.15our TP
$100.09price
$123.50mean
$147

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $100.09: Below 200-day MA; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 49. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, earnings proximity 82d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About RPM International Inc.

About RPM International Inc.

RPM International generated $7.4 billion in net sales for the fiscal year ended May 31, 2025, split across four segments: Construction Products (about 38%), Consumer (33%), Performance Coatings (20%), and Specialty Products (9%). The company operates roughly 118 manufacturing plants in 21 countries and markets products in about 163 countries, sourcing raw materials that are largely petroleum-based derivatives, minerals, and metals.

RPM's Consumer segment sells directly to mass merchandisers, home improvement centers, and hardware stores, while its Construction Products, Performance Coatings, and Specialty Products segments sell through contractors, distributors, and industrial end-users such as manufacturing facilities and public institutions. Roughly 22% of consolidated net sales in fiscal 2025 came from ten key customers — including The Home Depot, Lowe's, Amazon, and Wal-Mart — concentrated mostly in the Consumer segment, where these same customers made up about 65% of segment net sales; The Home Depot alone represented 24% of Consumer segment net sales. Raw material costs, largely petroleum-based derivatives, minerals, and metals, are managed through multi-source contracts, though the company still flags sole-source suppliers and tariff-driven cost increases as risks. RPM competes against larger, better-capitalized rivals including Akzo Nobel, PPG Industries, and The Sherwin-Williams Company across fragmented paint, coatings, adhesives, and sealants markets.

Show full overview

RPM's exposure outside the U.S. is more manufacturing-driven than a single-country dependency: foreign manufacturing operations accounted for approximately 28.9% of net sales in fiscal 2025, spread across roughly 21 countries including Argentina, Brazil, Germany, India, and South Korea, with direct U.S. exports adding another 0.8%. The 10-K pairs that footprint with $2.4 billion in goodwill and other intangible assets subject to annual impairment testing and $2.6 billion in total debt at May 31, 2025 — a combination that leaves currency swings, tariff actions, and any reporting-unit downturn as potential triggers for both earnings volatility and a goodwill write-down, rather than a single named country risk.

See also: Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

From RPM International Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted August 30, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-16
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jan 7, 202782d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
Below 200-day MA

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.5
P/E (Fwd)15.1
Mkt Cap$12.8B
EV/EBITDA12.3
Profit Mgn8.7%
ROE21.1%
Rev Growth4.8%
Beta1.04
Dividend2.28%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C4.67bearish
IV49%normal
Max Pain$85-15.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomercustomers across all reportable segments22%
    10-K Item 1A: 'sales to these customers across all of our reportable segments accounted for approximately 22%, 24% and 25%'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-02Item 1.01LOW
    On May 27, 2026 RPM amended its existing $300.0 million accounts receivable securitization facility (Amendment No. 11), including removing the credit spread adjustment for SOFR-based credit extensions.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-06-02Item 5.02LOW
    Item 5.02 listed on the filing alongside the A/R facility amendment; body excerpt shows no executive departure detail.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-23Item 5.02LOW
    On April 20, 2026 the Board appointed Thomas C. Gentile, III (Hexcel chairman, CEO and president) to the Board, effective immediately.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.0>=4.5A.R:R 2.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKEARNINGS PROXIMITY 82d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
49 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $95.04Resistance $102.12

Price Targets

$95
$111
A.Upside+11.1%
A.R:R2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts21
Consensus4.1/5
Avg Target$124

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-07 (82d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RPM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $100.09: Below 200-day MA; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 49. Prior stop was $94.93. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RPM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $111.15 (+11.1% upside). Prior stop was $94.93. Stop-loss: $94.93.

What are the risks of investing in RPM?

Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Below 200-day MA.

Is RPM overvalued or undervalued?

RPM International Inc. trades at a P/E of 18.5 (forward 15.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RPM?

21 analysts cover RPM with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $124.

What does RPM International Inc. do?RPM International makes specialty coatings, sealants and building materials across consumer, construction products,...

RPM International makes specialty coatings, sealants and building materials across consumer, construction products, performance coatings and specialty products segments, with fiscal 2025 net sales of $7.4 billion. About 30% of sales come from international markets. Consumer products are sold through home-improvement retailers and distributors.

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