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KWRQuaker HoughtonSell5.8·$148.89+1.10%
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Quaker Houghton (KWR) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $148.89 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: non-U.S. subsidiaries.

Quaker Houghton formulates specialty industrial process fluids — metal removal, rolling lubricants, hydraulic fluids, and surface solutions — sold to steel, aluminum, automotive, and aerospace manufacturers in over 25 countries across three segments. Non-US subsidiaries... Read more

$148.89-1.1% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#7 of 36 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield4.24%
IncomeYield1.38%(5y avg 1.09%)Payout763.85%at-risk
Stop $138.47Target $147.28(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$169.86+14.1%7 analysts
$147.28our TP
$148.89price
$169.86mean
$180

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $148.89 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: non-U.S. subsidiaries. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 53, MACD bullish. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Positive momentum
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: non-U.S. subsidiaries
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)545.4
P/E (Fwd)16.8
Mkt Cap$2.6B
EV/EBITDA11.5
Profit Mgn0.2%
ROE0.3%
Rev Growth8.5%
Beta1.42
Dividend1.38%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.35bullish
IV44%normal
Max Pain$105-29.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicnon-U.S. subsidiaries
    10-K Item 1A: 'sales by our non-U.S. subsidiaries accounted for approximately 63% to 67% of our consolidated net sales'
  • LOWProductmetal removal fluids19%
    10-K Item 1: 'Metal removal fluids ... 19.0'
  • LOWProductrolling lubricants18%
    10-K Item 1: 'Rolling lubricants ... 18.3'
  • LOWProducthydraulic fluids12%
    10-K Item 1: 'Hydraulic fluids ... 12.2'
  • LOWProductsurface solutions11%
    10-K Item 1: 'Surface solutions ... 10.9'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-12Item 5.02MEDIUM
    SVP/Chief Global Operations Officer Jeffrey Fleck departed March 9, 2026 via involuntary termination without cause. No successor named. No disagreement with the Company cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-15Item 5.02LOW
    Board Chairman Michael F. Barry retired May 13, 2026 after serving since 2008. Mark A. Douglas appointed new Chairman. Board reduced from 11 to 10 directors. Lead Director role eliminated. No disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.7
Bollinger
0.9
52w Position
6.3

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
1.1
Surprise Avg
2.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.2
Earnings concerns: 1B/2MDividend: 138.0%

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
2.6
Growth Rank
6.1
Value Rank
6.3
GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $130.36Resistance $150.29

Price Targets

$138
$147
A.Upside-1.1%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.7% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KWR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $148.89 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: non-U.S. subsidiaries. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 53, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $138.47. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KWR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $147.28 (-1.1% upside). Prior stop was $138.47. Stop-loss: $138.47.

What are the risks of investing in KWR?

Concentration risk — Geographic: non-U.S. subsidiaries; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is KWR overvalued or undervalued?

Quaker Houghton trades at a P/E of 545.4 (forward 16.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about KWR?

10 analysts cover KWR with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $170.

What does Quaker Houghton do?Quaker Houghton formulates specialty industrial process fluids — metal removal, rolling lubricants, hydraulic fluids,...

Quaker Houghton formulates specialty industrial process fluids — metal removal, rolling lubricants, hydraulic fluids, and surface solutions — sold to steel, aluminum, automotive, and aerospace manufacturers in over 25 countries across three segments. Non-US subsidiaries generated 63% to 67% of consolidated net sales over the past three years, employing approximately 4,700 people globally.

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