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WD-40 Company (WDFC) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Temp Headwind edge

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Wait for pullback to $199.39. At $205.37 the A.R:R is 0.6:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $199.39 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: international (outside of the U.S.) (66.0%); Thin upside margin: 3.3%.

WD-40 Company is a global marketing organization selling maintenance products (principally WD-40 Multi-Use Product) in 176+ countries and homecare/cleaning products (being divested) in select markets, with ~714 employees across 18 countries. Approximately 66% of fiscal 2025 net... Read more

$205.37+6.4% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#12 of 36 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.36%
IncomeYield1.92%(5y avg 1.54%)Payout65.20%
Entry $199.39(1 ATR pullback)Stop $192.39Target $212.07(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.6:1Setup A.R:R 1.8:1
Analyst target$249.50+21.5%2 analysts
$212.07our TP
$205.37price
$249.50mean
$270

Wait for pullback to $199.39. At $205.37 the A.R:R is 0.6:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $199.39 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: international (outside of the U.S.) (66.0%); Thin upside margin: 3.3%. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Val3.5Qual8.1Grw4.5Mom3.3Sent6.2Ins5.0Peer4.5Tech6.8Risk7.85.4OVERALL

Recent Developments — WD-40 Company

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:22Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.1 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: international (outside of the U.S.) (66.0%)
Thin upside margin: 3.3%
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)34.7
P/E (Fwd)32.1
Mkt Cap$2.7B
EV/EBITDA24.7
Profit Mgn12.6%
ROE31.3%
Rev Growth10.7%
Beta0.32
Dividend1.92%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C0.64bullish
IV37%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicinternational (outside of the U.S.)66%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our sales outside the U.S. were approximately 66% of consolidated net sales in fiscal year 2025.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-19Item 5.02LOW
    Ken Allen Plunk appointed to Board of Directors effective February 18, 2026, also serving on Audit and Finance Committees. Former CFO of J&J Snack Foods and senior executive at Walmart. Routine board appointment.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Ma Position
2.0
Rsi
4.5
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA (recent, shallow — too early to call)

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Peg Ratio
3.2
Forward Pe
3.6
Pe
3.7
Ps
7.4
Forward P/E: 32.1xPEG: 3.85
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5A.R:R 0.6 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
43 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $198.34Resistance $228.12

Price Targets

$192
$199
$212
A.Upside+3.3%
A.R:R0.6:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.8%
Max %1.5%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! Momentum score 3.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.6:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-09 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WDFC stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $199.39. At $205.37 the A.R:R is 0.6:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $199.39 (1 ATR pullback) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Geographic: international (outside of the U.S.) (66.0%); Thin upside margin: 3.3%. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $212.07 (+3.3%), stop $192.39 (−6.7%), Setup A.R:R 1.8:1. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WDFC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $212.07 (+6.4% upside). Target $212.07 (+3.3%), stop $192.39 (−6.7%), Setup A.R:R 1.8:1. Stop-loss: $192.39.

What are the risks of investing in WDFC?

Concentration risk — Geographic: international (outside of the U.S.) (66.0%); Thin upside margin: 3.3%; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

Is WDFC overvalued or undervalued?

WD-40 Company trades at a P/E of 34.7 (forward 32.1). TrendMatrix value score: 3.5/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about WDFC?

10 analysts cover WDFC with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $250.

What does WD-40 Company do?WD-40 Company is a global marketing organization selling maintenance products (principally WD-40 Multi-Use Product) in...

WD-40 Company is a global marketing organization selling maintenance products (principally WD-40 Multi-Use Product) in 176+ countries and homecare/cleaning products (being divested) in select markets, with ~714 employees across 18 countries. Approximately 66% of fiscal 2025 net sales came from outside the U.S., with the largest customer below 10% of consolidated sales.

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