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WDFCWD-40 CompanySell5.5·$245.42-1.17%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

WD-40 Company is a high-quality compounder with a Piotroski F-Score of 9 out of 9, a 31% return on equity, and a wide economic moat, and has beaten earnings in 3 of the last 4 quarters, but trades at an expensive forward P/E of 35.5x with RSI at 75 indicating overbought conditions and an earnings report due in 23 days.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Streak Near Term CatalystStable
  • Wide Moat Compounder QualityStable
  • Overbought Expensive ValuationStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

WD-40 Company (WDFC) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $245.42 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.1% away).

WD-40 Company markets maintenance and homecare/cleaning products in 176+ countries, with the WD-40 Multi-Use Product driving the majority of maintenance product sales through hardware, automotive, retail, and online channels. Revenue comes from direct product sales outsourced to... Read more

$245.42-0.4% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#12 of 36 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield1.94%
IncomeYield1.65%(5y avg 1.55%)Payout65.20%
Stop $230.90Target $244.43(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$254.67+3.8%3 analysts
$244.43our TP
$245.42price
$254.67mean
$229
$270

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $245.42 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.1% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 9, 202610d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.1% away)
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)42.1
P/E (Fwd)38.6
Mkt Cap$3.3B
EV/EBITDA30.0
Profit Mgn12.6%
ROE31.3%
Rev Growth10.7%
Beta0.29
Dividend1.65%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.61bullish
IV55%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Forward Pe
2.8
Pe
2.9
Peg Ratio
2.9
Analyst Target
3.0
Ps
6.7
Forward P/E: 38.6xPEG: 4.30
GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 10d<=14d (soft)Momentum 7.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
83 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $192.88Resistance $249.42

Price Targets

$231
$244
A.Upside-0.4%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.8% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-09 (10d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WDFC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $245.42 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.1% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $230.90. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WDFC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $244.43 (-0.4% upside). Prior stop was $230.90. Stop-loss: $230.90.

What are the risks of investing in WDFC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.1% away); Expensive valuation.

Is WDFC overvalued or undervalued?

WD-40 Company trades at a P/E of 42.1 (forward 38.6). TrendMatrix value score: 3.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WDFC?

10 analysts cover WDFC with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $255.

What does WD-40 Company do?WD-40 Company markets maintenance and homecare/cleaning products in 176+ countries, with the WD-40 Multi-Use Product...

WD-40 Company markets maintenance and homecare/cleaning products in 176+ countries, with the WD-40 Multi-Use Product driving the majority of maintenance product sales through hardware, automotive, retail, and online channels. Revenue comes from direct product sales outsourced to third-party contract manufacturers globally; 66% of FY2025 consolidated net sales were from outside the U.S., with 714 employees across 18 countries.

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