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WD-40 Company (WDFC) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Temp Headwind edge

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Sell if holding. At $211.44, A.R:R 0.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: sales outside the U.S. (66.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single or sole source suppliers.

WD-40 Company markets maintenance products (WD-40 Multi-Use Product, WD-40 Specialist) and homecare/cleaning products globally through hardware stores, automotive outlets, mass retail, and online channels, with 714 employees in 18 countries. Revenue is product-sale based, with... Read more

$211.44+0.3% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#12 of 36 Specialty Chemicals
Stop $197.32Target $212.07(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.0:1
Analyst target$249.50+18.0%2 analysts
$212.07our TP
$211.44price
$249.50mean
$270

Sell if holding. At $211.44, A.R:R 0.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: sales outside the U.S. (66.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single or sole source suppliers. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 70d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: sales outside the U.S. (66.0%)
Concentration risk — Supplier: single or sole source suppliers
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)36.3
P/E (Fwd)33.5
Mkt Cap$2.9B
EV/EBITDA25.8
Profit Mgn12.6%
ROE31.3%
Rev Growth10.7%
Beta0.24
Dividend1.84%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C1.14bearish
IV48%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicsales outside the U.S.66%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our sales outside the U.S. were approximately 66% of consolidated net sales in fiscal year 2025.'
  • HIGHSuppliersingle or sole source suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'We rely on a limited number of third-party contract manufacturers, logistics providers and suppliers, including single or sole source suppliers'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-19Item 5.02LOW
    On February 18, 2026, WD-40 Board appointed Ken Allen Plunk as director, also to Audit and Finance Committees. Previously CFO of J&J Snack Foods (2020-2024) and held roles at Wal-Mart.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Peg Ratio
3.1
Forward Pe
3.3
Pe
3.5
Ps
7.2
Forward P/E: 33.5xPEG: 4.02

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
3.0
Rsi
5.5
Macd
10.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-MA but MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 3.9<4.5A.R:R 0.0 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 70d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $197.60Resistance $228.12

Price Targets

$197
$212
A.Upside+0.3%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.3% upside)
! Momentum score 3.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.0:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-09 (70d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WDFC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $211.44, A.R:R 0.0:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: sales outside the U.S. (66.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single or sole source suppliers. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $197.32. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WDFC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $212.07 (+0.3% upside). Prior stop was $197.32. Stop-loss: $197.32.

What are the risks of investing in WDFC?

Concentration risk — Geographic: sales outside the U.S. (66.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single or sole source suppliers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is WDFC overvalued or undervalued?

WD-40 Company trades at a P/E of 36.3 (forward 33.5). TrendMatrix value score: 3.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WDFC?

9 analysts cover WDFC with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $250.

What does WD-40 Company do?WD-40 Company markets maintenance products (WD-40 Multi-Use Product, WD-40 Specialist) and homecare/cleaning products...

WD-40 Company markets maintenance products (WD-40 Multi-Use Product, WD-40 Specialist) and homecare/cleaning products globally through hardware stores, automotive outlets, mass retail, and online channels, with 714 employees in 18 countries. Revenue is product-sale based, with approximately 66% of net sales from outside the U.S. in fiscal 2025. Divesting homecare/cleaning assets to focus on higher-margin maintenance products.

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