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WDFCWD-40 CompanyHold5.4·$205.55+1.06%
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WD-40 Company (WDFC) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldDEATH CROSS (EXEMPT)Moderate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $205.55, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: international (outside of the U.S.) (66.0%); Thin upside margin: 3.2%.

WD-40 Company is a global marketing organization selling maintenance products (principally WD-40 Multi-Use Product) in 176+ countries and homecare/cleaning products (being divested) in select markets, with ~714 employees across 18 countries. Approximately 66% of fiscal 2025 net... Read more

$205.55+3.2% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#13 of 36 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.34%
IncomeYield1.91%(5y avg 1.55%)Payout65.20%
Stop $193.33Target $212.07(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst target$249.50+21.4%2 analysts
$212.07our TP
$205.55price
$249.50mean
$270

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $205.55, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: international (outside of the U.S.) (66.0%); Thin upside margin: 3.2%. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 52. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, positive momentum, news events none recent, earnings proximity 30d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 9, 202630d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.1 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: international (outside of the U.S.) (66.0%)
Thin upside margin: 3.2%
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)35.0
P/E (Fwd)32.3
Mkt Cap$2.8B
EV/EBITDA24.9
Profit Mgn12.6%
ROE31.3%
Rev Growth10.7%
Beta0.29
Dividend1.91%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.13bearish
IV57%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicinternational (outside of the U.S.)66%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our sales outside the U.S. were approximately 66% of consolidated net sales in fiscal year 2025.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-19Item 5.02LOW
    Ken Allen Plunk appointed to Board of Directors effective February 18, 2026, also serving on Audit and Finance Committees. Former CFO of J&J Snack Foods and senior executive at Walmart. Routine board appointment.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Peg Ratio
3.2
Forward Pe
3.5
Pe
3.7
Ps
7.3
Forward P/E: 32.3xPEG: 3.87
GatesA.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotDeath cross exempted (quality + momentum high enough)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 30d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $192.88Resistance $211.77

Price Targets

$193
$212
A.Upside+3.2%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.5 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-09 (30d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WDFC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $205.55, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: international (outside of the U.S.) (66.0%); Thin upside margin: 3.2%. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 52. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $212.07 (+3.2%), stop $193.33 (−6.3%), A.R:R 0.5:1. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WDFC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $212.07 (+3.2% upside). Target $212.07 (+3.2%), stop $193.33 (−6.3%), A.R:R 0.5:1. Stop-loss: $193.33.

What are the risks of investing in WDFC?

Concentration risk — Geographic: international (outside of the U.S.) (66.0%); Thin upside margin: 3.2%; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

Is WDFC overvalued or undervalued?

WD-40 Company trades at a P/E of 35.0 (forward 32.3). TrendMatrix value score: 3.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about WDFC?

10 analysts cover WDFC with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $250.

What does WD-40 Company do?WD-40 Company is a global marketing organization selling maintenance products (principally WD-40 Multi-Use Product) in...

WD-40 Company is a global marketing organization selling maintenance products (principally WD-40 Multi-Use Product) in 176+ countries and homecare/cleaning products (being divested) in select markets, with ~714 employees across 18 countries. Approximately 66% of fiscal 2025 net sales came from outside the U.S., with the largest customer below 10% of consolidated sales.

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