Skip to main content
RHRHSell4.3·$150.16-1.88%
Open full analysis

RH (RH) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $150.16: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 61%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

RH is a luxury home furnishings retailer with 89 retail locations including Design Galleries in the U.S., Canada, and Europe. Revenue is driven by members who accounted for approximately 97% of sales in fiscal 2025 among ~262,000 members; sourcing is heavily concentrated in Asia.

$150.16+6.7% A.UpsideScore 4.3/10#18 of 18 Specialty Retail
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield9.87%
Stop $139.77Target $160.29(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$165.12+10.0%17 analysts
$160.29our TP
$150.16price
$165.12mean
$86
$275

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $150.16: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 61%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 61. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 87d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Sep 10, 202687d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Asia (69.0%)
Target reached (-1.1% upside)
Risk below floor (2.6 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)29.6
P/E (Fwd)16.6
Mkt Cap$2.9B
EV/EBITDA14.0
Profit Mgn3.0%
ROE
Rev Growth-1.7%
Beta1.90
DividendNone
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C0.63bullish
IV69%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicAsia69%
    10-K Item 1A: '69% of our products were sourced from Asia, including 39% from Vietnam, 13% from China and the remainder predominantly from Indonesia and India'
  • MEDIUMGeographicVietnam39%
    10-K Item 1A: '69% of our products were sourced from Asia, including 39% from Vietnam, 13% from China'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -1.7% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.1
Declining revenue: -2%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Volatile — 6.5% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Short Interest
0.0
Volatility
0.0
Debt Equity
0.0
Implied Vol
1.8
Days To Cover
3.7
Beta
3.7
Put Call
9.1
High short interest: 61%High IV: 69%Concentration risks: 1 HIGH, 1 MED (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.1
Quality Rank
1.7
Value Rank
3.6

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
1.7
Support Resistance
2.7
Bollinger
3.7
Gap
5.0

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M
GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.6>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 87d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
61 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $113.60Resistance $163.56

Price Targets

$140
$160
A.Upside+6.7%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.1% upside)
! Risk below floor (2.6 < 3.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-10 (87d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $150.16: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 61%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 61. Prior stop was $139.77. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $160.29 (+6.7% upside). Prior stop was $139.77. Stop-loss: $139.77.

What are the risks of investing in RH?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Asia (69.0%); Target reached (-1.1% upside); Risk below floor (2.6 < 3.0).

Is RH overvalued or undervalued?

RH trades at a P/E of 29.6 (forward 16.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RH?

28 analysts cover RH with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $165.

What does RH do?RH is a luxury home furnishings retailer with 89 retail locations including Design Galleries in the U.S., Canada, and...

RH is a luxury home furnishings retailer with 89 retail locations including Design Galleries in the U.S., Canada, and Europe. Revenue is driven by members who accounted for approximately 97% of sales in fiscal 2025 among ~262,000 members; sourcing is heavily concentrated in Asia.

Related stocks: MNSO (MINISO Group Holding Limited) · FIVE (Five Below, Inc.) · BBWI (Bath & Body Works, Inc.) · MUSA (Murphy USA Inc.) · SBH (Sally Beauty Holdings, Inc. (Na)
Home Stocks RH

Latest news

Latest News

GuruFocus62d ago
StocksToTrade59d ago
Timothysykes.com59d ago
Quiver Quantitative59d ago
MSN60d ago
Benzinga3d ago
Benzinga3d ago
Benzinga3d ago
Benzinga3d agoEarnings
Benzinga3d agoAnalyst
Benzinga4d agoAnalyst
Benzinga4d agoAnalyst
Benzinga4d agoAnalyst
Benzinga4d ago
Benzinga4d agoAnalyst
Benzinga4d ago
Benzinga4d ago
Benzinga4d agoEarnings
Benzinga4d ago
Benzinga4d agoEarnings
Loading more...