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RH (RH) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $132.00: Risk below floor (2.6 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 38%; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.

RH is a luxury home furnishings retailer operating galleries across the US, Canada, and Europe, with integrated hospitality (restaurants, wine bars) in 25 locations. It sells furniture, lighting, textiles, and decor through galleries, websites, and Sourcebooks to high-end... Read more

$132.00+8.1% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#5 of 18 Specialty Retail
Stop $122.76Target $142.73(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst target$158.59+20.1%17 analysts
$142.73our TP
$132.00price
$158.59mean
$88
$275

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $132.00: Risk below floor (2.6 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 38%; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 60. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity 42d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: Asia (69.0%)
Risk below floor (2.6 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.9
P/E (Fwd)13.8
Mkt Cap$2.5B
EV/EBITDA11.9
Profit Mgn3.6%
ROE
Rev Growth3.7%
Beta2.10
DividendNone
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.08bearish
IV79%elevated
Max Pain$70-47.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSupplierAsia69%
    10-K Item 1A: '69% of our products were sourced from Asia, including 39% from Vietnam, 13% from China and the remainder predominantly from Indonesia and India'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-01-26Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Stefan Duban, Chief Gallery & Customer Officer, departed January 26, 2026 by mutual understanding per existing employment arrangements. Responsibilities assigned to other Company leaders effective immediately. No successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Risk profile below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Short Interest
0.0
Debt Equity
0.0
Implied Vol
0.2
Volatility
0.8
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Beta
3.0
Put Call
6.1
Days To Cover
7.7
High short interest: 38%High IV: 79%Above max pain $70Concentration risks: 1 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.3
Support Resistance
3.9
Bollinger
4.4

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
4.5
Macd
10.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.7%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.9<4.5A.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY 42d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
60 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $108.38Resistance $147.12

Price Targets

$123
$143
A.Upside+8.1%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Risk below floor (2.6 < 3.0)
! Momentum score 3.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.5:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-06-11 (42d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $132.00: Risk below floor (2.6 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 38%; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 60. Prior stop was $122.76. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $142.73 (+8.1% upside). Prior stop was $122.76. Stop-loss: $122.76.

What are the risks of investing in RH?

Concentration risk — Supplier: Asia (69.0%); Risk below floor (2.6 < 3.0).

Is RH overvalued or undervalued?

RH trades at a P/E of 20.9 (forward 13.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RH?

28 analysts cover RH with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $159.

What does RH do?RH is a luxury home furnishings retailer operating galleries across the US, Canada, and Europe, with integrated...

RH is a luxury home furnishings retailer operating galleries across the US, Canada, and Europe, with integrated hospitality (restaurants, wine bars) in 25 locations. It sells furniture, lighting, textiles, and decor through galleries, websites, and Sourcebooks to high-end consumers. 69% of products are sourced from Asia.

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