Rubrik has achieved an elite Rule of 40 score of 70, a perfect four-quarter earnings beat streak with an average surprise of 249%, and strong free cash flow of 31% of revenue despite GAAP losses — yet persistent negative price momentum and a death cross block new entry, making this a quality business waiting for a better technical setup.
Thesis pillars
- Elite Rule Of 40 Cash Generation→Stable
- Strong Piotroski And Gross Margin→Stable
- Perfect Earnings Beat Streak↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Rubrik, Inc. (RBRK) Stock Analysis
Technology · Software - Infrastructure
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $73.14, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -13.6%), Material insider selling (60 sells, 0.17% of cap).
Rubrik sells Zero Trust Data Security solutions via its Rubrik Security Cloud (RSC) SaaS platform, protecting enterprise, cloud, SaaS, and identity data sources against cyberattacks. Revenue was $1.32 billion for the fiscal year ended January 31, 2026, growing from $886.5... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $73.14, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -13.6%), Material insider selling (60 sells, 0.17% of cap). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 45d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
About Rubrik, Inc.
About Rubrik, Inc.
Rubrik generated $1.32 billion in revenue for the fiscal year ended January 31, 2026, up from $886.5 million in fiscal 2025 and $627.9 million in fiscal 2024, while carrying an accumulated deficit of $3.19 billion at January 31, 2026. International revenue across EMEA and Asia-Pacific grew from $250.4 million in fiscal 2025 to $364.5 million in fiscal 2026. In February 2026, the Rubrik Agent Cloud (RAC) became commercially available, adding an AI agent lifecycle management and remediation layer on top of the existing RSC platform.
Rubrik earns subscription revenue by selling RSC through a direct sales force and a partner network that includes distributors, resellers, system integrators, and managed service providers. The company's land-and-expand model drives revenue as customers add workloads, identity providers (Microsoft Active Directory, EntraID, and Okta are explicitly integrated), and additional security modules over time. Contracts run generally three years, and as of the end of fiscal 2026, SaaS subscriptions represented a majority of total revenue—completing the transition away from perpetual licenses and Rubrik-branded Appliance sales (the appliance shift to contract manufacturers was largely completed in fiscal 2025). Infrastructure costs are materially influenced by pricing negotiated with Google Cloud, Microsoft Azure, and Amazon Web Services; the 10-K notes that increased public cloud contract costs would negatively impact gross margins. Customers retain no obligation to renew subscriptions, and the company expects Subscription Credit exercises and forfeitures to benefit revenue through fiscal 2027 before sequentially declining.
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Rubrik's position as a data protection supply chain vendor makes its platform a persistent reconnaissance target. In February 2025, the company disclosed anomalous activity on a server containing log files, certain of which were accessed by an unauthorized actor. The 10-K states that if Rubrik's solutions are compromised, a significant number or all of the company's customers and their data could be adversely affected—a systemic event the filing characterizes as potentially catastrophic and capable of causing irreparable harm to reputation and results of operations.
See also: Technology · Software - Infrastructure
From Rubrik, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-26Recent Developments — Rubrik, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS RBRK Stock Gains Fresh Attention as Early Market Signals Hint at a Fast-Approaching Move - vocal.media — vocal.media positive
- NEWS RBRK Rubrik tops Q1 2026 earnings estimates, posts 48.5 percent annual revenue growth as shares rise 2.05 percent. - AI — Xã Vĩnh Công positive
- NEWS Rubrik Announces Cyber Resilience for Google Cloud SQL - Business Wire — Business Wire positive
- NEWS Baron Opportunity Fund Selects Rubrik (RBRK) Amid Layered Growth Signals - Dividend Growth Analysis - Newser — Newser positive
- NEWS Rubrik upgraded to Outperform ahead of Q1 earnings: Oppenheimer - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha positive
Generated 2026-07-26T08:08:27Z.
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Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $73.14, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -13.6%), Material insider selling (60 sells, 0.17% of cap). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $85.71 (+17.2%), stop $68.11 (−7.4%), A.R:R 1.3:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $85.71 (+17.0% upside). Target $85.71 (+17.2%), stop $68.11 (−7.4%), A.R:R 1.3:1. Stop-loss: $68.11.
Negative momentum; Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -13.6%), Material insider selling (60 sells, 0.17% of cap).
Rubrik, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 112.6). TrendMatrix value score: 4.6/10. Verdict: Hold.
34 analysts cover RBRK with a consensus score of 4.4/5. Average price target: $95.
What does Rubrik, Inc. do?Rubrik sells Zero Trust Data Security solutions via its Rubrik Security Cloud (RSC) SaaS platform, protecting...
Rubrik sells Zero Trust Data Security solutions via its Rubrik Security Cloud (RSC) SaaS platform, protecting enterprise, cloud, SaaS, and identity data sources against cyberattacks. Revenue was $1.32 billion for the fiscal year ended January 31, 2026, growing from $886.5 million in fiscal 2025, primarily through three-year SaaS subscriptions sold via a direct sales team and partner network.