Skip to main content

Rubrik, Inc. (RBRK) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $52.94, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -21.8%), Material insider selling (25 sells, 0.10% of cap).

Rubrik provides cloud-native Zero Trust Data Security via its Rubrik Security Cloud SaaS platform, protecting enterprise, cloud, SaaS, unstructured data, and identity providers against cyberattacks; $1.32B revenue for fiscal year ended January 31, 2026. Revenue is primarily... Read more

$52.94+43.6% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#17 of 80 Software - Infrastructure
Stop $49.32Target $76.15(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.9:1
Analyst target$84.62+59.8%26 analysts
$76.15our TP
$52.94price
$84.62mean
$126

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $52.94, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -21.8%), Material insider selling (25 sells, 0.10% of cap). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 71. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 35d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 44%
Risks
Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -21.8%), Material insider selling (25 sells, 0.10% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)92.4
Mkt Cap$11.0B
EV/EBITDA-32.3
Profit Mgn-26.5%
ROE
Rev Growth46.3%
Beta0.64
DividendNone
Rating analysts32

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.19bearish
IV73%elevated
Max Pain$69+30.3% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-04Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Brian McCarthy (President, Global Sales and Field Operations) resigned effective February 6, 2026, to pursue another opportunity. Jesse Green (President, Rubrik Americas) promoted to Chief Revenue Officer as successor.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.3
Support Resistance
2.4
Bollinger
3.6
Gap
6.0
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.8>=5.5A.R:R 2.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 35d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
71 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $42.25Resistance $56.50

Price Targets

$49
$76
A.Upside+43.8%
A.R:R2.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Analyst Consensus

Analysts32
Consensus4.3/5
Avg Target$85

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-06-04 (35d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RBRK stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $52.94, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -21.8%), Material insider selling (25 sells, 0.10% of cap). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 71. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $76.15 (+43.8%), stop $49.32 (−7.3%), A.R:R 2.9:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RBRK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $76.15 (+43.6% upside). Target $76.15 (+43.8%), stop $49.32 (−7.3%), A.R:R 2.9:1. Stop-loss: $49.32.

What are the risks of investing in RBRK?

Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -21.8%), Material insider selling (25 sells, 0.10% of cap).

Is RBRK overvalued or undervalued?

Rubrik, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 92.4). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about RBRK?

32 analysts cover RBRK with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $85.

What does Rubrik, Inc. do?Rubrik provides cloud-native Zero Trust Data Security via its Rubrik Security Cloud SaaS platform, protecting...

Rubrik provides cloud-native Zero Trust Data Security via its Rubrik Security Cloud SaaS platform, protecting enterprise, cloud, SaaS, unstructured data, and identity providers against cyberattacks; $1.32B revenue for fiscal year ended January 31, 2026. Revenue is primarily subscription-based (majority of total revenue as of fiscal 2026 end); no single customer concentration disclosed. In February 2026, Rubrik launched Rubrik Agent Cloud (RAC) for enterprise AI agent security.

Related stocks: PICS (PicS N.V.) · DLO (DLocal Limited) · KSPI (Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz - ) · GEN (Gen Digital Inc.) · PAGS (PagSeguro Digital Ltd.)