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RBRKRubrik, Inc.Hold6.1·$70.00+0.30%
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Rubrik, Inc. (RBRK) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $70.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: mixed signals — some dimensions strong, others weak.

Rubrik sells Zero Trust Data Security solutions via its Rubrik Security Cloud (RSC) SaaS platform, protecting enterprise, cloud, SaaS, and identity data sources against cyberattacks. Revenue was $1.32 billion for the fiscal year ended January 31, 2026, growing from $886.5... Read more

$70.00+24.2% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#17 of 77 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.07%
Stop $64.34Target $85.95(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.6:1
Analyst target$95.50+36.4%28 analysts
$85.95our TP
$70.00price
$95.50mean
$126

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $70.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: mixed signals — some dimensions strong, others weak. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/10 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, news boost analyst cluster(9), earnings proximity 84d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Rubrik, Inc.

About Rubrik, Inc.

Rubrik generated $1.32 billion in revenue for the fiscal year ended January 31, 2026, up from $886.5 million in fiscal 2025 and $627.9 million in fiscal 2024, while carrying an accumulated deficit of $3.19 billion at January 31, 2026. International revenue across EMEA and Asia-Pacific grew from $250.4 million in fiscal 2025 to $364.5 million in fiscal 2026. In February 2026, the Rubrik Agent Cloud (RAC) became commercially available, adding an AI agent lifecycle management and remediation layer on top of the existing RSC platform.

Rubrik earns subscription revenue by selling RSC through a direct sales force and a partner network that includes distributors, resellers, system integrators, and managed service providers. The company's land-and-expand model drives revenue as customers add workloads, identity providers (Microsoft Active Directory, EntraID, and Okta are explicitly integrated), and additional security modules over time. Contracts run generally three years, and as of the end of fiscal 2026, SaaS subscriptions represented a majority of total revenue—completing the transition away from perpetual licenses and Rubrik-branded Appliance sales (the appliance shift to contract manufacturers was largely completed in fiscal 2025). Infrastructure costs are materially influenced by pricing negotiated with Google Cloud, Microsoft Azure, and Amazon Web Services; the 10-K notes that increased public cloud contract costs would negatively impact gross margins. Customers retain no obligation to renew subscriptions, and the company expects Subscription Credit exercises and forfeitures to benefit revenue through fiscal 2027 before sequentially declining.

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Rubrik's position as a data protection supply chain vendor makes its platform a persistent reconnaissance target. In February 2025, the company disclosed anomalous activity on a server containing log files, certain of which were accessed by an unauthorized actor. The 10-K states that if Rubrik's solutions are compromised, a significant number or all of the company's customers and their data could be adversely affected—a systemic event the filing characterizes as potentially catastrophic and capable of causing irreparable harm to reputation and results of operations.

See also: Technology · Software - Infrastructure

From Rubrik, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Sep 8, 202684d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 24%
Risks
No bear case signals

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)107.9
Mkt Cap$14.4B
EV/EBITDA-49.3
Profit Mgn-20.3%
ROE
Rev Growth39.0%
Beta1.10
DividendNone
Rating analysts35

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.72neutral
IV72%elevated
Max Pain$115+64.3% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesMomentum 4.2<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 1.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70NEWS BOOST ANALYST CLUSTER(9)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 84d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $63.30Resistance $86.45

Price Targets

$64
$86
A.Upside+22.8%
A.R:R1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 4.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-08 (84d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RBRK stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $70.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: mixed signals — some dimensions strong, others weak. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $85.95 (+22.8%), stop $64.34 (−8.8%), A.R:R 1.6:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RBRK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $85.95 (+24.2% upside). Target $85.95 (+22.8%), stop $64.34 (−8.8%), A.R:R 1.6:1. Stop-loss: $64.34.

Is RBRK overvalued or undervalued?

Rubrik, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 107.9). TrendMatrix value score: 4.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about RBRK?

35 analysts cover RBRK with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $96.

What does Rubrik, Inc. do?Rubrik sells Zero Trust Data Security solutions via its Rubrik Security Cloud (RSC) SaaS platform, protecting...

Rubrik sells Zero Trust Data Security solutions via its Rubrik Security Cloud (RSC) SaaS platform, protecting enterprise, cloud, SaaS, and identity data sources against cyberattacks. Revenue was $1.32 billion for the fiscal year ended January 31, 2026, growing from $886.5 million in fiscal 2025, primarily through three-year SaaS subscriptions sold via a direct sales team and partner network.

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