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Rubrik, Inc. (RBRK) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Sell if holding. At $64.12, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Overbought (RSI 76); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Rubrik provides cloud-native Zero Trust Data Security via its Rubrik Security Cloud SaaS platform, protecting enterprise, cloud, SaaS, unstructured data, and identity providers against cyberattacks; $1.32B revenue for fiscal year ended January 31, 2026. Revenue is primarily... Read more

$64.12+17.6% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#32 of 78 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.94%
Stop $59.83Target $75.67(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.2:1
Analyst target$84.07+31.1%27 analysts
$75.67our TP
$64.12price
$84.07mean
$126

Sell if holding. At $64.12, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Overbought (RSI 76); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 76. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 16d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Rubrik, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Overbought (RSI 76)
Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)112.3
Mkt Cap$13.4B
EV/EBITDA-39.5
Profit Mgn-26.5%
ROE
Rev Growth46.3%
Beta0.63
DividendNone
Rating analysts34

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.17bearish
IV97%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-04Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Brian McCarthy (President, Global Sales and Field Operations) resigned effective February 6, 2026, to pursue another opportunity. Jesse Green (President, Rubrik Americas) promoted to Chief Revenue Officer as successor.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.5
Support Resistance
1.7
52w Position
2.5
Gap
5.0
GatesA.R:R 1.2 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 16d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
76 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $49.88Resistance $67.31

Price Targets

$60
$76
A.Upside+18.0%
A.R:R1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Reward/Risk 1.2:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-06-04 (16d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RBRK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $64.12, A.R:R 1.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Overbought (RSI 76); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 76. Prior stop was $59.83. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RBRK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $75.67 (+17.6% upside). Prior stop was $59.83. Stop-loss: $59.83.

What are the risks of investing in RBRK?

Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Overbought (RSI 76); Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is RBRK overvalued or undervalued?

Rubrik, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 112.3). TrendMatrix value score: 4.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RBRK?

34 analysts cover RBRK with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $84.

What does Rubrik, Inc. do?Rubrik provides cloud-native Zero Trust Data Security via its Rubrik Security Cloud SaaS platform, protecting...

Rubrik provides cloud-native Zero Trust Data Security via its Rubrik Security Cloud SaaS platform, protecting enterprise, cloud, SaaS, unstructured data, and identity providers against cyberattacks; $1.32B revenue for fiscal year ended January 31, 2026. Revenue is primarily subscription-based (majority of total revenue as of fiscal 2026 end); no single customer concentration disclosed. In February 2026, Rubrik launched Rubrik Agent Cloud (RAC) for enterprise AI agent security.

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