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PODDInsulet CorporationBuy Wait6.6·$147.74-0.27%
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Insulet Corporation (PODD) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Temp Headwind edge

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Devices

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $167.43 but weak momentum; below 200-day MA (death cross) still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: Omnipod product platform; Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-sourced components.

Insulet Corporation develops and manufactures the Omnipod tubeless insulin delivery platform for people with insulin-dependent diabetes, sold in 25 countries with Omnipod 5 available in 19. Revenue derives almost entirely from Omnipod product sales through three distributors... Read more

$147.74+51.7% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#2 of 40 Medical Devices
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.48%
Entry $167.43(Support Atr Sticky)Stop $154.73Target $218.19(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 5.5:1
Analyst target$242.43+64.1%23 analysts
$218.19our TP
$147.74price
$242.43mean
$360

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $167.43 but weak momentum; below 200-day MA (death cross) still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: Omnipod product platform; Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-sourced components. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 52. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 1.31, quality 7.6/10, growth 10.0/10). Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Insulet Corporation

About Insulet Corporation

Insulet Corporation's Omnipod 5 Automated Insulin Delivery System—FDA-cleared in 2022 and expanded to type 2 diabetes in August 2024—anchors a platform sold across 25 countries. Three unnamed distributors (Distributor A, B, and C) accounted for 27%, 26%, and 25% of total revenue respectively in 2025, while international sales represented 28% of revenues. During 2025, Insulet launched Omnipod 5 integration with Dexcom's G7 CGM in the iOS app and across Germany, Sweden, Denmark, Finland, and Italy.

Insulet sells Omnipod through U.S. wholesalers and pharmacies covered by commercial insurance, Medicare Part D, and Medicaid via contracts established in all 50 states. Internationally, the company distributes directly to consumers or through intermediaries that establish local reimbursement contracts. Manufacturing spans three sites: Acton, Massachusetts; Johor, Malaysia; and contract lines operated by a third-party manufacturer in China—a geography where supply disruption risk and post-COVID pressure to reduce medical device dependency are both flagged in the 10-K. The company competes with Medtronic Diabetes (being spun out as an independent company), Tandem Diabetes Care, and Beta Bionics in the insulin pump segment, as well as MDI therapy providers. Insulet's non-insulin Drug Delivery product line—generating substantially all revenue from Amgen's Neulasta Onpro kit under an agreement expiring December 2028—faces separate commercialization risks tied to pharmaceutical partner performance.

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Sole-sourced component supply poses a material continuity risk. Insulet purchases application-specific integrated circuit chips, Bluetooth low-energy chips, and other specialized parts from suppliers that, in some instances, own the related intellectual property exclusively—leaving the company with no alternate source. These components are critical to product design and functionality, managed only by holding inventory at both Insulet and the supplier. Substantially all U.S. inventory is held at a single Massachusetts location, adding geographic concentration to the component-level supply risk.

See also: Healthcare · Medical Devices

From Insulet Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Omnipod product platform
Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-sourced components
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)34.5
P/E (Fwd)18.3
Mkt Cap$10.2B
EV/EBITDA17.9
Profit Mgn10.4%
ROE23.0%
Rev Growth33.9%
Beta1.13
DividendNone
Rating analysts34

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.86neutral
IV56%elevated
Max Pain$200+35.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerDistributor A27%
    10-K Item 1: 'Distributor A| 27%'
  • MEDIUMCustomerDistributor B26%
    10-K Item 1: 'Distributor B| 26%'
  • MEDIUMCustomerDistributor C25%
    10-K Item 1: 'Distributor C| 25%'
  • HIGHProductOmnipod product platform
    10-K Item 1A: 'We expect to continue to derive nearly all our revenue from our Omnipod product platform'
  • HIGHSuppliersole-sourced components
    10-K Item 1: 'we are sole-sourced, with the supplier controlling the intellectual property rights'
  • HIGHCustomerAmgen (Drug Delivery)
    10-K Item 1A: 'Substantially all of our commercialized Drug Delivery revenue consists of sales of a customized version of our product for use in Amgen's Neulasta Onpro kit'
  • MEDIUMGeographicInternational28%
    10-K Item 1A: 'International sales made up 28% of our revenues in 2025'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.9
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
4.5
Macd
10.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -8.2%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.5<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 5.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $140.63Resistance $161.35

Price Targets

$155
$167
$218
A.Upside+47.7%
A.R:R5.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.6%
Max %1.2%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PODD stock a buy right now?

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $167.43 but weak momentum; below 200-day MA (death cross) still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: Omnipod product platform; Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-sourced components. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 52. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 1.31, quality 7.6/10, growth 10.0/10). Target $218.19 (+47.7%), stop $154.73 (−-4.5%), Setup A.R:R 10.1:1. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PODD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $218.19 (+51.7% upside). Target $218.19 (+47.7%), stop $154.73 (−-4.5%), Setup A.R:R 10.1:1. Stop-loss: $154.73.

What are the risks of investing in PODD?

Concentration risk — Product: Omnipod product platform; Concentration risk — Supplier: sole-sourced components; Negative momentum.

Is PODD overvalued or undervalued?

Insulet Corporation trades at a P/E of 34.5 (forward 18.3). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about PODD?

34 analysts cover PODD with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $242.

What does Insulet Corporation do?Insulet Corporation develops and manufactures the Omnipod tubeless insulin delivery platform for people with...

Insulet Corporation develops and manufactures the Omnipod tubeless insulin delivery platform for people with insulin-dependent diabetes, sold in 25 countries with Omnipod 5 available in 19. Revenue derives almost entirely from Omnipod product sales through three distributors accounting for roughly 78% of sales combined, with international markets representing 28% of revenues in 2025.

Related stocks: GMED (Globus Medical, Inc.) · BSX (Boston Scientific Corporation) · DXCM (DexCom, Inc.) · ZBH (Zimmer Biomet Holdings, Inc.) · AORT (Artivion, Inc.)
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