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PNFPPinnacle Financial Partners, InBuy Wait6.6·$99.50-1.31%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Pinnacle Financial Partners is a regional bank with 156% year-over-year earnings growth, an attractive forward P/E of 8.1x with a PEG of 0.13, and an industry-leading growth score of 10/10 — trading at a modest 9.2% implied upside with acceptable asymmetry for a cautious hold position.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Earnings GrowthStable
  • Attractive Valuation For GrowthStable
  • Earnings Beat Track RecordStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Pinnacle Financial Partners, In (PNFP) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Wait for pullback to $97.04. At $99.50 the A.R:R is 0.9:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $97.04 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Thin upside margin: 6.8%.

Pinnacle Financial Partners, headquartered in Nashville, Tennessee, held approximately $57.7 billion in total assets at December 31, 2025, operating 141 banking offices across southeastern and mid-Atlantic states including Tennessee, North Carolina, and South Carolina. Revenue... Read more

$99.50+9.5% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#19 of 225 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield1.49%(5y avg 1.05%)Payout16.97%sustainable
Entry $97.04(Ma50 Sticky)Stop $91.89Target $106.29(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.9:1
Analyst target$118.10+18.7%20 analysts
$106.29our TP
$99.50price
$118.10mean
$132

Wait for pullback to $97.04. At $99.50 the A.R:R is 0.9:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $97.04 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Thin upside margin: 6.8%. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 19d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 22, 202619d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Thin upside margin: 6.8%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.8
P/E (Fwd)8.4
Mkt Cap$15.0B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn24.7%
ROE6.2%
Rev Growth156.4%
Beta1.03
Dividend1.49%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.07bullish
IV45%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMloan_portfolioC&I loans42%
    10-K Item 1A: 'commercial and industrial loans accounted for approximately 41.8% of our total loans'
  • MEDIUMGeographicsoutheastern United States
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our operations are principally geographically concentrated in certain markets in the southeastern United States'
  • MEDIUMcounterpartyBHG
    10-K Item 1A: 'BHG's results of operations are a meaningful portion of our results of operations'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.3>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 19d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
68 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $91.74Resistance $102.61

Price Targets

$92
$97
$106
A.Upside+6.8%
A.R:R0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1.1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! asymmetry at 0.9 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (19d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PNFP stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $97.04. At $99.50 the A.R:R is 0.9:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $97.04 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Thin upside margin: 6.8%. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $106.29 (+6.8%), stop $91.89 (−8.3%), A.R:R 0.9:1. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PNFP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $106.29 (+9.5% upside). Target $106.29 (+6.8%), stop $91.89 (−8.3%), A.R:R 0.9:1. Stop-loss: $91.89.

What are the risks of investing in PNFP?

Thin upside margin: 6.8%.

Is PNFP overvalued or undervalued?

Pinnacle Financial Partners, In trades at a P/E of 13.8 (forward 8.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about PNFP?

25 analysts cover PNFP with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $118.

What does Pinnacle Financial Partners, In do?Pinnacle Financial Partners, headquartered in Nashville, Tennessee, held approximately $57.7 billion in total assets at...

Pinnacle Financial Partners, headquartered in Nashville, Tennessee, held approximately $57.7 billion in total assets at December 31, 2025, operating 141 banking offices across southeastern and mid-Atlantic states including Tennessee, North Carolina, and South Carolina. Revenue comes from commercial and consumer lending, fee-based services, and a 49% equity stake in Bankers Healthcare Group, which provides specialty loans to healthcare practitioners.

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