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Renasant Corporation (RNST) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Sell if holding. At $39.78, A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate collateral (84.6%); Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: C&I, construction and commercial real estate loans (75.1%).

Renasant Corporation is a Mississippi bank holding company with 277 banking/lending offices across the Southeast following its April 2025 acquisition of The First Bancshares, operating primarily through Renasant Bank. Lending activities (C&I, CRE, residential mortgage) accounted... Read more

$39.78+0.6% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#18 of 142 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield2.41%(5y avg 2.63%)Payout38.14%sustainable
Stop $38.10Target $40.01(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$45.57+14.6%7 analysts
$40.01our TP
$39.78price
$45.57mean
$47

Sell if holding. At $39.78, A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate collateral (84.6%); Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: C&I, construction and commercial real estate loans (75.1%). Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 63d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Renasant Corporation

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate collateral (84.6%)
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: C&I, construction and commercial real estate loans (75.1%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.9
P/E (Fwd)10.0
Mkt Cap$3.7B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn23.3%
ROE6.9%
Rev Growth60.2%
Beta0.99
Dividend2.41%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.06bullish
IV47%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMloan_portfoliocommercial real estate non-owner occupied33%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our commercial real estate - non-owner occupied loans represented approximately 32.79% of our total loans at December 31, 2025.'
  • HIGHloan_portfolioreal estate collateral85%
    10-K Item 1A: 'At December 31, 2025, approximately 84.64% of our loan portfolio had real estate as a primary or secondary component of the collateral securing the loan.'
  • HIGHloan_portfolioC&I, construction and commercial real estate loans75%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 75.10% of our loan portfolio consisted of C&I, construction and commercial real estate loans'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-16Item 5.02LOW
    Amendment to M. Ray (Hoppy) Cole Jr.'s employment agreement effective March 11, 2026, modifying PBRP bonus timing to calendar year basis. No departure; routine compensation adjustment.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.9>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 63d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $38.79Resistance $40.83

Price Targets

$38
$40
A.Upside+0.6%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.3% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-21 (63d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RNST stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $39.78, A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate collateral (84.6%); Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: C&I, construction and commercial real estate loans (75.1%). Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $38.10. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RNST stock price target?

Take-profit target: $40.01 (+0.6% upside). Prior stop was $38.10. Stop-loss: $38.10.

What are the risks of investing in RNST?

Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: real estate collateral (84.6%); Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: C&I, construction and commercial real estate loans (75.1%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is RNST overvalued or undervalued?

Renasant Corporation trades at a P/E of 16.9 (forward 10.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RNST?

13 analysts cover RNST with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $46.

What does Renasant Corporation do?Renasant Corporation is a Mississippi bank holding company with 277 banking/lending offices across the Southeast...

Renasant Corporation is a Mississippi bank holding company with 277 banking/lending offices across the Southeast following its April 2025 acquisition of The First Bancshares, operating primarily through Renasant Bank. Lending activities (C&I, CRE, residential mortgage) accounted for ~81.1% of total gross revenues in 2025.

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