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PNFPPinnacle Financial Partners, InHold5.9·$94.34
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Pinnacle Financial Partners is a regional bank with 156% year-over-year earnings growth, an attractive forward P/E of 8.1x with a PEG of 0.13, and an industry-leading growth score of 10/10 — trading at a modest 9.2% implied upside with acceptable asymmetry for a cautious hold position.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Earnings Growth→Stable
  • Attractive Valuation For Growth→Stable
  • Earnings Beat Track Record↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Pinnacle Financial Partners, In (PNFP) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $94.34, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Negative momentum.

Pinnacle Financial Partners, headquartered in Nashville, Tennessee, held approximately $57.7 billion in total assets at December 31, 2025, operating 141 banking offices across southeastern and mid-Atlantic states including Tennessee, North Carolina, and South Carolina. Revenue... Read more

$94.34+14.6% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#99 of 221 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield2.14%(5y avg 1.08%)Payout20.39%sustainable
Stop $89.80Target $108.08(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.9:1
Analyst target$120.09+27.3%22 analysts
$108.08our TP
$94.34price
$120.09mean
$137

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $94.34, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 26d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-25
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 21, 202626d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.9
P/E (Fwd)8.2
Mkt Cap$14.2B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn24.9%
ROE7.6%
Rev Growth137.0%
Beta1.01
Dividend2.14%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.57bullish
IV41%normal
Max Pain$75-20.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMloan_portfolioC&I loans42%
    10-K Item 1A: 'commercial and industrial loans accounted for approximately 41.8% of our total loans'
  • MEDIUMGeographicsoutheastern United States
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our operations are principally geographically concentrated in certain markets in the southeastern United States'
  • MEDIUMcounterpartyBHG
    10-K Item 1A: 'BHG's results of operations are a meaningful portion of our results of operations'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 22, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.9%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 1.2<4.5A.R:R 2.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 26d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
22 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $92.28Resistance $102.41

Price Targets

$90
$108
A.Upside+14.6%
A.R:R2.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 1.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-21 (26d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PNFP stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $94.34, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $108.08 (+14.6%), stop $89.80 (−5.1%), A.R:R 2.9:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PNFP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $108.08 (+14.6% upside). Target $108.08 (+14.6%), stop $89.80 (−5.1%), A.R:R 2.9:1. Stop-loss: $89.80.

What are the risks of investing in PNFP?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Negative momentum.

Is PNFP overvalued or undervalued?

Pinnacle Financial Partners, In trades at a P/E of 12.9 (forward 8.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about PNFP?

26 analysts cover PNFP with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $120.

What does Pinnacle Financial Partners, In do?Pinnacle Financial Partners, headquartered in Nashville, Tennessee, held approximately $57.7 billion in total assets at...

Pinnacle Financial Partners, headquartered in Nashville, Tennessee, held approximately $57.7 billion in total assets at December 31, 2025, operating 141 banking offices across southeastern and mid-Atlantic states including Tennessee, North Carolina, and South Carolina. Revenue comes from commercial and consumer lending, fee-based services, and a 49% equity stake in Bankers Healthcare Group, which provides specialty loans to healthcare practitioners.

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