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PNFPPinnacle Financial Partners, InHold6.3·$101.01-0.36%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Pinnacle Financial Partners is a regional bank with 156% year-over-year earnings growth, an attractive forward P/E of 8.1x with a PEG of 0.13, and an industry-leading growth score of 10/10 — trading at a modest 9.2% implied upside with acceptable asymmetry for a cautious hold position.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Earnings GrowthStable
  • Attractive Valuation For GrowthStable
  • Earnings Beat Track RecordStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Pinnacle Financial Partners, In (PNFP) Stock Analysis

HoldValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $101.01, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 6.3%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3).

Pinnacle Financial Partners, headquartered in Nashville, Tennessee, held approximately $57.7 billion in total assets at December 31, 2025, operating 141 banking offices across southeastern and mid-Atlantic states including Tennessee, North Carolina, and South Carolina. Revenue... Read more

$101.01+6.3% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#70 of 223 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield2.00%(5y avg 1.08%)Payout20.39%sustainable
Stop $96.13Target $107.33(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.3:1
Analyst target$119.25+18.1%20 analysts
$107.33our TP
$101.01price
$119.25mean
$131

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $101.01, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 6.3%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 40d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-05
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 14, 202640d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Thin upside margin: 6.3%
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.0
P/E (Fwd)8.9
Mkt Cap$15.3B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn24.9%
ROE7.6%
Rev Growth137.0%
Beta1.02
Dividend2.00%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.90neutral
IV48%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMloan_portfolioC&I loans42%
    10-K Item 1A: 'commercial and industrial loans accounted for approximately 41.8% of our total loans'
  • MEDIUMGeographicsoutheastern United States
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our operations are principally geographically concentrated in certain markets in the southeastern United States'
  • MEDIUMcounterpartyBHG
    10-K Item 1A: 'BHG's results of operations are a meaningful portion of our results of operations'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 1.2 < 1.5@spotMomentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.6>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 40d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
32 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $96.71Resistance $108.40

Price Targets

$96
$107
A.Upside+6.3%
A.R:R1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 1.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-14 (40d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PNFP stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $101.01, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 6.3%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $107.33 (+6.3%), stop $96.13 (−5.1%), A.R:R 1.3:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PNFP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $107.33 (+6.3% upside). Target $107.33 (+6.3%), stop $96.13 (−5.1%), A.R:R 1.3:1. Stop-loss: $96.13.

What are the risks of investing in PNFP?

Thin upside margin: 6.3%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3).

Is PNFP overvalued or undervalued?

Pinnacle Financial Partners, In trades at a P/E of 14.0 (forward 8.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about PNFP?

26 analysts cover PNFP with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $119.

What does Pinnacle Financial Partners, In do?Pinnacle Financial Partners, headquartered in Nashville, Tennessee, held approximately $57.7 billion in total assets at...

Pinnacle Financial Partners, headquartered in Nashville, Tennessee, held approximately $57.7 billion in total assets at December 31, 2025, operating 141 banking offices across southeastern and mid-Atlantic states including Tennessee, North Carolina, and South Carolina. Revenue comes from commercial and consumer lending, fee-based services, and a 49% equity stake in Bankers Healthcare Group, which provides specialty loans to healthcare practitioners.

Related stocks: MBIN (Merchants Bancorp) · FBK (FB Financial Corporation) · RNST (Renasant Corporation) · ONB (Old National Bancorp) · MFG (Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. Sp)
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