Par Pacific Holdings offers deep value in oil refining with a forward P/E of 5.3x and PEG of 0.40, though consecutive earnings misses and high short interest at 13% cap near-term conviction until momentum recovers.
Thesis pillars
- Roe Peer Advantage→Stable
- Deep Value Refining Multiple→Stable
- Earnings Beat Mix Resolution↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. Comm (PARR) Stock Analysis
Energy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $77.77 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2).
Par Pacific Holdings owns four refineries with 219 Mbpd total throughput capacity across Hawaii, Wyoming, Washington, and Montana, processing 187.8 Mbpd in fiscal 2025 for the western United States market. The company also operates fuel retail outlets under Hele, nomnom, and 76... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $77.77 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.60, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-26Recent Developments — Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. Comm
Latest news
- NEWS Is Par Pacific Holdings Inc (PARR) Overvalued After 6.2% Rally? - GuruFocus — GuruFocus neutral
- NEWS Par Pacific Holdings (PARR) – Among the 7 Energy Stocks that Just Hit New All-Time Highs - Insider Monkey — Insider Monkey positive
- NEWS Par Pacific Holdings (PARR) – Among the 7 Energy Stocks that Just Hit New All-Time Highs - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS Is PARR a Buy After the $250M Buyback and $72 Target? - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS Par Petroleum (PARR) earnings expected to grow: Should you buy? - MSN — MSN positive
Generated 2026-07-26T08:02:05Z.
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Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
10 dimensions · all in-band
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $77.77 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $71.97. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $80.64 (-6.7% upside). Prior stop was $71.97. Stop-loss: $71.97.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Euphoria warning: extreme positivity (+1.00) + overbought RSI 78.
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. Comm trades at a P/E of 8.8 (forward 6.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.
13 analysts cover PARR with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $83.
What does Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. Comm do?Par Pacific Holdings owns four refineries with 219 Mbpd total throughput capacity across Hawaii, Wyoming, Washington,...
Par Pacific Holdings owns four refineries with 219 Mbpd total throughput capacity across Hawaii, Wyoming, Washington, and Montana, processing 187.8 Mbpd in fiscal 2025 for the western United States market. The company also operates fuel retail outlets under Hele, nomnom, and 76 brands in Hawaii, Washington, and Idaho, and a multi-modal logistics network in the Pacific, Northwest, and Rocky Mountain regions.