CVR Energy Inc. (CVI) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the CVI stock price target?

Take-profit $34.29 (+5.2% upside). Prior stop was $30.30.

Q: Is CVI overvalued or undervalued?

CVR Energy Inc. trades at a P/E of 126.4 (forward 34.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about CVI?

14 analysts cover CVI with a consensus score of 2.2/5. Average price target: $31.

Momentum Cont setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Energy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $32.47: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Below-average business quality.

CVR Energy is a holding company with petroleum refining (two refineries in Kansas and Oklahoma), a renewables segment, and nitrogen fertilizer manufacturing through CVR Partners LP. Revenue is driven by commodity prices for refined products and nitrogen fertilizer; Icahn... Read more

$32.47+5.2% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#14 of 15 Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

Stop $30.30Target $34.29(resistance)A.R:R -1.5:1

Analyst target$31.00-4.5%6 analysts

$34.29our TP

$32.47price

$31.00mean

$28

$35

Passes 4/6 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Concentration risk — Customer: Renewables Segment two customers

Concentration risk — Commodity: petroleum refining margin

Target reached (-17.2% upside)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)126.4

P/E (Fwd)34.7

Mkt Cap$3.4B

EV/EBITDA8.3

Profit Mgn0.4%

ROE10.1%

Rev Growth-7.0%

Beta0.91

Dividend4.34%

Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.13bullish

IV77%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

HIGHCustomerRenewables Segment two customers
10-K Item 1A: 'the Renewables Segment has two customers that each accounted for approximately 50% of its net sales'
MEDIUMCustomerNitrogen Fertilizer top two customers28%
10-K Item 1A: 'the top two customers of our Nitrogen Fertilizer Segment represented 28% of its net sales'
HIGHCommoditypetroleum refining margin
10-K Item 1A: 'Our Petroleum Segment's financial results are primarily affected by margin between refined product prices and prices for crude oil and other feedstocks'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value5.515%0.82

Quality2.615%0.39

Growth5.415%0.81

Momentum6.410%0.64

Sentiment4.610%0.46

Insider Activity7.010%0.70

Peer Rank3.110%0.31

Technical Setup4.25%0.21

Risk Profile4.25%0.21

Catalyst5.35%0.27

Overall (Σ contributions)4.82

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin

0.0

Operating Margin

0.0

Fcf Quality

0.0

Net Margin

0.2

Roa

2.0

Roe

3.4

Moat

5.0

Current Ratio

6.4

Piotroski F

6.7

Earnings quality RED FLAG: -815% FCF/NINo competitive moatQuality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank

0.7

Value Rank

2.0

Quality Rank

4.7

GatesA.R:R -1.5=NEGATIVEINSIDER 0.48%=MODERATEMomentum 6.4>=5.5No SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

57 · Neutral

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $28.79Resistance $34.99

Price Targets

$30

$34

A.Upside+5.6%

A.R:R-1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-17.2% upside)

! Quality below floor (2.6 < 4.0)

! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

2/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-04-29 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is CVI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $32.47: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 57, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $30.30. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CVI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $34.29 (+5.2% upside). Prior stop was $30.30. Stop-loss: $30.30.

What are the risks of investing in CVI?

Concentration risk — Customer: Renewables Segment two customers; Concentration risk — Commodity: petroleum refining margin; Target reached (-17.2% upside).

Is CVI overvalued or undervalued?

CVR Energy Inc. trades at a P/E of 126.4 (forward 34.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CVI?

14 analysts cover CVI with a consensus score of 2.2/5. Average price target: $31.

What does CVR Energy Inc. do?CVR Energy is a holding company with petroleum refining (two refineries in Kansas and Oklahoma), a renewables segment,...