CVR Energy Inc. (CVI) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the CVI stock price target?

Take-profit $34.53 (+2.5% upside). Prior stop was $31.34.

Q: What are the risks of investing in CVI?

Target reached (-19.5% upside); Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0); Target reached (-19.5% upside); Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0).

Q: Is CVI overvalued or undervalued?

CVR Energy Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 32.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about CVI?

15 analysts cover CVI with a consensus score of 2.3/5. Average price target: $31.

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 7 hr ago (May 20, 2026, 10:16 AM ET)

Energy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $33.67: Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: High short interest: 21%; Below-average business quality.

$33.67+2.5% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#9 of 15 Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield-2.96%

IncomeYield0.29%(5y avg 8.85%)Payout0.00%sustainable

Stop $31.34Target $34.53(resistance)A.R:R -2.0:1

Analyst target$31.17-7.4%6 analysts

$34.53our TP

$33.67price

$31.17mean

$28

$35

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 70d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — CVR Energy Inc.

Latest news

CVR Energy Q1 2026 Earnings Call: Complete Transcript — benzinga Apr 30, 2026 neutral
CVR Energy Q1 Adj. EPS $(1.24) Misses $(0.40) Estimate, Sales $1.980B Beat $1.695B Estimate — benzinga Apr 29, 2026 negative
Earnings Scheduled For April 29, 2026 — benzinga Apr 29, 2026 neutral
Scotiabank Maintains Sector Underperform on CVR Energy, Raises Price Target to $28 — benzinga Apr 22, 2026 negative
Goldman Sachs Assumes CVR Energy at Sell, Announces Price Target of $30 — benzinga Apr 10, 2026 negative

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Target reached (-19.5% upside)

Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—

P/E (Fwd)32.2

Mkt Cap$3.5B

EV/EBITDA8.4

Profit Mgn-0.6%

ROE4.6%

Rev Growth20.3%

Beta0.79

Dividend0.29%

Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C0.76neutral

IV65%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value6.715%1.00

Quality2.115%0.32

Growth7.615%1.14

Momentum5.510%0.55

Sentiment5.210%0.52

Insider Activity7.010%0.70

Peer Rank4.910%0.49

Technical Setup4.65%0.23

Risk Profile4.05%0.20

Catalyst4.45%0.22

Overall (Σ contributions)5.37

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Gross Margin

0.0

Operating Margin

0.0

Net Margin

0.0

Fcf Quality

0.0

Roe

1.5

Roa

1.8

Moat

4.9

Current Ratio

5.3

Piotroski F

5.6

Cash-burning: FCF -1% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

GatesA.R:R -2.0=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.5<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)INSIDER 0.48%=MODERATEMomentum 5.5>=4.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 70d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

53 · Neutral

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $30.66Resistance $35.23

Price Targets

$31

$35

A.Upside+2.6%

A.R:R-2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-19.5% upside)

! Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0)

! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

2/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-07-29 (70d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is CVI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $33.67: Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.4/10. Specifically: High short interest: 21%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $31.34. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CVI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $34.53 (+2.5% upside). Prior stop was $31.34. Stop-loss: $31.34.

What are the risks of investing in CVI?

Target reached (-19.5% upside); Quality below floor (2.1 < 4.0).

Is CVI overvalued or undervalued?

CVR Energy Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 32.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CVI?

15 analysts cover CVI with a consensus score of 2.3/5. Average price target: $31.

What does CVR Energy Inc. do?CVR Energy is a diversified holding company engaged in petroleum refining (two mid-continent refineries in Coffeyville,...

CVR Energy is a diversified holding company engaged in petroleum refining (two mid-continent refineries in Coffeyville, KS and Wynnewood, OK), nitrogen fertilizer manufacturing via CVR Partners LP, and a renewable fuels segment (RDU reverted to hydrocarbon processing in December 2025). Revenue comes from selling gasoline, diesel, UAN, and ammonia to fuel retailers, railroads, and agricultural customers in the PADD II region. Icahn Enterprises owned ~70% of CVR Energy common stock as of December 31, 2025.