Par Pacific Holdings offers deep value in oil refining with a forward P/E of 5.3x and PEG of 0.40, though consecutive earnings misses and high short interest at 13% cap near-term conviction until momentum recovers.
Thesis pillars
- Roe Peer Advantage→Stable
- Deep Value Refining Multiple↓Deteriorating
- Earnings Beat Mix Resolution↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. Comm (PARR) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Energy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $81.32 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2).
Par Pacific Holdings owns four refineries with 219 Mbpd total throughput capacity across Hawaii, Wyoming, Washington, and Montana, processing 187.8 Mbpd in fiscal 2025 for the western United States market. The company also operates fuel retail outlets under Hele, nomnom, and 76... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $81.32 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 49, MACD bullish. Score 7.1/10, high confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 59d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-09-06Recent Developments — Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. Comm
Latest news
- NEWS Par Petroleum (PARR) Is Up 1.50% in One Week: What You Should Know - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS Par Pacific Holdings Jumps 5.3% Amid Sector-Wide Rally - AlphaStreet — AlphaStreet positive
- NEWS Par Pacific Holdings stock hits all-time high at 82.37 USD - Investing.com — Investing.com positive
- NEWS OMERS ADMINISTRATION Corp Acquires 15,400 Shares of Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. $PARR - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Renaissance Technologies LLC Cuts Stock Position in Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. $PARR - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
Generated 2026-09-06T06:51:58Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 ceiling hit
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $81.32 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 49, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $75.63. Score 7.1/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $93.52 (-11.2% upside). Prior stop was $75.63. Stop-loss: $75.63.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (2).
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. Comm trades at a P/E of 4.8 (forward 6.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Sell.
13 analysts cover PARR with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $83.
What does Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. Comm do?Par Pacific Holdings owns four refineries with 219 Mbpd total throughput capacity across Hawaii, Wyoming, Washington,...
Par Pacific Holdings owns four refineries with 219 Mbpd total throughput capacity across Hawaii, Wyoming, Washington, and Montana, processing 187.8 Mbpd in fiscal 2025 for the western United States market. The company also operates fuel retail outlets under Hele, nomnom, and 76 brands in Hawaii, Washington, and Idaho, and a multi-modal logistics network in the Pacific, Northwest, and Rocky Mountain regions.