Ultrapar Participacoes S.A. (Ne (UGP) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Energy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $5.91 — A.R:R is negative (-2.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.6% away).
Ultrapar Participações S.A., through its subsidiaries, operates in the energy, mobility, and logistics infrastructure sectors in Brazil, the rest of Europe, the United States, Canada, other Latin American countries, Oceania, and internationally. It operates through Ultragaz,... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $5.91 — A.R:R is negative (-2.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.6% away). Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
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Rating Breakdown
10 dimensions · all in-band
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $5.91 — A.R:R is negative (-2.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.6% away). Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $5.64. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $6.01 (+1.5% upside). Prior stop was $5.64. Stop-loss: $5.64.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.6% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5.
Ultrapar Participacoes S.A. (Ne trades at a P/E of 12.3 (forward 8.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Sell.
21 analysts cover UGP with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $6.
What does Ultrapar Participacoes S.A. (Ne do?Ultrapar Participações S.A., through its subsidiaries, operates in the energy, mobility, and logistics infrastructure...
Ultrapar Participações S.A., through its subsidiaries, operates in the energy, mobility, and logistics infrastructure sectors in Brazil, the rest of Europe, the United States, Canada, other Latin American countries, Oceania, and internationally. It operates through Ultragaz, Ipiranga, Ultracargo, and Hidrovias segments. The company distributes and sells oil-related products, biofuels, gasoline, ethanol, diesel, fuel oil, kerosene, natural gas for vehicles, and additive fuels under the Ipimax brand to carriers, resellers, and retailers; operates service stations under the Ipiranga brand and convenience stores under the AmPm brand; and produces and sells lubricants under the ICONIC brand. It also engages in the distribution of bulk and bottled liquefied petroleum gas for the residential, condominium, trade, services, industrial, and agribusiness sectors; operation of a natural gas pipeline network; and provision of renewable electricity for businesses and households, as well as compressed natural gas and biomethane for corporate clients. In addition, the company operates liquid bulk storage terminals in logistics centers; waterway and multimodal infrastructure; and port operations. Further, the company offers logistics solutions for handling grains, ores, and fertilizers; automotive services through Jet Oil units; and loyalty programs under the Km de Vantagens (KMV) brand. It also exports its products and services. Ultrapar Participações S.A. was founded in 1937 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil.