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Delek Logistics Partners, L.P. (DKL) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $52.92 — A.R:R is negative (-1.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: Delek Holdings.

Delek Logistics Partners, LP provides gathering, pipeline, transportation, and other services for crude oil, intermediates, refined products, natural gas, storage, wholesale marketing, terminalling water disposal and recycling customers in the United States. The company operates... Read more

$52.92-1.4% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#3 of 15 Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Stop $50.04Target $52.19(resistance)A.R:R -1.7:1
Analyst target$50.80-4.0%5 analysts
$52.19our TP
$52.92price
$50.80mean
$36
$57

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $52.92 — A.R:R is negative (-1.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: Delek Holdings. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/6 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Positive momentum
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: Delek Holdings
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 389.2): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.7
P/E (Fwd)9.6
Mkt Cap$2.8B
EV/EBITDA17.6
Profit Mgn17.4%
ROE847.5%
Rev Growth21.9%
Beta0.51
Dividend8.46%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.39bullish
IV91%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerDelek Holdings
    10-K Item 1A: 'Delek Holdings is a primary customer for a many of our assets, including but not limited to our assets used to support the Tyler Refinery and the majority of our terminalling assets'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-21Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Joseph Israel departed as executive officer of Delek Logistics Partners LP effective April 20, 2026. Amber Russell appointed EVP Refining at parent Delek US Holdings, providing successor oversight. No disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-27Item 1.02MEDIUM
    DKL terminated its prior revolving credit and term loan facility (Fifth Third as agent, October 2022) on March 26, 2026, replaced by a new $1.3B revolving credit facility with Truist Bank as administrative agent.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.6
52w Position
8.9
GatesA.R:R -1.7=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
66 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $47.72Resistance $53.26

Price Targets

$50
$52
A.Upside-1.4%
A.R:R-1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-16.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-29 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DKL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $52.92 — A.R:R is negative (-1.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: Delek Holdings. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $50.04. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DKL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $52.19 (-1.4% upside). Prior stop was $50.04. Stop-loss: $50.04.

What are the risks of investing in DKL?

Concentration risk — Customer: Delek Holdings; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 389.2): -1.5.

Is DKL overvalued or undervalued?

Delek Logistics Partners, L.P. trades at a P/E of 16.7 (forward 9.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DKL?

12 analysts cover DKL with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $51.

What does Delek Logistics Partners, L.P. do?Delek Logistics Partners, LP provides gathering, pipeline, transportation, and other services for crude oil,...

Delek Logistics Partners, LP provides gathering, pipeline, transportation, and other services for crude oil, intermediates, refined products, natural gas, storage, wholesale marketing, terminalling water disposal and recycling customers in the United States. The company operates in four segments: Gathering and Processing, Wholesale Marketing and Terminalling, Storage and Transportation, and Investments in Joint Ventures. It offers tanks, offloading facilities, and trucks and ancillary assets that provide crude oil, hydrocarbon-based products, intermediate and refined products transportation, and storage services. Delek Logistics GP, LLC serves as the general partner of the company. Delek Logistics Partners, LP was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in Brentwood, Tennessee. Delek Logistics Partners, LP operates as a subsidiary of Delek US Holdings, Inc.

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