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DKLDelek Logistics Partners, L.P.Hold6.3·$52.31
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Delek Logistics has surging revenue and insider buying, but it trades well above the analyst target with a negative cash-flow red flag and inconsistent earnings, which leaves limited upside.

Thesis pillars

  • Price Above Analyst Target→Stable
  • Strong Revenue Growth→Stable
  • Negative Cash Flow Red Flag→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 27, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Delek Logistics Partners, L.P. (DKL) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

Earnings today — results expected after close (2026-11-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $52.31, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2).

Delek Logistics Partners, LP provides gathering, pipeline, transportation, and other services for crude oil, intermediates, refined products, natural gas, storage, wholesale marketing, terminalling water disposal and recycling customers in the United States. The company operates... Read more

$52.31-11.3% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#8 of 15 Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-3.56%
IncomeYield8.72%(5y avg 8.93%)Payout155.36%at-risk
Stop $50.44Analyst target $46.40(reached)A.R:R -2.3:1
Analyst consensus$53.33+2.0%6 analysts with price targets
$52.31price
$53.33mean
$36
$62

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $52.31, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 1, 2026

Recent Developments — Delek Logistics Partners, L.P.

Latest item Nov 1, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:34:07Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Nov 6, 2026Earnings today — results expected after close· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Strong growth profile
Positive insider activity
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.1
P/E (Fwd)13.7
Mkt Cap$3.0B
EV/EBITDA16.4
Profit Mgn12.8%
ROE—
Rev Growth56.2%
Beta0.38
Dividend8.72%
Analysts with ratings13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.46bullish
IV52%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerDelek Holdings
    10-K Item 1A: 'Delek Holdings is a primary customer for a many of our assets'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-21Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Joseph Israel departed as EVP, Refining and Renewables effective April 20, 2026. Amber Russell appointed EVP, Refining effective April 20, 2026; previously SVP at bp Solutions and SVP of Refining, Terminals, and Pipelines at bp.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-27Item 1.02MEDIUM
    Prior revolving credit facility and term loan under the Fourth Amended and Restated Credit Agreement with Fifth Third Bank as administrative agent was terminated upon entering a new $1.3 billion revolving credit agreement with Truist Bank on March 26, 2026.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Dividend Safety
2.0
Surprise Avg
2.4
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2MEarnings todayYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
GatesMomentum 4.0<4.5A.R:R -2.3=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
36 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $52.00Resistance $56.71

Price Targets

A.Upside-11.3%
A.R:R-2.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Earnings today - binary event risk
! Target reached (-11.3% upside)
! momentum at 4.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-06 (Earnings today — results expected after close)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DKL stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $52.31, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Analyst target $46.40 reached (−11.3%), stop $50.44 (−3.7%), A.R:R -2.3:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DKL stock price target?

Analyst target $46.40 reached (−11.3% from $52.31); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $46.40 reached (−11.3%), stop $50.44 (−3.7%), A.R:R -2.3:1. Stop-loss: $50.44.

What are the risks of investing in DKL?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2).

Is DKL overvalued or undervalued?

Delek Logistics Partners, L.P. trades at a P/E of 18.1 (forward 13.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about DKL?

13 analysts rate DKL, with a consensus score of 2.5/5. 6 analysts publish price targets averaging $53.

What does Delek Logistics Partners, L.P. do?Delek Logistics Partners, LP provides gathering, pipeline, transportation, and other services for crude oil,...

Delek Logistics Partners, LP provides gathering, pipeline, transportation, and other services for crude oil, intermediates, refined products, natural gas, storage, wholesale marketing, terminalling water disposal and recycling customers in the United States. The company operates in four segments: Gathering and Processing, Wholesale Marketing and Terminalling, Storage and Transportation, and Investments in Joint Ventures. It offers tanks, offloading facilities, and trucks and ancillary assets that provide crude oil, hydrocarbon-based products, intermediate and refined products transportation, and storage services. Delek Logistics GP, LLC serves as the general partner of the company. Delek Logistics Partners, LP was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in Brentwood, Tennessee. Delek Logistics Partners, LP operates as a subsidiary of Delek US Holdings, Inc.

Related stocks: PARR (Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. Comm) · DINO (HF Sinclair Corporation) · PBF (PBF Energy Inc.) · UGP (Ultrapar Participacoes S.A. (Ne) · DK (Delek US Holdings, Inc.)
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