PBF Energy Inc. (PBF) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Energy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $44.37: Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality.
PBF Energy is one of the largest independent U.S. petroleum refiners, operating six refineries in Delaware, New Jersey, Ohio, Louisiana, and California (two) with combined throughput of approximately 1 million bpd and a weighted-average Nelson Complexity Index of 12.8. It... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $44.37: Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/6 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static
Revenue shrinking — -2.9% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $44.37: Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $41.30. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $47.74 (+7.5% upside). Prior stop was $41.30. Stop-loss: $41.30.
Target reached (-17.7% upside); Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0).
PBF Energy Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 10.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Sell.
21 analysts cover PBF with a consensus score of 2.6/5. Average price target: $42.
What does PBF Energy Inc. do?PBF Energy is one of the largest independent U.S. petroleum refiners, operating six refineries in Delaware, New Jersey,...
PBF Energy is one of the largest independent U.S. petroleum refiners, operating six refineries in Delaware, New Jersey, Ohio, Louisiana, and California (two) with combined throughput of approximately 1 million bpd and a weighted-average Nelson Complexity Index of 12.8. It operates Refining and Logistics segments and sells products across the Northeast, Midwest, Gulf Coast, and West Coast. A Martinez refinery fire in February 2025 caused a temporary shutdown; restart was completed by March 2026.