PBF Energy has a perfect four-quarter earnings beat record, 56% revenue growth and a very low forward multiple, but weak cash conversion, extreme insider selling and a price above the analyst target limit the case.
Thesis pillars
- Perfect Earnings Beat Streak↑Improving
- Surging Revenue Growth→Stable
- Deep Value Multiple↑Improving
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 12, 2026
PBF Energy Inc. (PBF) Stock Analysis
Energy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $72.62, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.
PBF Energy owns and operates six crude oil refineries across the U.S. East Coast, Mid-Continent, Gulf Coast, and West Coast, with combined throughput capacity of approximately 1,000,000 barrels per day. The company refines crude into transportation fuels, heating oil,... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $72.62, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.9/10, high confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.40, earnings proximity 98d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated Nov 4, 2026Recent Developments — PBF Energy Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS PBF Energy Director Karen Berriman Davis Sells Shares Worth Over $938,000 — fiscal.ai Nov 4, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Freedom Broker Upgrades PBF Energy to Hold — fiscal.ai Nov 4, 2026 positive
- NEWS PBF Energy Inc (PBF) Shares Surge 3.6% -- What GF Score of 52 Te - GuruFocus — GuruFocus Nov 3, 2026 positive
- NEWS PBF Energy (PBF) Stock Looks Cheap While The Market Stays Cautious - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance Nov 3, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Piper Sandler Maintains Neutral Rating on PBF Energy and Raises Price Target — fiscal.ai Nov 2, 2026 positive
Latest item Nov 4, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:29:01Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- LOWCustomerSunoco10-K Item 1: 'Sunoco purchases gasoline and distillate products representing approximately one-third of the Toledo refinery's gasoline and distillates production'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
2 ceiling hits
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $72.62, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $73.20 (+0.8%), stop $67.54 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.1:1. Score 6.9/10, high confidence.
Analyst target: $73.20 (+0.8% upside). Analyst target $73.20 (+0.8%), stop $67.54 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.1:1. Stop-loss: $67.54.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.
PBF Energy Inc. trades at a P/E of 3.2 (forward 3.9). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Hold.
23 analysts rate PBF, with a consensus score of 2.5/5. 14 analysts publish price targets averaging $84.
What does PBF Energy Inc. do?PBF Energy owns and operates six crude oil refineries across the U.S. East Coast, Mid-Continent, Gulf Coast, and West...
PBF Energy owns and operates six crude oil refineries across the U.S. East Coast, Mid-Continent, Gulf Coast, and West Coast, with combined throughput capacity of approximately 1,000,000 barrels per day. The company refines crude into transportation fuels, heating oil, petrochemical feedstocks, and lubricants sold primarily on the spot market across the U.S., Canada, and Mexico. A fire at the Martinez refinery on February 1, 2025 caused a full shutdown through April 2025.