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PAASPan American Silver Corp.Hold6.9·$51.34-2.40%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Pan American Silver combines a perfect Piotroski F-Score of 9 out of 9, a wide economic moat, 49% year-over-year revenue growth, and a PEG ratio of 0.08, making it one of the strongest fundamental profiles in the dataset, though sector concentration caps and a recent 7.4% gap-up create near-term entry timing risk.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value Peg RatioStable
  • Gap Up Pullback RiskImproving
  • Wide Economic Moat And QualityStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $51.34, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Pan American Silver Corp. engages in the exploration, mine development, extraction, processing, refining, and reclamation of mines in Chile, Peru, Brazil, Mexico, Canada, Argentina, Bolivia, and Guatemala. The Silver segment includes the La Colorada, Juanicipio, Cerro Moro,... Read more

$51.34+11.7% A.UpsideScore 6.9/10#12 of 42 Gold
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield6.19%
IncomeYield1.40%(5y avg 1.88%)Payout18.34%sustainable
Stop $47.75Target $57.33(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.2:1
Analyst target$65.90+28.4%8 analysts
$57.33our TP
$51.34price
$65.90mean
$94

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $51.34, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.08, quality 8.7/10, growth 9.8/10). | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_WAIT → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 6.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 72d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-05
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 16, 202672d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.7 in RISK_OFF)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.6
P/E (Fwd)10.9
Mkt Cap$21.3B
EV/EBITDA9.7
Profit Mgn32.0%
ROE22.4%
Rev Growth38.4%
Beta1.59
Dividend1.40%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.48bullish
IV54%elevated
Max Pain$65+26.6% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 ceiling hits

GatesMomentum 4.5<4.5A.R:R 1.2 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 72d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $46.20Resistance $56.00

Price Targets

$48
$57
A.Upside+11.7%
A.R:R1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! News modifier -1: STRONG_BUY_WAIT → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 4.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-16 (72d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PAAS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $51.34, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: RSI 58 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.08, quality 8.7/10, growth 9.8/10). | News modifier -1 (STRONG_BUY_WAIT → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $57.33 (+11.7%), stop $47.75 (−7.5%), A.R:R 1.2:1. Score 6.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PAAS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $57.33 (+11.7% upside). Target $57.33 (+11.7%), stop $47.75 (−7.5%), A.R:R 1.2:1. Stop-loss: $47.75.

What are the risks of investing in PAAS?

Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is PAAS overvalued or undervalued?

Pan American Silver Corp. trades at a P/E of 15.6 (forward 10.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about PAAS?

11 analysts cover PAAS with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $66.

What does Pan American Silver Corp. do?Pan American Silver Corp. engages in the exploration, mine development, extraction, processing, refining, and...

Pan American Silver Corp. engages in the exploration, mine development, extraction, processing, refining, and reclamation of mines in Chile, Peru, Brazil, Mexico, Canada, Argentina, Bolivia, and Guatemala. The Silver segment includes the La Colorada, Juanicipio, Cerro Moro, Huaron, and San Vicente mines. The Gold segment comprises the Jacobina, El Peñon, Timmins, Shahuindo, Minera Florida, and Dolores mines. It explores silver, gold, zinc, lead, and copper deposits. The company was formerly known as Pan American Minerals Corp. and changed its name to Pan American Silver Corp. in April 1995. Pan American Silver Corp. was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Related stocks: OGC (OceanaGold Corporation) · ARIS (Aris Mining Corporation) · KGC (Kinross Gold Corporation) · IAG (Iamgold Corporation) · GFI (Gold Fields Limited)
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