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PAASPan American Silver Corp.Buy Wait7.0·$44.60-3.65%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Pan American Silver combines a perfect Piotroski F-Score of 9 out of 9, a wide economic moat, 49% year-over-year revenue growth, and a PEG ratio of 0.08, making it one of the strongest fundamental profiles in the dataset, though sector concentration caps and a recent 7.4% gap-up create near-term entry timing risk.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value Peg RatioStable
  • Gap Up Pullback RiskStable
  • Wide Economic Moat And QualityStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $45.71 but weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW.

Pan American Silver Corp. engages in the exploration, mine development, extraction, processing, refining, and reclamation of mines in Chile, Peru, Brazil, Mexico, Canada, Argentina, Bolivia, and Guatemala. The Silver segment includes the La Colorada, Juanicipio, Cerro Moro,... Read more

$44.60+37.1% A.UpsideScore 7.0/10#9 of 41 Gold
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield6.67%
IncomeYield1.34%(5y avg 1.88%)Payout17.03%sustainable
Entry $45.71(Support Atr Sticky)Stop $40.99Target $61.55(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.5:1
Analyst target$70.75+58.6%8 analysts
$61.55our TP
$44.60price
$70.75mean
$94

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $45.71 but weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Chart setup: RSI 41 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Quality-value play. Wait for momentum improvement. Score 7.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 31d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-07
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202631d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
High-quality business
Risks
No bear case signals

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.6
P/E (Fwd)9.1
Mkt Cap$19.5B
EV/EBITDA9.6
Profit Mgn31.6%
ROE20.8%
Rev Growth49.3%
Beta1.54
Dividend1.34%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.73neutral
IV69%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.3
Value Rank
3.3
Quality Rank
5.3
GatesMomentum 5.2<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.2>=4.5A.R:R 3.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 31d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
41 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $43.73Resistance $53.98

Price Targets

$41
$46
$62
A.Upside+38.0%
A.R:R3.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.9%
Max %1.8%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! News modifier capped: WAIT cannot upgrade to NOW via sentiment alone

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (31d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PAAS stock a buy right now?

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $45.71 but weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Chart setup: RSI 41 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Quality-value play. Wait for momentum improvement. Target $61.55 (+38.0%), stop $40.99 (−8.8%), A.R:R 3.5:1. Score 7.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PAAS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $61.55 (+37.1% upside). Target $61.55 (+38.0%), stop $40.99 (−8.8%), A.R:R 3.5:1. Stop-loss: $40.99.

Is PAAS overvalued or undervalued?

Pan American Silver Corp. trades at a P/E of 14.6 (forward 9.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about PAAS?

10 analysts cover PAAS with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $71.

What does Pan American Silver Corp. do?Pan American Silver Corp. engages in the exploration, mine development, extraction, processing, refining, and...

Pan American Silver Corp. engages in the exploration, mine development, extraction, processing, refining, and reclamation of mines in Chile, Peru, Brazil, Mexico, Canada, Argentina, Bolivia, and Guatemala. The Silver segment includes the La Colorada, Juanicipio, Cerro Moro, Huaron, and San Vicente mines. The Gold segment comprises the Jacobina, El Peñon, Timmins, Shahuindo, Minera Florida, and Dolores mines. It explores silver, gold, zinc, lead, and copper deposits. The company was formerly known as Pan American Minerals Corp. and changed its name to Pan American Silver Corp. in April 1995. Pan American Silver Corp. was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Related stocks: ORLA (Orla Mining Ltd.) · GFI (Gold Fields Limited) · IAG (Iamgold Corporation) · KGC (Kinross Gold Corporation) · FSM (Fortuna Mining Corp.)
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