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PAASPan American Silver Corp.Buy Now7.1·$44.80+1.38%
Buy NowModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Pan American Silver combines a perfect Piotroski F-Score of 9 out of 9, a wide economic moat, 49% year-over-year revenue growth, and a PEG ratio of 0.08, making it one of the strongest fundamental profiles in the dataset, though sector concentration caps and a recent 7.4% gap-up create near-term entry timing risk.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value Peg RatioStable
  • Gap Up Pullback RiskDeteriorating
  • Wide Economic Moat And QualityStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

Buy Now (conditional)ValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Conditional: analysts disagree (1.9× target spread) — below strong-conviction threshold. Size accordingly.

Basic Materials · Gold

Buy at $44.80 (limit $44.03). A.R:R 3.7:1 at $44.80 — the engine's gate value (upside to target $56.77 vs. downside set by the wider of 2×ATR or distance-to-support, clipped 5-15%). You'd stand to gain ~$12 per share to target.

Pan American Silver Corp. engages in the exploration, mine development, extraction, processing, refining, and reclamation of mines in Chile, Peru, Brazil, Mexico, Canada, Argentina, Bolivia, and Guatemala. The Silver segment includes the La Colorada, Juanicipio, Cerro Moro,... Read more

$44.80+28.9% A.UpsideScore 7.1/10#17 of 41 Gold
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield7.01%
IncomeYield1.41%(5y avg 1.88%)Payout17.03%sustainable
Entry $44.03(at market)Stop $40.95Target $56.77(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.7:1
Analyst target$65.25+45.6%8 analysts
$56.77our TP
$44.80price
$65.25mean
$94

Buy at $44.80 (limit $44.03). A.R:R 3.7:1 at $44.80 — the engine's gate value (upside to target $56.77 vs. downside set by the wider of 2×ATR or distance-to-support, clipped 5-15%). You'd stand to gain ~$12 per share to target. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Quality-value combo with favorable entry timing. Score 7.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 9/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 16d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear, sector concentration cap sector=basic materials 2/3 self excluded). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-27
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 12, 202616d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong overall score: 7.1/10
High-quality business
Risks
No bear case signals

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.9
P/E (Fwd)9.3
Mkt Cap$18.6B
EV/EBITDA9.1
Profit Mgn31.6%
ROE20.8%
Rev Growth49.3%
Beta1.54
Dividend1.41%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.90neutral
IV69%elevated
Max Pain$33-26.3% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.3
Value Rank
3.3
Quality Rank
5.3
GatesMomentum 6.2>=5.5A.R:R 3.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 16d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSECTOR CONCENTRATION CAP sector=Basic Materials 2/3 self excludedRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $40.76Resistance $47.37

Price Targets

$41
$44
$57
A.Upside+28.9%
A.R:R3.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %3.4%
Max %6.8%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts10
Consensus4.0/5
Avg Target$65

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-12 (16d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PAAS stock a buy right now?

Buy at $44.80 (limit $44.03). A.R:R 3.7:1 at $44.80 — the engine's gate value (upside to target $56.77 vs. downside set by the wider of 2×ATR or distance-to-support, clipped 5-15%). You'd stand to gain ~$12 per share to target. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Quality-value combo with favorable entry timing. Target $56.77 (+26.7%), stop $40.95 (−9.4%), A.R:R 3.7:1. Score 7.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PAAS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $56.77 (+28.9% upside). Target $56.77 (+26.7%), stop $40.95 (−9.4%), A.R:R 3.7:1. Stop-loss: $40.95.

Is PAAS overvalued or undervalued?

Pan American Silver Corp. trades at a P/E of 13.9 (forward 9.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Verdict: Strong Buy.

What do analysts say about PAAS?

10 analysts cover PAAS with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $65.

What does Pan American Silver Corp. do?Pan American Silver Corp. engages in the exploration, mine development, extraction, processing, refining, and...

Pan American Silver Corp. engages in the exploration, mine development, extraction, processing, refining, and reclamation of mines in Chile, Peru, Brazil, Mexico, Canada, Argentina, Bolivia, and Guatemala. The Silver segment includes the La Colorada, Juanicipio, Cerro Moro, Huaron, and San Vicente mines. The Gold segment comprises the Jacobina, El Peñon, Timmins, Shahuindo, Minera Florida, and Dolores mines. It explores silver, gold, zinc, lead, and copper deposits. The company was formerly known as Pan American Minerals Corp. and changed its name to Pan American Silver Corp. in April 1995. Pan American Silver Corp. was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Related stocks: KGC (Kinross Gold Corporation) · GFI (Gold Fields Limited) · AU (AngloGold Ashanti PLC) · AEM (Agnico Eagle Mines Limited) · FSM (Fortuna Mining Corp.)
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