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PAASPan American Silver Corp.Buy Wait6.8·$51.96+1.94%
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Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Wait for pullback to $45.71. At $51.96 the A.R:R is 1.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $45.71 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

Pan American Silver Corp. engages in the exploration, mine development, extraction, processing, refining, and reclamation of mines in Chile, Peru, Brazil, Mexico, Canada, Argentina, Bolivia, and Guatemala. The Silver segment includes the La Colorada, Juanicipio, Cerro Moro,... Read more

$51.96+24.8% A.UpsideScore 6.8/10#18 of 32 Gold
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield6.05%
IncomeYield1.22%(5y avg 1.88%)Payout17.03%sustainable
Entry $45.71(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $39.95Target $61.55(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.2:1Setup A.R:R 3.5:1
Analyst target$70.75+36.2%8 analysts
$61.55our TP
$51.96price
$70.75mean
$94

Wait for pullback to $45.71. At $51.96 the A.R:R is 1.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $45.71 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. V9 Gate blocked: R/R 1.2x at spot < 1.5 minimum; SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:count=3:cap=3. Wait for improvement. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and sector concentration cap sector=basic materials count=3 cap=3. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
No bear case signals

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.1
P/E (Fwd)10.0
Mkt Cap$21.5B
EV/EBITDA10.6
Profit Mgn31.6%
ROE20.8%
Rev Growth49.3%
Beta1.50
Dividend1.22%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.73neutral
IV66%elevated
Max Pain$85+63.6% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.5
Value Rank
3.4
Quality Rank
5.0
GatesA.R:R 1.2 < 1.5@spotSECTOR CONCENTRATION CAP sector=Basic Materials count=3 cap=3Momentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.3>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $43.82Resistance $57.06

Price Targets

$40
$46
$62
A.Upside+18.5%
A.R:R1.2:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)3.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.9%
Max %1.8%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! R/R 1.2x at spot < 1.5 minimum
! SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:count=3:cap=3
! asymmetry at 1.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PAAS stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $45.71. At $51.96 the A.R:R is 1.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $45.71 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. V9 Gate blocked: R/R 1.2x at spot < 1.5 minimum; SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:count=3:cap=3. Wait for improvement. Target $61.55 (+18.5%), stop $39.95 (−30.1%), Setup A.R:R 3.5:1. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PAAS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $61.55 (+24.8% upside). Target $61.55 (+18.5%), stop $39.95 (−30.1%), Setup A.R:R 3.5:1. Stop-loss: $39.95.

Is PAAS overvalued or undervalued?

Pan American Silver Corp. trades at a P/E of 16.1 (forward 10.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about PAAS?

10 analysts cover PAAS with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $71.

What does Pan American Silver Corp. do?Pan American Silver Corp. engages in the exploration, mine development, extraction, processing, refining, and...

Pan American Silver Corp. engages in the exploration, mine development, extraction, processing, refining, and reclamation of mines in Chile, Peru, Brazil, Mexico, Canada, Argentina, Bolivia, and Guatemala. The Silver segment includes the La Colorada, Juanicipio, Cerro Moro, Huaron, and San Vicente mines. The Gold segment comprises the Jacobina, El Peñon, Timmins, Shahuindo, Minera Florida, and Dolores mines. It explores silver, gold, zinc, lead, and copper deposits. The company was formerly known as Pan American Minerals Corp. and changed its name to Pan American Silver Corp. in April 1995. Pan American Silver Corp. was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Related stocks: IAG (Iamgold Corporation) · AEM (Agnico Eagle Mines Limited) · FSM (Fortuna Mining Corp.) · ORLA (Orla Mining Ltd.) · KGC (Kinross Gold Corporation)
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