Skip to main content
OGCOceanaGold CorporationSell7.0·$26.10+4.32%
Open full analysis

OceanaGold Corporation (OGC) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $26.10: Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 7.0/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.00.

OceanaGold Corporation engages in the exploration, development, and operation of gold and gold/copper mines in the United States, the Philippines, and New Zealand. It explores for gold, copper, and silver deposits. The company was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in... Read more

$26.10+10.2% A.UpsideScore 7.0/10#5 of 41 Gold
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield13.13%
IncomeYield0.92%(5y avg 1.07%)Payout5.49%sustainable
Stop $24.27Target $28.76(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $26.10: Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 7.0/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.00. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 7.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 32d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202632d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)8.0
P/E (Fwd)
Mkt Cap$5.8B
EV/EBITDA4.3
Profit Mgn33.7%
ROE34.6%
Rev Growth98.5%
Beta1.50
Dividend0.92%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C2.00bearish
IV70%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

Volatile — 5.6% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
1.7
Debt Equity
2.8
Beta
5.0
Days To Cover
7.6
Elevated put/call: 2.00High IV: 70%

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
1.1
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.2
Earnings concerns: 1B/2MDividend: 92.0%
GatesA.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Momentum 6.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 32d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $23.57Resistance $29.35

Price Targets

$24
$29
A.Upside+10.2%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (32d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OGC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $26.10: Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 7.0/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.00. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $24.27. Score 7.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OGC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $28.76 (+10.2% upside). Prior stop was $24.27. Stop-loss: $24.27.

What are the risks of investing in OGC?

Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0).

Is OGC overvalued or undervalued?

OceanaGold Corporation trades at a P/E of 8.0 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 9.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about OGC?

15 analysts cover OGC with a consensus score of 4.0/5.

What does OceanaGold Corporation do?OceanaGold Corporation engages in the exploration, development, and operation of gold and gold/copper mines in the...

OceanaGold Corporation engages in the exploration, development, and operation of gold and gold/copper mines in the United States, the Philippines, and New Zealand. It explores for gold, copper, and silver deposits. The company was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Related stocks: ORLA (Orla Mining Ltd.) · IAG (Iamgold Corporation) · GFI (Gold Fields Limited) · FSM (Fortuna Mining Corp.) · CGAU (Centerra Gold Inc.)
Home Stocks OGC

Latest news

No recent news