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IAGIamgold CorporationBuy Wait6.9·$19.46
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Iamgold combines an unusually strong quality profile — including a wide economic moat, 28% returns on equity, 29% operating margins, and a perfect financial health score — with deep value screening at a forward earnings multiple of 7.4 times and a near-zero PEG, while delivering three consecutive positive earnings surprises averaging 18.6%; the primary near-term risk is an extremely elevated put/call ratio signaling heavy hedging activity ahead of the next catalyst.

Thesis pillars

  • Outsized Revenue Growth Trajectory→Stable
  • Extreme Put Call Hedging Risk↓Deteriorating
  • Wide Moat High Quality Franchise→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Iamgold Corporation (IAG) Stock Analysis

Temporary headwind edge

Buy WaitValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Wait for pullback to $18.65. At $19.46 the A.R:R is 1.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $18.65 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 8.8%; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

IAMGOLD Corporation, through its subsidiaries, operates as a gold producer and developer in Canada and Burkina Faso. The company's flagship project includes Côté Gold that covers an area of 596 hectares located in the Chester and Yeo Townships, district of sudbury, in... Read more

$19.46+8.8% A.UpsideScore 6.9/10#8 of 43 Gold
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield11.01%
Entry $18.65(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $17.07Target $21.17(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.1:1
Analyst target$24.33+25.0%6 analysts
$21.17our TP
$19.46price
$24.33mean
$34

Wait for pullback to $18.65. At $19.46 the A.R:R is 1.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $18.65 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 8.8%; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. V9 Gate blocked: Momentum 2.5 < 4.5 minimum; R/R 1.1x at spot < 1.5 minimum; SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:count=3:cap=3. Wait for improvement. Score 6.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 39d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and sector concentration cap sector=basic materials count=3 cap=3. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-25
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 202639d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.7 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Risks
Thin upside margin: 8.8%
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.8
P/E (Fwd)8.1
Mkt Cap$11.1B
EV/EBITDA5.4
Profit Mgn31.4%
ROE32.3%
Rev Growth47.5%
Beta2.34
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C3.25bearish
IV56%elevated
Max Pain$14-28.1% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·3 ceiling hits

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5A.R:R 1.1 < 1.5@spotSECTOR CONCENTRATION CAP sector=Basic Materials count=3 cap=3Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 39d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
41 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $19.07Resistance $21.71

Price Targets

$17
$19
$21
A.Upside+8.8%
A.R:R1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1.4%
Max %2.8%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum 2.5 < 4.5 minimum
! R/R 1.1x at spot < 1.5 minimum
! SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:count=3:cap=3

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (39d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IAG stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $18.65. At $19.46 the A.R:R is 1.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $18.65 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 8.8%; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. V9 Gate blocked: Momentum 2.5 < 4.5 minimum; R/R 1.1x at spot < 1.5 minimum; SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Basic Materials:count=3:cap=3. Wait for improvement. Target $21.17 (+8.8%), stop $17.07 (−14.0%), A.R:R 1.1:1. Score 6.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IAG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $21.17 (+8.8% upside). Target $21.17 (+8.8%), stop $17.07 (−14.0%), A.R:R 1.1:1. Stop-loss: $17.07.

What are the risks of investing in IAG?

Thin upside margin: 8.8%; Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Negative momentum.

Is IAG overvalued or undervalued?

Iamgold Corporation trades at a P/E of 9.8 (forward 8.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about IAG?

14 analysts cover IAG with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $24.

What does Iamgold Corporation do?IAMGOLD Corporation, through its subsidiaries, operates as a gold producer and developer in Canada and Burkina Faso....

IAMGOLD Corporation, through its subsidiaries, operates as a gold producer and developer in Canada and Burkina Faso. The company's flagship project includes Côté Gold that covers an area of 596 hectares located in the Chester and Yeo Townships, district of sudbury, in northeastern Ontario. IAMGOLD Corporation was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

Related stocks: OGC (OceanaGold Corporation) · GFI (Gold Fields Limited) · FSM (Fortuna Mining Corp.) · ARIS (Aris Mining Corporation) · AGI (Alamos Gold Inc.)
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