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IAGIamgold CorporationBuy Wait7.3·$17.47
Buy WaitHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Iamgold combines an unusually strong quality profile — including a wide economic moat, 28% returns on equity, 29% operating margins, and a perfect financial health score — with deep value screening at a forward earnings multiple of 7.4 times and a near-zero PEG, while delivering three consecutive positive earnings surprises averaging 18.6%; the primary near-term risk is an extremely elevated put/call ratio signaling heavy hedging activity ahead of the next catalyst.

Thesis pillars

  • Outsized Revenue Growth Trajectory→Stable
  • Extreme Put Call Hedging Risk↓Deteriorating
  • Wide Moat High Quality Franchise→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Iamgold Corporation (IAG) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Sector Rotation edge

Buy WaitValueGrowthQualityHigh Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Earnings today — results expected after close (2026-11-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $15.56. At $17.47 the A.R:R is 1.0:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $15.56 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

IAMGOLD Corporation, through its subsidiaries, operates as a gold producer and developer in Canada and Burkina Faso. The company's flagship project includes Côté Gold that covers an area of 596 hectares located in the Chester and Yeo Townships, district of sudbury, in... Read more

$17.47+13.5% A.UpsideScore 7.3/10#1 of 45 Gold
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield12.20%
Entry $15.56(support + ATR (held))Stop $14.67Target $19.82(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.0:1
Analyst consensus$22.79+30.4%7 analysts with price targets
$19.82our TP
$17.47price
$22.79mean
$25

Wait for pullback to $15.56. At $17.47 the A.R:R is 1.0:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $15.56 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings today. Wait until post-earnings. Score 7.3/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 30, 2026
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 2026Earnings today — results expected after close· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.7 in RISK_OFF)
Strong overall score: 7.3/10
High-quality business
Risks
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)8.8
P/E (Fwd)7.9
Mkt Cap$10.0B
EV/EBITDA4.9
Profit Mgn31.4%
ROE32.3%
Rev Growth47.5%
Beta2.39
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C0.37bullish
IV70%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·3 ceiling hits

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gap
3.0
Support Resistance
3.9
52w Position
4.0
Bollinger
4.5
Extreme gap up (6.2%) - may pull back
GatesA.R:R 1.0 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dMomentum 7.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
48 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $15.12Resistance $18.95

Price Targets

$15
$16
$20
A.Upside+13.5%
A.R:R1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.8%
Max %1.6%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Earnings today - binary event risk
! asymmetry at 1.0 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:0d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (Earnings today — results expected after close)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IAG stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $15.56. At $17.47 the A.R:R is 1.0:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $15.56 (support + ATR (held)) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings today. Wait until post-earnings. Target $19.82 (+13.5%), stop $14.67 (−19.1%), A.R:R 1.0:1. Score 7.3/10, high confidence.

What is the IAG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $19.82 (+13.5% upside). Target $19.82 (+13.5%), stop $14.67 (−19.1%), A.R:R 1.0:1. Stop-loss: $14.67.

What are the risks of investing in IAG?

Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

Is IAG overvalued or undervalued?

Iamgold Corporation trades at a P/E of 8.8 (forward 7.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about IAG?

14 analysts rate IAG, with a consensus score of 3.9/5. 7 analysts publish price targets averaging $23.

What does Iamgold Corporation do?IAMGOLD Corporation, through its subsidiaries, operates as a gold producer and developer in Canada and Burkina Faso....

IAMGOLD Corporation, through its subsidiaries, operates as a gold producer and developer in Canada and Burkina Faso. The company's flagship project includes Côté Gold that covers an area of 596 hectares located in the Chester and Yeo Townships, district of sudbury, in northeastern Ontario. IAMGOLD Corporation was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

Related stocks: FSM (Fortuna Mining Corp.) · OGC (OceanaGold Corporation) · GFI (Gold Fields Limited) · B (Barrick Mining Corporation) · HMY (Harmony Gold Mining Company Lim)
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