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IAGIamgold CorporationBuy Wait7.0·$18.30+3.10%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Iamgold combines an unusually strong quality profile — including a wide economic moat, 28% returns on equity, 29% operating margins, and a perfect financial health score — with deep value screening at a forward earnings multiple of 7.4 times and a near-zero PEG, while delivering three consecutive positive earnings surprises averaging 18.6%; the primary near-term risk is an extremely elevated put/call ratio signaling heavy hedging activity ahead of the next catalyst.

Thesis pillars

  • Outsized Revenue Growth TrajectoryStable
  • Extreme Put Call Hedging RiskImproving
  • Wide Moat High Quality FranchiseImproving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Iamgold Corporation (IAG) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Wait for pullback to $17.07. At $18.30 the A.R:R is 0.8:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $17.07 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Entry quality score: 3.8/10.

IAMGOLD Corporation, through its subsidiaries, operates as a gold producer and developer in Canada and Burkina Faso. The company's flagship project includes Côté Gold that covers an area of 596 hectares located in the Chester and Yeo Townships, district of sudbury, in... Read more

$18.30+12.2% A.UpsideScore 7.0/10#10 of 40 Gold
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield11.64%
Entry $17.07(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $15.35Target $20.53(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.8:1
Analyst target$23.60+29.0%5 analysts
$20.53our TP
$18.30price
$23.60mean
$34

Wait for pullback to $17.07. At $18.30 the A.R:R is 0.8:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $17.07 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Entry quality score: 3.8/10. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Value play: 38% MoS with quality 8.7. | Poor entry (EQ=3.8): wait for pullback. Score 7.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.40, earnings proximity 79d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-16
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 202679d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Strong overall score: 7.0/10
Risks
Entry quality score: 3.8/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.2
P/E (Fwd)8.0
Mkt Cap$10.4B
EV/EBITDA5.1
Profit Mgn31.4%
ROE32.3%
Rev Growth47.5%
Beta2.25
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.57bullish
IV76%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·3 ceiling hits

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.1
Bollinger
1.3
52w Position
4.7
Gap
5.0
GatesA.R:R 0.8 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.0>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.40EARNINGS PROXIMITY 79d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
75 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $13.62Resistance $18.87

Price Targets

$15
$17
$21
A.Upside+12.2%
A.R:R0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.8 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (79d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IAG stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $17.07. At $18.30 the A.R:R is 0.8:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $17.07 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Entry quality score: 3.8/10. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Value play: 38% MoS with quality 8.7. | Poor entry (EQ=3.8): wait for pullback. Target $20.53 (+12.2%), stop $15.35 (−19.2%), A.R:R 0.8:1. Score 7.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IAG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $20.53 (+12.2% upside). Target $20.53 (+12.2%), stop $15.35 (−19.2%), A.R:R 0.8:1. Stop-loss: $15.35.

What are the risks of investing in IAG?

Entry quality score: 3.8/10.

Is IAG overvalued or undervalued?

Iamgold Corporation trades at a P/E of 9.2 (forward 8.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about IAG?

14 analysts cover IAG with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $24.

What does Iamgold Corporation do?IAMGOLD Corporation, through its subsidiaries, operates as a gold producer and developer in Canada and Burkina Faso....

IAMGOLD Corporation, through its subsidiaries, operates as a gold producer and developer in Canada and Burkina Faso. The company's flagship project includes Côté Gold that covers an area of 596 hectares located in the Chester and Yeo Townships, district of sudbury, in northeastern Ontario. IAMGOLD Corporation was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

Related stocks: FSM (Fortuna Mining Corp.) · OGC (OceanaGold Corporation) · ARIS (Aris Mining Corporation) · KGC (Kinross Gold Corporation) · AEM (Agnico Eagle Mines Limited)
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