Skip to main content

Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) Stock Analysis

Temp Headwind edge

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Earnings in 5 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $47.41. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $52.33. Engine's entry $47.41 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Earnings in 5 days (event risk); Negative momentum.

Pan American Silver Corp. engages in the exploration, mine development, extraction, processing, refining, and reclamation of mines in Chile, Peru, Brazil, Mexico, Canada, Argentina, Bolivia, and Guatemala. The Silver segment includes the La Colorada, Juanicipio, Cerro Moro,... Read more

$52.33+25.4% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#15 of 32 Gold
Entry $47.41(Support Atr Sticky)Stop $43.07Target $64.71(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.9:1Setup A.R:R 5.1:1
Analyst target$74.38+42.1%8 analysts
$64.71our TP
$52.33price
$74.38mean
$94

Wait for pullback to $47.41. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $52.33. Engine's entry $47.41 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Earnings in 5 days (event risk); Negative momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the chart hasn't confirmed yet (PEG 0.04, quality 7.7/10, growth 10.0/10). Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Val7.6Qual7.7Grw10.0Mom2.6Sent7.9Ins5.0Peer2.6Tech6.8Risk6.16.6OVERALL

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
High-quality business
Risks
Earnings in 5 days (event risk)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.0
P/E (Fwd)9.8
Mkt Cap$21.6B
EV/EBITDA13.0
Profit Mgn27.0%
ROE16.7%
Rev Growth44.7%
Beta1.53
Dividend1.05%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C0.68bullish
IV74%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.1
Uptrend pullback (RSI 34) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.7
Value Rank
3.3
Quality Rank
4.4
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dA.R:R 2.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
34 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $50.51Resistance $60.55

Price Targets

$43
$47
$65
A.Upside+23.7%
A.R:R2.9:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)5.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1.1%
Max %2.2%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! News modifier capped: WAIT cannot upgrade to NOW via sentiment alone
! Momentum score 2.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-05 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PAAS stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $47.41. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $52.33. Engine's entry $47.41 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Earnings in 5 days (event risk); Negative momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the chart hasn't confirmed yet (PEG 0.04, quality 7.7/10, growth 10.0/10). Target $64.71 (+23.7%), stop $43.07 (−21.5%), Setup A.R:R 5.1:1. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PAAS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $64.71 (+25.4% upside). Target $64.71 (+23.7%), stop $43.07 (−21.5%), Setup A.R:R 5.1:1. Stop-loss: $43.07.

What are the risks of investing in PAAS?

Earnings in 5 days (event risk); Negative momentum.

Is PAAS overvalued or undervalued?

Pan American Silver Corp. trades at a P/E of 20.0 (forward 9.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about PAAS?

10 analysts cover PAAS with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $74.

What does Pan American Silver Corp. do?Pan American Silver Corp. engages in the exploration, mine development, extraction, processing, refining, and...

Pan American Silver Corp. engages in the exploration, mine development, extraction, processing, refining, and reclamation of mines in Chile, Peru, Brazil, Mexico, Canada, Argentina, Bolivia, and Guatemala. The Silver segment includes the La Colorada, Juanicipio, Cerro Moro, Huaron, and San Vicente mines. The Gold segment comprises the Jacobina, El Peñon, Timmins, Shahuindo, Minera Florida, and Dolores mines. It explores silver, gold, zinc, lead, and copper deposits. The company was formerly known as Pan American Minerals Corp. and changed its name to Pan American Silver Corp. in April 1995. Pan American Silver Corp. was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Related stocks: GFI (Gold Fields Limited) · CGAU (Centerra Gold Inc.) · KGC (Kinross Gold Corporation) · NEM (Newmont Corporation) · DRD (DRDGOLD Limited)