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PAASPan American Silver Corp.Buy Wait6.9·$52.65-4.08%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Pan American Silver combines a perfect Piotroski F-Score of 9 out of 9, a wide economic moat, 49% year-over-year revenue growth, and a PEG ratio of 0.08, making it one of the strongest fundamental profiles in the dataset, though sector concentration caps and a recent 7.4% gap-up create near-term entry timing risk.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value Peg RatioStable
  • Gap Up Pullback RiskImproving
  • Wide Economic Moat And QualityStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

Buy WaitValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Wait for pullback to $51.72. At $52.65 the A.R:R is 0.6:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $51.72 (Ma200 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 8.4%; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Pan American Silver Corp. engages in the exploration, mine development, extraction, processing, refining, and reclamation of mines in Chile, Peru, Brazil, Mexico, Canada, Argentina, Bolivia, and Guatemala. The Silver segment includes the La Colorada, Juanicipio, Cerro Moro,... Read more

$52.65+8.4% A.UpsideScore 6.9/10#13 of 41 Gold
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield6.01%
IncomeYield1.34%(5y avg 1.88%)Payout18.34%sustainable
Entry $51.72(Ma200 Sticky)Stop $47.09Target $57.33(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.6:1
Analyst target$65.90+25.2%8 analysts
$57.33our TP
$52.65price
$65.90mean
$94

Wait for pullback to $51.72. At $52.65 the A.R:R is 0.6:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $51.72 (Ma200 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 8.4%; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 53, MACD bullish. V9 Gate blocked: R/R 0.6x at spot < 1.5 minimum. Wait for improvement. Score 6.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 79d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear, sector concentration cap sector=basic materials 2/3 self excluded). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-30
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 16, 202679d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive news sentiment (+1.00)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Thin upside margin: 8.4%
Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.6
P/E (Fwd)11.2
Mkt Cap$21.9B
EV/EBITDA10.4
Profit Mgn32.0%
ROE22.4%
Rev Growth38.4%
Beta1.55
Dividend1.34%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.88neutral
IV56%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
2.3
Bollinger
2.9
Gap
5.0
52w Position
5.2
GatesA.R:R 0.6 < 1.5@spotMomentum 6.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 79d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSECTOR CONCENTRATION CAP sector=Basic Materials 2/3 self excludedMomentum ContSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $42.20Resistance $56.00

Price Targets

$47
$52
$57
A.Upside+8.4%
A.R:R0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1%
Max %2%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! R/R 0.6x at spot < 1.5 minimum
! asymmetry at 0.6 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-16 (79d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PAAS stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $51.72. At $52.65 the A.R:R is 0.6:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $51.72 (Ma200 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 8.4%; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 53, MACD bullish. V9 Gate blocked: R/R 0.6x at spot < 1.5 minimum. Wait for improvement. Target $57.33 (+8.9%), stop $47.09 (−11.8%), A.R:R 0.6:1. Score 6.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PAAS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $57.33 (+8.4% upside). Target $57.33 (+8.9%), stop $47.09 (−11.8%), A.R:R 0.6:1. Stop-loss: $47.09.

What are the risks of investing in PAAS?

Thin upside margin: 8.4%; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Is PAAS overvalued or undervalued?

Pan American Silver Corp. trades at a P/E of 15.6 (forward 11.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about PAAS?

11 analysts cover PAAS with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $66.

What does Pan American Silver Corp. do?Pan American Silver Corp. engages in the exploration, mine development, extraction, processing, refining, and...

Pan American Silver Corp. engages in the exploration, mine development, extraction, processing, refining, and reclamation of mines in Chile, Peru, Brazil, Mexico, Canada, Argentina, Bolivia, and Guatemala. The Silver segment includes the La Colorada, Juanicipio, Cerro Moro, Huaron, and San Vicente mines. The Gold segment comprises the Jacobina, El Peñon, Timmins, Shahuindo, Minera Florida, and Dolores mines. It explores silver, gold, zinc, lead, and copper deposits. The company was formerly known as Pan American Minerals Corp. and changed its name to Pan American Silver Corp. in April 1995. Pan American Silver Corp. was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Related stocks: OGC (OceanaGold Corporation) · KGC (Kinross Gold Corporation) · GFI (Gold Fields Limited) · FSM (Fortuna Mining Corp.) · ARIS (Aris Mining Corporation)
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