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PAASPan American Silver Corp.Buy Wait6.8·$48.00+0.88%
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Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) Stock Analysis

Temp Headwind edge

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $51.79 but weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Negative momentum.

Pan American Silver Corp. engages in the exploration, mine development, extraction, processing, refining, and reclamation of mines in Chile, Peru, Brazil, Mexico, Canada, Argentina, Bolivia, and Guatemala. The Silver segment includes the La Colorada, Juanicipio, Cerro Moro,... Read more

$48.00+39.2% A.UpsideScore 6.8/10#12 of 32 Gold
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield6.53%
IncomeYield1.31%(5y avg 1.88%)Payout17.03%sustainable
Entry $51.79(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $46.66Target $62.53(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.0:1
Analyst target$71.88+49.7%8 analysts
$62.53our TP
$48.00price
$71.88mean
$94

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $51.79 but weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Quality-value play. Wait for momentum improvement. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 57d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202657d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.5 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.9
P/E (Fwd)9.2
Mkt Cap$19.9B
EV/EBITDA9.8
Profit Mgn31.6%
ROE20.8%
Rev Growth49.3%
Beta1.50
Dividend1.31%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV71%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Volume
2.3
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+8.5%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.5
Value Rank
3.6
Quality Rank
5.0
GatesMomentum 1.8<4.5A.R:R 3.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 57d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
33 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $46.94Resistance $64.76

Price Targets

$47
$52
$63
A.Upside+30.3%
A.R:R3.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1.3%
Max %2.6%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 1.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (57d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PAAS stock a buy right now?

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $51.79 but weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Quality-value play. Wait for momentum improvement. Target $62.53 (+30.3%), stop $46.66 (−2.9%), Setup A.R:R 5.6:1. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PAAS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $62.53 (+39.2% upside). Target $62.53 (+30.3%), stop $46.66 (−2.9%), Setup A.R:R 5.6:1. Stop-loss: $46.66.

What are the risks of investing in PAAS?

Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Negative momentum.

Is PAAS overvalued or undervalued?

Pan American Silver Corp. trades at a P/E of 14.9 (forward 9.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about PAAS?

10 analysts cover PAAS with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $72.

What does Pan American Silver Corp. do?Pan American Silver Corp. engages in the exploration, mine development, extraction, processing, refining, and...

Pan American Silver Corp. engages in the exploration, mine development, extraction, processing, refining, and reclamation of mines in Chile, Peru, Brazil, Mexico, Canada, Argentina, Bolivia, and Guatemala. The Silver segment includes the La Colorada, Juanicipio, Cerro Moro, Huaron, and San Vicente mines. The Gold segment comprises the Jacobina, El Peñon, Timmins, Shahuindo, Minera Florida, and Dolores mines. It explores silver, gold, zinc, lead, and copper deposits. The company was formerly known as Pan American Minerals Corp. and changed its name to Pan American Silver Corp. in April 1995. Pan American Silver Corp. was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Related stocks: IAG (Iamgold Corporation) · GFI (Gold Fields Limited) · AEM (Agnico Eagle Mines Limited) · CGAU (Centerra Gold Inc.) · KGC (Kinross Gold Corporation)
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