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PAASPan American Silver Corp.Buy Wait6.6·$45.20+0.47%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Pan American Silver combines a perfect Piotroski F-Score of 9 out of 9, a wide economic moat, 49% year-over-year revenue growth, and a PEG ratio of 0.08, making it one of the strongest fundamental profiles in the dataset, though sector concentration caps and a recent 7.4% gap-up create near-term entry timing risk.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value Peg RatioStable
  • Gap Up Pullback RiskStable
  • Wide Economic Moat And QualityStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) Stock Analysis

Temporary headwind edge

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $45.71 but weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risk: Negative momentum.

Pan American Silver Corp. engages in the exploration, mine development, extraction, processing, refining, and reclamation of mines in Chile, Peru, Brazil, Mexico, Canada, Argentina, Bolivia, and Guatemala. The Silver segment includes the La Colorada, Juanicipio, Cerro Moro,... Read more

$45.20+36.8% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#17 of 32 Gold
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield6.79%
IncomeYield1.36%(5y avg 1.88%)Payout17.03%sustainable
Entry $45.71(Support Atr Sticky)Stop $40.67Target $61.55(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.2:1
Analyst target$70.75+56.5%8 analysts
$61.55our TP
$45.20price
$70.75mean
$94

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $45.71 but weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risk: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.07, quality 8.5/10, growth 10.0/10). Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 37d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202637d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.3
P/E (Fwd)9.0
Mkt Cap$19.2B
EV/EBITDA9.4
Profit Mgn31.6%
ROE20.8%
Rev Growth49.3%
Beta1.50
Dividend1.36%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.48bullish
IV70%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Volume
2.4
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+6.4%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.5
Value Rank
3.2
Quality Rank
5.0
GatesMomentum 2.0<4.5A.R:R 3.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 37d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
45 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $43.74Resistance $57.06

Price Targets

$41
$46
$62
A.Upside+36.2%
A.R:R3.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1.3%
Max %2.6%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (37d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PAAS stock a buy right now?

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $45.71 but weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risk: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.07, quality 8.5/10, growth 10.0/10). Target $61.55 (+36.2%), stop $40.67 (−11.1%), Setup A.R:R 6.5:1. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PAAS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $61.55 (+36.8% upside). Target $61.55 (+36.2%), stop $40.67 (−11.1%), Setup A.R:R 6.5:1. Stop-loss: $40.67.

What are the risks of investing in PAAS?

Negative momentum.

Is PAAS overvalued or undervalued?

Pan American Silver Corp. trades at a P/E of 14.3 (forward 9.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about PAAS?

10 analysts cover PAAS with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $71.

What does Pan American Silver Corp. do?Pan American Silver Corp. engages in the exploration, mine development, extraction, processing, refining, and...

Pan American Silver Corp. engages in the exploration, mine development, extraction, processing, refining, and reclamation of mines in Chile, Peru, Brazil, Mexico, Canada, Argentina, Bolivia, and Guatemala. The Silver segment includes the La Colorada, Juanicipio, Cerro Moro, Huaron, and San Vicente mines. The Gold segment comprises the Jacobina, El Peñon, Timmins, Shahuindo, Minera Florida, and Dolores mines. It explores silver, gold, zinc, lead, and copper deposits. The company was formerly known as Pan American Minerals Corp. and changed its name to Pan American Silver Corp. in April 1995. Pan American Silver Corp. was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Related stocks: ORLA (Orla Mining Ltd.) · AU (AngloGold Ashanti PLC) · SSRM (SSR Mining Inc.) · IAG (Iamgold Corporation) · AUGO (Aura Minerals Inc.)
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