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Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Temp Headwind edge

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Wait for pullback to $52.31. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $53.10. Engine's entry $52.31 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Negative momentum.

Pan American Silver Corp. engages in the exploration, mine development, extraction, processing, refining, and reclamation of mines in Chile, Peru, Brazil, Mexico, Canada, Argentina, Bolivia, and Guatemala. The Silver segment includes the La Colorada, Juanicipio, Cerro Moro,... Read more

$53.10+22.3% A.UpsideScore 6.7/10#14 of 32 Gold
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield5.84%
IncomeYield1.17%(5y avg 1.88%)Payout17.03%sustainable
Entry $52.31(Support Atr Sticky)Stop $46.29Target $63.40(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.7:1Setup A.R:R 3.8:1
Analyst target$72.88+37.2%8 analysts
$63.40our TP
$53.10price
$72.88mean
$94

Wait for pullback to $52.31. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $53.10. Engine's entry $52.31 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the chart hasn't confirmed yet (PEG 0.07, quality 8.5/10, growth 10.0/10). Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Pan American Silver Corp.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.5 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.7
P/E (Fwd)9.7
Mkt Cap$22.3B
EV/EBITDA11.1
Profit Mgn31.6%
ROE20.8%
Rev Growth49.3%
Beta1.49
Dividend1.17%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.71neutral
IV66%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.5
Value Rank
3.2
Quality Rank
5.0
GatesMomentum 2.1<4.5A.R:R 1.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 77d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $50.34Resistance $64.78

Price Targets

$46
$52
$63
A.Upside+19.4%
A.R:R1.7:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)3.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1.3%
Max %2.6%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (77d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PAAS stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $52.31. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $53.10. Engine's entry $52.31 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the chart hasn't confirmed yet (PEG 0.07, quality 8.5/10, growth 10.0/10). Target $63.40 (+19.4%), stop $46.29 (−14.7%), Setup A.R:R 3.8:1. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PAAS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $63.40 (+22.3% upside). Target $63.40 (+19.4%), stop $46.29 (−14.7%), Setup A.R:R 3.8:1. Stop-loss: $46.29.

What are the risks of investing in PAAS?

Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Negative momentum.

Is PAAS overvalued or undervalued?

Pan American Silver Corp. trades at a P/E of 16.7 (forward 9.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about PAAS?

10 analysts cover PAAS with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $73.

What does Pan American Silver Corp. do?Pan American Silver Corp. engages in the exploration, mine development, extraction, processing, refining, and...

Pan American Silver Corp. engages in the exploration, mine development, extraction, processing, refining, and reclamation of mines in Chile, Peru, Brazil, Mexico, Canada, Argentina, Bolivia, and Guatemala. The Silver segment includes the La Colorada, Juanicipio, Cerro Moro, Huaron, and San Vicente mines. The Gold segment comprises the Jacobina, El Peñon, Timmins, Shahuindo, Minera Florida, and Dolores mines. It explores silver, gold, zinc, lead, and copper deposits. The company was formerly known as Pan American Minerals Corp. and changed its name to Pan American Silver Corp. in April 1995. Pan American Silver Corp. was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

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