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PAASPan American Silver Corp.Buy Wait7.1·$51.39+6.95%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Pan American Silver combines a perfect Piotroski F-Score of 9 out of 9, a wide economic moat, 49% year-over-year revenue growth, and a PEG ratio of 0.08, making it one of the strongest fundamental profiles in the dataset, though sector concentration caps and a recent 7.4% gap-up create near-term entry timing risk.

Thesis pillars

  • Deep Value Peg RatioDeteriorating
  • Gap Up Pullback RiskDeteriorating
  • Wide Economic Moat And QualityStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Earnings in 3 days (2026-08-12). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $43.15. At $51.39 the A.R:R is 0.7:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $43.15 (Ma200 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Overbought (RSI 77).

Pan American Silver Corp. engages in the exploration, mine development, extraction, processing, refining, and reclamation of mines in Chile, Peru, Brazil, Mexico, Canada, Argentina, Bolivia, and Guatemala. The Silver segment includes the La Colorada, Juanicipio, Cerro Moro,... Read more

$51.39+10.8% A.UpsideScore 7.1/10#13 of 40 Gold
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield6.02%
IncomeYield1.21%(5y avg 1.88%)Payout17.03%sustainable
Entry $43.15(Ma200 Sticky)Stop $39.03Target $56.77(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.7:1
Analyst target$65.25+27.0%8 analysts
$56.77our TP
$51.39price
$65.25mean
$94

Wait for pullback to $43.15. At $51.39 the A.R:R is 0.7:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $43.15 (Ma200 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Overbought (RSI 77). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 7.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 12, 20263d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong overall score: 7.1/10
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Overbought (RSI 77)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.2
P/E (Fwd)10.8
Mkt Cap$21.6B
EV/EBITDA10.7
Profit Mgn31.6%
ROE20.8%
Rev Growth49.3%
Beta1.55
Dividend1.21%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.41bullish
IV66%elevated
Max Pain$55+7.0% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.4
Gap
3.0
52w Position
4.7
Extreme gap up (6.3%) - may pull back
GatesA.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dMomentum 7.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
77 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $40.76Resistance $51.62

Price Targets

$39
$43
$57
A.Upside+10.8%
A.R:R0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 3 days - binary event risk
! asymmetry at 0.7 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:3d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-12 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PAAS stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $43.15. At $51.39 the A.R:R is 0.7:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $43.15 (Ma200 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Overbought (RSI 77). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $56.77 (+10.5%), stop $39.03 (−31.7%), A.R:R 0.7:1. Score 7.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PAAS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $56.77 (+10.8% upside). Target $56.77 (+10.5%), stop $39.03 (−31.7%), A.R:R 0.7:1. Stop-loss: $39.03.

What are the risks of investing in PAAS?

Overbought (RSI 77).

Is PAAS overvalued or undervalued?

Pan American Silver Corp. trades at a P/E of 16.2 (forward 10.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about PAAS?

11 analysts cover PAAS with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $65.

What does Pan American Silver Corp. do?Pan American Silver Corp. engages in the exploration, mine development, extraction, processing, refining, and...

Pan American Silver Corp. engages in the exploration, mine development, extraction, processing, refining, and reclamation of mines in Chile, Peru, Brazil, Mexico, Canada, Argentina, Bolivia, and Guatemala. The Silver segment includes the La Colorada, Juanicipio, Cerro Moro, Huaron, and San Vicente mines. The Gold segment comprises the Jacobina, El Peñon, Timmins, Shahuindo, Minera Florida, and Dolores mines. It explores silver, gold, zinc, lead, and copper deposits. The company was formerly known as Pan American Minerals Corp. and changed its name to Pan American Silver Corp. in April 1995. Pan American Silver Corp. was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Related stocks: OGC (OceanaGold Corporation) · KGC (Kinross Gold Corporation) · GFI (Gold Fields Limited) · AU (AngloGold Ashanti PLC) · IAG (Iamgold Corporation)
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