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Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) Stock Analysis

Temp Headwind edge

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Wait for pullback to $30.06. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $31.64. Engine's entry $30.06 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Leverage penalty (D/E 9.1): -1.5; Negative momentum.

Kinross Gold Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of gold properties principally in the United States, Brazil, Chile, Canada, and Mauritania. It is also involved in the extraction and processing of gold-containing... Read more

$31.64+22.9% A.UpsideScore 7.0/10#2 of 32 Gold
Entry $30.06(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $27.66Target $35.23(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.2:1
Analyst target$40.50+28.0%11 analysts
$35.23our TP
$31.64price
$40.50mean
$10
$56

Wait for pullback to $30.06. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $31.64. Engine's entry $30.06 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Leverage penalty (D/E 9.1): -1.5; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the chart hasn't confirmed yet (PEG 0.04, quality 8.8/10, growth 10.0/10). Score 7.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/6 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong overall score: 7.0/10
High-quality business
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 9.1): -1.5
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.3
P/E (Fwd)8.8
Mkt Cap$35.9B
EV/EBITDA8.3
Profit Mgn33.9%
ROE31.5%
Rev Growth42.9%
Beta1.40
Dividend0.45%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.42bullish
IV98%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·3 ceiling hits

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Volume
4.7
Rsi
7.8
Uptrend pullback (RSI 37) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.3
Value Rank
5.0
Quality Rank
7.3
Superior ROE vs peers
GatesMomentum 3.5<4.5A.R:R 2.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
37 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $29.73Resistance $35.56

Price Targets

$28
$30
$35
A.Upside+11.3%
A.R:R2.2:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)3.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1.3%
Max %2.6%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-29 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KGC stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $30.06. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $31.64. Engine's entry $30.06 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Leverage penalty (D/E 9.1): -1.5; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the chart hasn't confirmed yet (PEG 0.04, quality 8.8/10, growth 10.0/10). Target $35.23 (+11.3%), stop $27.66 (−14.4%), Setup A.R:R 3.3:1. Score 7.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KGC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $35.23 (+22.9% upside). Target $35.23 (+11.3%), stop $27.66 (−14.4%), Setup A.R:R 3.3:1. Stop-loss: $27.66.

What are the risks of investing in KGC?

Leverage penalty (D/E 9.1): -1.5; Negative momentum.

Is KGC overvalued or undervalued?

Kinross Gold Corporation trades at a P/E of 15.3 (forward 8.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about KGC?

15 analysts cover KGC with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $41.

What does Kinross Gold Corporation do?Kinross Gold Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of...

Kinross Gold Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of gold properties principally in the United States, Brazil, Chile, Canada, and Mauritania. It is also involved in the extraction and processing of gold-containing ores; reclamation of gold mining properties; and production and sale of silver. The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

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