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Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) Stock Analysis

Temp Headwind edge

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $29.75 but weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Leverage penalty (D/E 8.2): -1.5.

Kinross Gold Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of gold properties principally in the United States, Brazil, Chile, Canada, and Mauritania. It is also involved in the extraction and processing of gold-containing... Read more

$27.63+36.0% A.UpsideScore 6.8/10#6 of 32 Gold
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield8.69%
IncomeYield0.53%(5y avg 1.81%)Payout5.74%sustainable
Entry $29.75(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $27.17Target $35.87(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.2:1
Analyst target$41.23+49.2%11 analysts
$35.87our TP
$27.63price
$41.23mean
$10
$56

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $29.75 but weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Leverage penalty (D/E 8.2): -1.5. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the chart hasn't confirmed yet (PEG 0.06, quality 9.2/10, growth 10.0/10). Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 70d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Kinross Gold Corporation

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=9.2 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
Leverage penalty (D/E 8.2): -1.5
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.7
P/E (Fwd)7.8
Mkt Cap$32.8B
EV/EBITDA6.3
Profit Mgn36.0%
ROE35.5%
Rev Growth60.8%
Beta1.37
Dividend0.53%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.82neutral
IV62%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·3 ceiling hits

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+9.2%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.2
Value Rank
5.3
Quality Rank
7.5
Superior ROE vs peers
GatesMomentum 1.3<4.5A.R:R 3.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 70d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
37 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $27.24Resistance $32.90

Price Targets

$27
$30
$36
A.Upside+29.8%
A.R:R3.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1.3%
Max %2.6%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (70d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KGC stock a buy right now?

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $29.75 but weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Leverage penalty (D/E 8.2): -1.5. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the chart hasn't confirmed yet (PEG 0.06, quality 9.2/10, growth 10.0/10). Target $35.87 (+29.8%), stop $27.17 (−1.7%), Setup A.R:R 5.1:1. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KGC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $35.87 (+36.0% upside). Target $35.87 (+29.8%), stop $27.17 (−1.7%), Setup A.R:R 5.1:1. Stop-loss: $27.17.

What are the risks of investing in KGC?

Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Leverage penalty (D/E 8.2): -1.5; Negative momentum.

Is KGC overvalued or undervalued?

Kinross Gold Corporation trades at a P/E of 11.7 (forward 7.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.9/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about KGC?

15 analysts cover KGC with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $41.

What does Kinross Gold Corporation do?Kinross Gold Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of...

Kinross Gold Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of gold properties principally in the United States, Brazil, Chile, Canada, and Mauritania. It is also involved in the extraction and processing of gold-containing ores; reclamation of gold mining properties; and production and sale of silver. The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

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