Kinross Gold combines elite quality (9.5/10), 30% growth and a low forward P/E of 8.3x with 20.7% upside to the analyst target, but a confirmed downtrend and earnings in 4 days argue for patience on entry.
Thesis pillars
- Confirmed Downtrend Weak Momentum↓Deteriorating
- Elite Business Quality↓Deteriorating
- Strong Growth And Beats↓Deteriorating
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026
Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup · Sector Rotation edge
Basic Materials · Gold
Wait for pullback to $18.80. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $19.93. Engine's entry $18.80 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Weak growth.
Kinross Gold Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of gold properties principally in the United States, Brazil, Chile, Canada, and Mauritania. It is also involved in the extraction and processing of gold-containing... Read more
Wait for pullback to $18.80. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $19.93. Engine's entry $18.80 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 36, MACD bearish. V9 Gate blocked: Momentum 2.3 < 4.5 minimum; 50MA < 200MA with weak momentum (2.3) - hard block. Wait for improvement. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 8/10 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 105d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear, sector concentration cap sector=basic materials 0/3). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.
Recent developments
updated Oct 28, 2026Recent Developments — Kinross Gold Corporation
Latest news
- NEWS Kinross Gold (KGC) Beats Q3 Earnings Estimates - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance Oct 28, 2026 positive
- NEWS Kinross Gold (KGC) Beats Q3 Earnings Estimates - Yahoo Finance Singapore — Yahoo Finance Singapore Oct 28, 2026 positive
- NEWS Earnings Flash (KGC) Kinross Gold Corporation Reports Q3 Revenue $1.77B, vs. FactSet Est of $1.96B - www.marketscreener. — www.marketscreener.com Oct 28, 2026 negative
- NEWS Earnings Flash (KGC) Kinross Gold Corporation Posts Q3 Adjusted EPS $0.50 per Share, vs. FactSet Est of $0.47 - marketsc — marketscreener.com Oct 28, 2026 positive
- NEWS Kinross Gold (KGC) Stock Price, News & Analysis - 24/7 Wall St. — 24/7 Wall St. Oct 28, 2026 neutral
Latest item Oct 28, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T11:44:36Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits
Revenue shrinking — -1.5% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $18.80. Weak momentum; also below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $19.93. Engine's entry $18.80 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 36, MACD bearish. V9 Gate blocked: Momentum 2.3 < 4.5 minimum; 50MA < 200MA with weak momentum (2.3) - hard block. Wait for improvement. Target $26.95 (+35.2%), stop $17.48 (−14.0%), A.R:R 3.5:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $26.95 (+35.2% upside). Target $26.95 (+35.2%), stop $17.48 (−14.0%), A.R:R 3.5:1. Stop-loss: $17.48.
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Weak growth; Negative momentum.
Kinross Gold Corporation trades at a P/E of 7.5 (forward 7.6). TrendMatrix value score: 9.4/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
15 analysts rate KGC, with a consensus score of 4.1/5. 10 analysts publish price targets averaging $31.
What does Kinross Gold Corporation do?Kinross Gold Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of...
Kinross Gold Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of gold properties principally in the United States, Brazil, Chile, Canada, and Mauritania. It is also involved in the extraction and processing of gold-containing ores; reclamation of gold mining properties; and production and sale of silver. The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.