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PAASPan American Silver Corp.Buy Wait6.7·$50.95+5.85%
PAAS · Why this verdict

Why Pan American Silver (PAAS) is rated BUY WAIT

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictBUY WAIT
Overall score6.7/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

8.1/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
P/E7.9
P/S6.8
EV/EBITDA5.9
Fwd P/E9.4
PEG10.0
Analyst target7.5
  • Forward P/E: 9.5x
  • PEG: 0.07
  • Attractively valued

Quality

8.5/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE6.9
ROA7.1
Gross margin7.1
Op margin10.0
Net margin10.0
Current ratio9.5
FCF quality7.1
Moat9.0
Piotroski F10.0
  • Strong margins: 32%
  • Wide economic moat
  • Compounder quality: strong returns + growth
  • Strong Piotroski F-Score: 9/9

Growth

10.0/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth10.0
EPS growth10.0
  • Strong growth: 49% YoY

Momentum

4.7/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI5.5
MACD0.0
OBV10.0
MA position4.0
Volume3.8
  • Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
  • Above 200-day MA

Sentiment

7.1/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
Analyst rating6.8
Price target9.1
erm sentiment5.0
  • Light analyst coverage (8.0) — signal dampened
  • Analyst upside: 39%

Insider

5.0/10data confidence 50%

Peer rank

2.4/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank3.2
quality rank5.0
growth rank1.5

Technical

4.5/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger5.6
support resistance4.7
52w position4.6
gap3.0
  • Extreme gap up (7.4%) - may pull back

Risk (lower is worse)

6.0/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
days to cover10.0
volatility0.0
put call9.3
implied vol2.2
beta5.0
debt equity9.5
  • High IV: 67%

Catalyst

6.0/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm5.0
earnings history6.7
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg8.2
dividend safety5.2
  • Strong earnings: 3B/1M
  • Dividend: 129.0%

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.07, quality 8.5/10, growth 10.0/10).

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L4:PATH_C2_GARP_WAIT|ENTRY_STICKY:PRIOR_STILL_VIABLE
Passed (8)
  • MOMENTUM:4.7>=4.5
  • ASYMMETRY:1.5>=1.5
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:51d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (0)

none

Warning (1)
  • MOMENTUM:4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)
Reward-to-Risk
1.47
Upside
+20.7%
Downside
14.1%
Sizing output
STARTER

SetupRANGE_BOUND RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band

EdgeNO_EDGE No clear edge identified

SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE Beta 1.50>1.3

Investment implication

The C-path quality+growth combination triggered the STRONG_BUY_WAIT verdict: quality 8.5 and growth 10.0 both clear their thresholds, with asymmetric R:R of 1.47 supporting the read.

The strongest dimensions are Growth at 10.0, Quality at 8.5, and Value at 8.1; the weakest are Peer rank at 2.4, Technical at 4.5, and Momentum at 4.7. The V9 engine cleared all gates with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 1.47 and an engine sizing output of STARTER.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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