Aris Mining Corporation (ARIS) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the ARIS stock price target?

Take-profit $21.39 (+19.8% upside). Prior stop was $16.62.

Q: What are the risks of investing in ARIS?

Earnings in 6 days (event risk); Consecutive earnings misses (2); Negative momentum; NEWS_MOD=-2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING; Momentum score 2.7/10 — below 4.5 minimum.

Q: Is ARIS overvalued or undervalued?

Aris Mining Corporation trades at a P/E of 42.3 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about ARIS?

11 analysts cover ARIS with a consensus score of 4.1/5.

SellModerate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Basic Materials · Gold

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

$17.84+19.8% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#24 of 32 Gold

Stop $16.62Target $21.39(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $17.84 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

Attractive valuation

Strong growth profile

Risks

Earnings in 6 days (event risk)

Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)42.3

P/E (Fwd)—

Mkt Cap$3.6B

EV/EBITDA9.1

Profit Mgn8.4%

ROE6.3%

Rev Growth104.2%

Beta1.94

DividendNone

Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C0.54bullish

IV81%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value8.315%1.25

Quality6.815%1.02

Growth10.015%1.50

Momentum2.710%0.27

Sentiment5.010%0.50

Insider Activity5.110%0.51

Peer Rank3.110%0.31

Technical Setup6.65%0.33

Risk Profile5.15%0.26

Catalyst2.85%0.14

Overall (Σ contributions)6.08

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd

0.0

Volume

0.0

Obv

1.0

Ma Position

4.0

Rsi

8.3

Uptrend pullback (RSI 32) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg

0.0

Earnings History

1.1

Erm

5.0

Earnings Timing

5.0

Earnings concerns: 1B/2MEarnings in 6 days

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank

1.8

Value Rank

3.4

Growth Rank

7.3

GatesMomentum 2.7<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dA.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

32 · Neutral

↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $17.13Resistance $21.83

Price Targets

$17

$21

A.Upside+19.9%

A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=-2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING

! Momentum score 2.7/10 — below 4.5 minimum

! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

1/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-06 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is ARIS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $17.84 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Earnings in 6 days (event risk). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $16.62. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ARIS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $21.39 (+19.8% upside). Prior stop was $16.62. Stop-loss: $16.62.

What are the risks of investing in ARIS?

Earnings in 6 days (event risk); Consecutive earnings misses (2); Negative momentum.

Is ARIS overvalued or undervalued?

Aris Mining Corporation trades at a P/E of 42.3 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ARIS?

11 analysts cover ARIS with a consensus score of 4.1/5.

What does Aris Mining Corporation do?Aris Mining Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and...

Aris Mining Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and operation of gold properties in Canada, Colombia, and Guyana. It also explores for silver and copper deposits. Aris Mining Corporation was formerly known as GCM Mining Corp. and changed its name to Aris Mining Corporation in September 2022. The company was founded in 20222 and is based in Vancouver, Canada.