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Gold Fields Limited (GFI) Stock Analysis

Temp Headwind edge

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $43.00 but weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Negative momentum.

Gold Fields Limited operates as a gold producer with reserves and resources in South Africa, Ghana, Australia, Peru, Canada, and Chile. It also explores for gold, copper and silver deposits. Gold Fields Limited was founded in 1887 and is based in Sandton, South Africa.

$39.91+33.8% A.UpsideScore 7.0/10#2 of 32 Gold
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield7.26%
IncomeYield5.92%(5y avg 2.85%)Payout20.00%sustainable
Entry $43.00(Support Atr Sticky)Stop $39.03Target $52.77(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.2:1
Analyst target$60.66+52.0%8 analysts
$52.77our TP
$39.91price
$60.66mean
$75

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $43.00 but weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. V9 Gate blocked: Momentum 1.5 < 4.5 minimum. Wait for improvement. Score 7.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 92d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Gold Fields Limited

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.6 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Risks
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.9
P/E (Fwd)7.3
Mkt Cap$35.1B
EV/EBITDA7.1
Profit Mgn40.8%
ROE51.9%
Rev Growth71.4%
Beta0.64
Dividend5.92%
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.50bearish
IV59%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·3 ceiling hits

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+8.3%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 1.5<4.5A.R:R 3.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 92d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
42 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $38.44Resistance $47.34

Price Targets

$39
$43
$53
A.Upside+32.2%
A.R:R3.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %2.8%
Max %5.6%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum 1.5 < 4.5 minimum
! Momentum score 1.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-21 (92d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GFI stock a buy right now?

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $43.00 but weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. V9 Gate blocked: Momentum 1.5 < 4.5 minimum. Wait for improvement. Target $52.77 (+32.2%), stop $39.03 (−2.3%), Setup A.R:R 6.3:1. Score 7.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GFI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $52.77 (+33.8% upside). Target $52.77 (+32.2%), stop $39.03 (−2.3%), Setup A.R:R 6.3:1. Stop-loss: $39.03.

What are the risks of investing in GFI?

Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Negative momentum.

Is GFI overvalued or undervalued?

Gold Fields Limited trades at a P/E of 9.9 (forward 7.3). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about GFI?

14 analysts cover GFI with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $61.

What does Gold Fields Limited do?Gold Fields Limited operates as a gold producer with reserves and resources in South Africa, Ghana, Australia, Peru,...

Gold Fields Limited operates as a gold producer with reserves and resources in South Africa, Ghana, Australia, Peru, Canada, and Chile. It also explores for gold, copper and silver deposits. Gold Fields Limited was founded in 1887 and is based in Sandton, South Africa.

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