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Gold Fields Limited (GFI) Stock Analysis

Temp Headwind edge

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Gold

Wait for pullback to $40.09. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $42.80. Engine's entry $40.09 (Ma200 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Negative momentum.

Gold Fields Limited operates as a gold producer with reserves and resources in South Africa, Ghana, Australia, Peru, Canada, and Chile. It also explores for gold, copper and silver deposits. Gold Fields Limited was founded in 1887 and is based in Sandton, South Africa.

$42.80+30.7% A.UpsideScore 7.3/10#1 of 32 Gold
Entry $40.09(Ma200 Sticky)Stop $36.10Target $53.21(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.9:1Setup A.R:R 4.4:1
Analyst target$61.16+42.9%8 analysts
$53.21our TP
$42.80price
$61.16mean
$76

Wait for pullback to $40.09. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $42.80. Engine's entry $40.09 (Ma200 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Quality-value play. Wait for momentum improvement. Score 7.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 112d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong overall score: 7.3/10
High-quality business
Risks
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.5
P/E (Fwd)7.9
Mkt Cap$37.1B
EV/EBITDA7.5
Profit Mgn40.8%
ROE51.9%
Rev Growth71.4%
Beta0.82
Dividend5.59%
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C0.41bullish
IV78%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Volume
5.3
Rsi
8.3
Uptrend pullback (RSI 32) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.7<4.5A.R:R 2.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 112d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
32 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $41.27Resistance $52.97

Price Targets

$36
$40
$53
A.Upside+24.3%
A.R:R2.9:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)4.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1.1%
Max %2.2%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.7/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-21 (112d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GFI stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $40.09. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $42.80. Engine's entry $40.09 (Ma200 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Quality-value play. Wait for momentum improvement. Target $53.21 (+24.3%), stop $36.10 (−18.6%), Setup A.R:R 4.4:1. Score 7.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GFI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $53.21 (+30.7% upside). Target $53.21 (+24.3%), stop $36.10 (−18.6%), Setup A.R:R 4.4:1. Stop-loss: $36.10.

What are the risks of investing in GFI?

Negative momentum.

Is GFI overvalued or undervalued?

Gold Fields Limited trades at a P/E of 10.5 (forward 7.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.9/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about GFI?

14 analysts cover GFI with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $61.

What does Gold Fields Limited do?Gold Fields Limited operates as a gold producer with reserves and resources in South Africa, Ghana, Australia, Peru,...

Gold Fields Limited operates as a gold producer with reserves and resources in South Africa, Ghana, Australia, Peru, Canada, and Chile. It also explores for gold, copper and silver deposits. Gold Fields Limited was founded in 1887 and is based in Sandton, South Africa.

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