Oshkosh Corporation offers deep value at 9.7x forward earnings and a PEG of 0.17, but two consecutive earnings misses, a thin 6.8% upside, an inverted asymmetry ratio, and negative news flow create a hold-not-buy situation at current prices.
Thesis pillars
- Consecutive Earnings Misses→Stable
- Deep Value Low Peg→Stable
- News Flow Negative Signal→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Co (OSK) Stock Analysis
Momentum Cont setup
Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $142.70 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2).
Oshkosh Corporation designs and manufactures purpose-built vehicles across three segments: Access equipment (43% of 2025 net sales), Vocational vehicles (36%), and Transport/defense (20%), spanning aerial work platforms, fire apparatus, defense vehicles, and refuse collection.... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $142.70 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 24d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-06Recent Developments — Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Co
Latest news
- NEWS Oshkosh reports 3.2% EPS miss falling short of analyst estimates - Trend Analysis - Newser — Newser negative
- NEWS Valuation Analysis | Oshkosh reports 3.2% EPS miss falling short of analyst estimates - Share Repurchase - Newser — Newser negative
- NEWS Truist Financial Corp Buys 379,134 Shares of Oshkosh Corporation $OSK - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS How Oshkosh’s New ROGUE-Fires And Upgraded MTVR 4x4 At Oshkosh (OSK) Has Changed Its Investment Story - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS Elliott builds stake in Japan shipping giant Mitsui OSK Lines - MSN — MSN positive
Generated 2026-07-06T05:40:27Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- LOWCustomerU.S. government20%10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 20% of our net sales in 2025 were to the U.S. government'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
10 dimensions · all in-band
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $142.70 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $132.71. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $146.71 (+2.8% upside). Prior stop was $132.71. Stop-loss: $132.71.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (2).
Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Co trades at a P/E of 15.9 (forward 10.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Sell.
22 analysts cover OSK with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $163.
What does Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Co do?Oshkosh Corporation designs and manufactures purpose-built vehicles across three segments: Access equipment (43% of...
Oshkosh Corporation designs and manufactures purpose-built vehicles across three segments: Access equipment (43% of 2025 net sales), Vocational vehicles (36%), and Transport/defense (20%), spanning aerial work platforms, fire apparatus, defense vehicles, and refuse collection. About 20% of annual net sales derive from U.S. government contracts, primarily multi-year DoD tactical vehicle programs and a 10-year NGDV contract with the USPS for up to 165,000 vehicles. The company operates 37 manufacturing facilities.