Oshkosh Corporation offers deep value at 9.7x forward earnings and a PEG of 0.17, but two consecutive earnings misses, a thin 6.8% upside, an inverted asymmetry ratio, and negative news flow create a hold-not-buy situation at current prices.
Thesis pillars
- Consecutive Earnings Misses→Stable
- Deep Value Low Peg→Stable
- News Flow Negative Signal→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Co (OSK) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $152.89, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (2).
Oshkosh Corporation designs and manufactures purpose-built vehicles across three segments: Access equipment (43% of 2025 net sales), Vocational vehicles (36%), and Transport/defense (20%), spanning aerial work platforms, fire apparatus, defense vehicles, and refuse collection.... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $152.89, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 48, MACD bullish. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 74d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-08-15Recent Developments — Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Co
Latest news
- NEWS Oshkosh reports 3.2% EPS miss falling short of analyst estimates - Trend Analysis - Newser — Newser negative
- NEWS Valuation Analysis | Oshkosh reports 3.2% EPS miss falling short of analyst estimates - Share Repurchase - Newser — Newser negative
- NEWS Is Oshkosh Corp (OSK) Overvalued After 3.1% Rally? GF Value Says - GuruFocus — GuruFocus negative
- NEWS Truist Financial Corp Buys 379,134 Shares of Oshkosh Corporation $OSK - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS 5% Undervalued Following Oshkosh (OSK) Earnings And Higher 2026 Guidance - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
Generated 2026-08-15T13:12:18Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- LOWCustomerU.S. government20%10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 20% of our net sales in 2025 were to the U.S. government'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
10 dimensions · all in-band
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $152.89, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 48, MACD bullish. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $156.89 (+2.6%), stop $142.19 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $156.89 (-1.5% upside). Target $156.89 (+2.6%), stop $142.19 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Stop-loss: $142.19.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (2).
Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Co trades at a P/E of 17.5 (forward 10.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Hold.
22 analysts cover OSK with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $167.
What does Oshkosh Corporation (Holding Co do?Oshkosh Corporation designs and manufactures purpose-built vehicles across three segments: Access equipment (43% of...
Oshkosh Corporation designs and manufactures purpose-built vehicles across three segments: Access equipment (43% of 2025 net sales), Vocational vehicles (36%), and Transport/defense (20%), spanning aerial work platforms, fire apparatus, defense vehicles, and refuse collection. About 20% of annual net sales derive from U.S. government contracts, primarily multi-year DoD tactical vehicle programs and a 10-year NGDV contract with the USPS for up to 165,000 vehicles. The company operates 37 manufacturing facilities.