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NWSANews CorporationSell5.5·$30.38-1.82%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

News Corporation offers an attractive entry point for patient investors, backed by a compelling free-cash-flow profile and a 3/4 recent earnings beat streak, though confirmed price weakness and a failed momentum gate warrant caution on adding new exposure.

Thesis pillars

  • Value Peg DiscountStable
  • Fcf Conversion StrengthStable
  • Earnings Beat ConsistencyStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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News Corporation (NWSA) Stock Analysis

SellShortModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Entertainment

Sell if holding. At $30.38, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.5%; Concentration risk — Supplier: Amazon Web Services (cloud infrastructure).

News Corporation is a global, diversified media and information services company operating four core segments — Dow Jones, Digital Real Estate Services, Book Publishing, and News Media — under brands including The Wall Street Journal, HarperCollins Publishers, realestate.com.au,... Read more

$30.38+3.5% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#16 of 34 Entertainment
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield6.41%
IncomeYield0.65%(5y avg 0.88%)Payout19.42%sustainable
Stop $29.13Target $31.46(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst target$36.16+19.0%8 analysts
$31.46our TP
$30.38price
$36.16mean
$43

Sell if holding. At $30.38, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.5%; Concentration risk — Supplier: Amazon Web Services (cloud infrastructure). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 61d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About News Corporation

About News Corporation

News Corporation reported fiscal 2025 segment revenue of $2,331 million at Dow Jones, $1,802 million at Digital Real Estate Services, $2,149 million at Book Publishing, and $2,170 million at News Media, with brands including The Wall Street Journal, Barron's, HarperCollins, realestate.com.au, and Realtor.com. Dow Jones counted 6.26 million average daily consumer subscriptions in the June 2025 quarter, and the company describes the U.S., Australia, and the U.K. as its three main operating geographies.

News Corp's Dow Jones segment earns revenue from a mix of business-to-consumer and business-to-business subscriptions (The Wall Street Journal, Barron's, MarketWatch, Investor's Business Daily), advertising, licensing fees for content used on third-party and AI platforms, and participation fees from live journalism events. Its Digital Real Estate Services segment consists of a 61.4% interest in REA Group — which earns the majority of its revenue from property advertising listings and monthly subscriptions from real estate agents and developers in Australia, plus a 78.0% stake in REA India — and an 80% interest in Move, which operates Realtor.com under a perpetual license from the National Association of Realtors and sells listing advertising, lead generation, and referral-based products mostly on subscription or transaction-fee terms. Book Publishing (HarperCollins) and News Media round out the portfolio, and the company has begun licensing its journalism content to generative-AI platforms as an additional monetization channel.

Show full overview

News Corp discloses that it depends on a single or limited number of third-party suppliers for certain products and services critical to its operations, naming Amazon Web Services for cloud infrastructure and Google for workspace and enterprise services — concentrations in cloud and productivity vendors rather than in content or printing supply chains, where the company also relies on third-party paper suppliers and printing partners. The filing does not disclose a contractual alternative for either cloud vendor, and states that securing replacement sources 'quickly and cost-effectively' cannot be assured if either relationship were disrupted or repriced.

See also: Communication Services · Entertainment

From News Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted August 30, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-05
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202661d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: Amazon Web Services (cloud infrastructure)
Thin upside margin: 3.5%
Near 52-week high (4.0% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)29.5
P/E (Fwd)20.1
Mkt Cap$16.3B
EV/EBITDA13.4
Profit Mgn6.3%
ROE8.0%
Rev Growth10.8%
Beta0.92
Dividend0.65%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.67bullish
IV67%elevated
Max Pain$35+15.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSupplierAmazon Web Services (cloud infrastructure)
    10-K Item 1A: 'The Company relies on Amazon Web Services to supply cloud-based services used in many of the Company's business activities'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
5.2
GatesA.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.3>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 61d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
72 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $28.20Resistance $31.66

Price Targets

$29
$31
A.Upside+3.5%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.5 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (61d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NWSA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $30.38, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.5%; Concentration risk — Supplier: Amazon Web Services (cloud infrastructure). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $29.13. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NWSA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $31.46 (+3.5% upside). Prior stop was $29.13. Stop-loss: $29.13.

What are the risks of investing in NWSA?

Concentration risk — Supplier: Amazon Web Services (cloud infrastructure); Thin upside margin: 3.5%; Near 52-week high (4.0% away).

Is NWSA overvalued or undervalued?

News Corporation trades at a P/E of 29.5 (forward 20.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NWSA?

15 analysts cover NWSA with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $36.

What does News Corporation do?News Corporation is a global, diversified media and information services company operating four core segments — Dow...

News Corporation is a global, diversified media and information services company operating four core segments — Dow Jones, Digital Real Estate Services, Book Publishing, and News Media — under brands including The Wall Street Journal, HarperCollins Publishers, realestate.com.au, and Realtor.com. Headquartered in New York with operations primarily in the U.S., Australia, and the U.K., the company generated approximately $8.45 billion in combined segment revenue in fiscal 2025 and completed the sale of Foxtel in April 2025.

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