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NWSANews CorporationHold5.7·$29.16+0.76%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

News Corporation offers an attractive entry point for patient investors, backed by a compelling free-cash-flow profile and a 3/4 recent earnings beat streak, though confirmed price weakness and a failed momentum gate warrant caution on adding new exposure.

Thesis pillars

  • Value Peg DiscountDeteriorating
  • Fcf Conversion StrengthStable
  • Earnings Beat ConsistencyDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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News Corporation (NWSA) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldShortModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Entertainment

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $29.16, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: Amazon Web Services and Google; Thin upside margin: 6.0%.

News Corp is a global diversified media company operating through five segments — Dow Jones, Digital Real Estate Services, Book Publishing, News Media, and Other — with brands including The Wall Street Journal, HarperCollins, realestate.com.au, and Realtor.com. In fiscal 2025... Read more

$29.16+6.0% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#13 of 34 Entertainment
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield6.63%
IncomeYield0.69%(5y avg 0.88%)Payout19.42%sustainable
Stop $27.40Target $30.92(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.6:1
Analyst target$35.54+21.9%8 analysts
$30.92our TP
$29.16price
$35.54mean
$43

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $29.16, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: Amazon Web Services and Google; Thin upside margin: 6.0%. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 81d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About News Corporation

About News Corporation

News Corp generated $2,331 million from Dow Jones, $2,149 million from Book Publishing, $2,170 million from News Media, and $1,802 million from Digital Real Estate Services in fiscal 2025, a roughly even four-way split. The Wall Street Journal, Barron's Group, and Investor's Business Daily together had 6.26 million total subscriptions as of June 30, 2025, while Realtor.com had approximately 72 million average monthly unique users in the U.S.

News Corp earns revenue from a mix of consumer subscriptions, advertising, real estate listing products, licensing fees, and book royalties across its five segments. Dow Jones sells business-to-consumer subscriptions to The Wall Street Journal, Barron's, and MarketWatch alongside business-to-business products such as Dow Jones Risk & Compliance, Dow Jones Energy, and Factiva, which had approximately 1.1 million activated users as of June 30, 2025. Digital Real Estate Services earns most of its revenue from property advertising listing subscriptions sold to real estate agents and property developers through its 61.4%-owned REA Group in Australia and its 80%-owned Move (operator of Realtor.com) in the U.S., the remaining 20% of which REA Group owns. The company also licenses its content to large technology platforms and AI companies, though it notes not all such license agreements have been renewed on favorable terms. News Corp completed the sale of its Foxtel pay-television business on April 2, 2025, exiting that segment entirely.

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News Corp's operations depend on a small number of external technology vendors rather than a concentrated customer or advertiser base: the 10-K discloses that the company's businesses depend on a single or limited number of third-party suppliers for certain products, services, data, and information, naming Amazon Web Services for cloud infrastructure and Google for workspace and other enterprise services. That dependency compounds a separate, AI-specific risk the filing flags — generative AI chatbots and search tools trained on News Corp's content without permission, attribution, or compensation have already reduced traffic to, and subscriber demand for, its digital products, even as the company simultaneously pursues paid licensing deals with those same AI platforms.

See also: Communication Services · Entertainment

From News Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted August 9, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-16
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202681d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: Amazon Web Services and Google
Thin upside margin: 6.0%
Negative news sentiment (-0.67)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)28.3
P/E (Fwd)19.4
Mkt Cap$15.8B
EV/EBITDA12.9
Profit Mgn6.3%
ROE8.0%
Rev Growth10.8%
Beta0.91
Dividend0.69%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C3.75bearish
IV58%elevated
Max Pain$30+2.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSupplierAmazon Web Services and Google
    10-K Item 1A: 'The Company's businesses depend on a single or limited number of third-party suppliers for certain products, services, data and information ... relies on Amazon Web Services to supply cloud-based services'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
5.2
GatesA.R:R 0.6 < 1.5@spotMomentum 6.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 81d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $26.29Resistance $30.88

Price Targets

$27
$31
A.Upside+6.0%
A.R:R0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 0.6 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (81d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NWSA stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $29.16, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: Amazon Web Services and Google; Thin upside margin: 6.0%. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $30.92 (+6.0%), stop $27.40 (−6.4%), A.R:R 0.6:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NWSA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $30.92 (+6.0% upside). Target $30.92 (+6.0%), stop $27.40 (−6.4%), A.R:R 0.6:1. Stop-loss: $27.40.

What are the risks of investing in NWSA?

Concentration risk — Supplier: Amazon Web Services and Google; Thin upside margin: 6.0%; Negative news sentiment (-0.67).

Is NWSA overvalued or undervalued?

News Corporation trades at a P/E of 28.3 (forward 19.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about NWSA?

15 analysts cover NWSA with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $36.

What does News Corporation do?News Corp is a global diversified media company operating through five segments — Dow Jones, Digital Real Estate...

News Corp is a global diversified media company operating through five segments — Dow Jones, Digital Real Estate Services, Book Publishing, News Media, and Other — with brands including The Wall Street Journal, HarperCollins, realestate.com.au, and Realtor.com. In fiscal 2025 the company generated $2,331 million from Dow Jones, $2,149 million from Book Publishing, $2,170 million from News Media, and $1,802 million from Digital Real Estate Services, and completed the sale of its Foxtel pay-TV business.

Related stocks: MSGE (Madison Square Garden Entertain) · CNK (Cinemark Holdings Inc Cinemark ) · FOX (Fox Corporation) · IMAX (Imax Corporation) · FOXA (Fox Corporation)
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