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Madison Square Garden Entertain (MSGE) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Leisure

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $65.15 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.2% away).

Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp., through its subsidiaries, engages in live entertainment business. The company produces, presents, and hosts live entertainment events, such as concerts, sporting events, family shows, family shows, performing arts events, and special... Read more

$65.15-1.8% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#8 of 13 Leisure
Stop $62.12Target $64.11(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$69.50+6.7%8 analysts
$64.11our TP
$65.15price
$69.50mean
$63
$77

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $65.15 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.2% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.2% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 33.2): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)59.4
P/E (Fwd)25.1
Mkt Cap$3.1B
EV/EBITDA18.6
Profit Mgn5.1%
ROE224.1%
Rev Growth12.9%
Beta0.49
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.86neutral
IV58%elevated
Max Pain$50-23.3% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.1
Support Resistance
0.2
52w Position
10.0
GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dMomentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
72 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $56.68Resistance $65.42

Price Targets

$62
$64
A.Upside-1.6%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-06 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MSGE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $65.15 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (0.2% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $62.12. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MSGE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $64.11 (-1.8% upside). Prior stop was $62.12. Stop-loss: $62.12.

What are the risks of investing in MSGE?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.2% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 33.2): -1.5.

Is MSGE overvalued or undervalued?

Madison Square Garden Entertain trades at a P/E of 59.4 (forward 25.1). TrendMatrix value score: 4.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MSGE?

14 analysts cover MSGE with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $70.

What does Madison Square Garden Entertain do?Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp., through its subsidiaries, engages in live entertainment business. The...

Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp., through its subsidiaries, engages in live entertainment business. The company produces, presents, and hosts live entertainment events, such as concerts, sporting events, family shows, family shows, performing arts events, and special events. It holds a portfolio of venues that include Madison Square Garden, The Theater at Madison Square Garden, Radio City Music Hall, the Beacon Theatre, and The Chicago Theatre. The company also owns and produces the original production, the Christmas Spectacular Starring the Radio City Rockettes. In addition, it engages in the entertainment and sports bookings business that showcase a range of concerts, family shows, and special events, as well as various sporting events. The company was formerly known as MSGE Spinco, Inc. Madison Square Garden Entertainment Corp. was incorporated in 2022 and is based in New York, New York.

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