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NWSANews CorporationHold6.1·$26.68+0.15%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

News Corporation offers an attractive entry point for patient investors, backed by a compelling free-cash-flow profile and a 3/4 recent earnings beat streak, though confirmed price weakness and a failed momentum gate warrant caution on adding new exposure.

Thesis pillars

  • Value Peg DiscountStable
  • Fcf Conversion StrengthStable
  • Earnings Beat ConsistencyStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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News Corporation (NWSA) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Entertainment

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $26.68, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: mixed signals — some dimensions strong, others weak.

News Corporation runs five reportable segments operating primarily in the U.S., Australia, and the U.K.: Dow Jones ($2.3 billion FY2025 revenue), Book Publishing ($2.1 billion), News Media ($2.2 billion), Digital Real Estate Services ($1.8 billion), and Other. The company... Read more

$26.68+14.9% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#5 of 34 Entertainment
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield12.04%
IncomeYield0.75%(5y avg 0.88%)Payout25.32%sustainable
Stop $24.86Target $30.60(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.7:1
Analyst target$35.17+31.8%8 analysts
$30.60our TP
$26.68price
$35.17mean
$43

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $26.68, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: mixed signals — some dimensions strong, others weak. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 30d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-07
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202630d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
No bear case signals

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)33.7
P/E (Fwd)20.6
Mkt Cap$14.5B
EV/EBITDA12.8
Profit Mgn12.9%
ROE6.5%
Rev Growth8.8%
Beta0.90
Dividend0.75%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.88bearish
IV58%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSupplierAmazon Web Services
    10-K Item 1A: 'the Company relies on Amazon Web Services to supply cloud-based services used in many of the Company's business activities'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 5.5>=5.5A.R:R 1.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 30d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $24.34Resistance $27.62

Price Targets

$25
$31
A.Upside+14.7%
A.R:R1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts15
Consensus4.3/5
Avg Target$35

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (30d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NWSA stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $26.68, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: mixed signals — some dimensions strong, others weak. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $30.60 (+14.7%), stop $24.86 (−7.3%), A.R:R 1.7:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NWSA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $30.60 (+14.9% upside). Target $30.60 (+14.7%), stop $24.86 (−7.3%), A.R:R 1.7:1. Stop-loss: $24.86.

Is NWSA overvalued or undervalued?

News Corporation trades at a P/E of 33.7 (forward 20.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about NWSA?

15 analysts cover NWSA with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $35.

What does News Corporation do?News Corporation runs five reportable segments operating primarily in the U.S., Australia, and the U.K.: Dow Jones...

News Corporation runs five reportable segments operating primarily in the U.S., Australia, and the U.K.: Dow Jones ($2.3 billion FY2025 revenue), Book Publishing ($2.1 billion), News Media ($2.2 billion), Digital Real Estate Services ($1.8 billion), and Other. The company monetizes content through subscriptions, advertising, listing products, and licensing. It completed the sale of Foxtel on April 2, 2025, exiting subscription video services.

Related stocks: CNK (Cinemark Holdings Inc Cinemark ) · WMG (Warner Music Group Corp.) · NWS (News Corporation) · ROKU (Roku, Inc.) · TKO (TKO Group Holdings, Inc.)
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