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NWSANews CorporationHold6.3·$26.76+1.63%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

News Corporation offers an attractive entry point for patient investors, backed by a compelling free-cash-flow profile and a 3/4 recent earnings beat streak, though confirmed price weakness and a failed momentum gate warrant caution on adding new exposure.

Thesis pillars

  • Value Peg DiscountStable
  • Fcf Conversion StrengthStable
  • Earnings Beat ConsistencyStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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News Corporation (NWSA) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldGrowthModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Entertainment

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $26.76, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum.

News Corporation runs five reportable segments operating primarily in the U.S., Australia, and the U.K.: Dow Jones ($2.3 billion FY2025 revenue), Book Publishing ($2.1 billion), News Media ($2.2 billion), Digital Real Estate Services ($1.8 billion), and Other. The company... Read more

$26.76+14.4% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#4 of 35 Entertainment
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield12.03%
IncomeYield0.76%(5y avg 0.88%)Payout25.32%sustainable
Stop $25.42Target $30.60(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.8:1
Analyst target$35.17+31.4%8 analysts
$30.60our TP
$26.76price
$35.17mean
$43

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $26.76, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-27
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 20269d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Positive insider activity
Risks
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)33.9
P/E (Fwd)20.7
Mkt Cap$14.5B
EV/EBITDA12.9
Profit Mgn12.9%
ROE6.5%
Rev Growth8.8%
Beta0.90
Dividend0.76%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.08bullish
IV49%normal
Max Pain$25-6.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSupplierAmazon Web Services
    10-K Item 1A: 'the Company relies on Amazon Web Services to supply cloud-based services used in many of the Company's business activities'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
1.5
Macd
2.0
Ma Position
5.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-MA but MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 9d<=14d (soft)A.R:R 1.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
51 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $24.59Resistance $28.98

Price Targets

$25
$31
A.Upside+14.4%
A.R:R1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (9d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NWSA stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $26.76, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $30.60 (+14.3%), stop $25.42 (−5.3%), A.R:R 1.8:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NWSA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $30.60 (+14.4% upside). Target $30.60 (+14.3%), stop $25.42 (−5.3%), A.R:R 1.8:1. Stop-loss: $25.42.

What are the risks of investing in NWSA?

Negative momentum.

Is NWSA overvalued or undervalued?

News Corporation trades at a P/E of 33.9 (forward 20.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about NWSA?

15 analysts cover NWSA with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $35.

What does News Corporation do?News Corporation runs five reportable segments operating primarily in the U.S., Australia, and the U.K.: Dow Jones...

News Corporation runs five reportable segments operating primarily in the U.S., Australia, and the U.K.: Dow Jones ($2.3 billion FY2025 revenue), Book Publishing ($2.1 billion), News Media ($2.2 billion), Digital Real Estate Services ($1.8 billion), and Other. The company monetizes content through subscriptions, advertising, listing products, and licensing. It completed the sale of Foxtel on April 2, 2025, exiting subscription video services.

Related stocks: SPHR (Sphere Entertainment Co.) · CNK (Cinemark Holdings Inc Cinemark ) · WMG (Warner Music Group Corp.) · TKO (TKO Group Holdings, Inc.) · NWS (News Corporation)
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