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News Corporation (NWSA) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Entertainment

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $25.99 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8.

News Corporation is a diversified media company with segments in Dow Jones (WSJ, Barron's, Factiva; $2.33B revenue), Digital Real Estate Services (REA Group Australia, Realtor.com US; $1.80B), Book Publishing (HarperCollins; $2.15B), and News Media ($2.17B). Revenue comes from... Read more

$25.99+16.2% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#2 of 28 Entertainment
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield12.15%
IncomeYield0.76%(5y avg 0.88%)Payout25.32%sustainable
Stop $24.64Target $30.49(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.6:1
Analyst target$35.05+34.9%8 analysts
$30.49our TP
$25.99price
$35.05mean
$43

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $25.99 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — News Corporation

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)33.3
P/E (Fwd)20.6
Mkt Cap$14.4B
EV/EBITDA12.6
Profit Mgn12.9%
ROE6.5%
Rev Growth8.8%
Beta0.90
Dividend0.76%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.20bullish
IV59%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSupplierAmazon Web Services and Google (cloud and workspace services)
    10-K Item 1A: 'the Company relies on Amazon Web Services to supply cloud-based services used in many of the Company's business activities and Google to provide workspace and other enterprise services'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
1.7
Macd
2.0
Ma Position
3.0
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.8%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 2.4<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 77d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $25.27Resistance $27.73

Price Targets

$25
$30
A.Upside+17.3%
A.R:R2.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (77d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NWSA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $25.99 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: RSI 50 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $24.64. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NWSA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $30.49 (+16.2% upside). Prior stop was $24.64. Stop-loss: $24.64.

What are the risks of investing in NWSA?

Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8; Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is NWSA overvalued or undervalued?

News Corporation trades at a P/E of 33.3 (forward 20.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NWSA?

15 analysts cover NWSA with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $35.

What does News Corporation do?News Corporation is a diversified media company with segments in Dow Jones (WSJ, Barron's, Factiva; $2.33B revenue),...

News Corporation is a diversified media company with segments in Dow Jones (WSJ, Barron's, Factiva; $2.33B revenue), Digital Real Estate Services (REA Group Australia, Realtor.com US; $1.80B), Book Publishing (HarperCollins; $2.15B), and News Media ($2.17B). Revenue comes from subscriptions, advertising, real estate listings, and licensing; operations are primarily in the U.S., Australia, and the U.K.

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