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Cinemark Holdings Inc Cinemark (CNK) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Communication Services · Entertainment

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $26.30 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 7.7): -1.5; Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8.

We are a leader and one of the most geographically diverse operators in the theatrical exhibition industry. As of December 31, 2025, we operated 496 theaters and 5,637 screens in the United States, or "U.S.", and Latin America. Our U.S. circuit operated 303 theaters and 4,241... Read more

$26.30+12.5% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#3 of 28 Entertainment
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield7.49%
IncomeYield1.34%(5y avg 4.05%)Payout26.15%sustainable
Stop $25.01Target $29.58(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.5:1
Analyst target$34.00+29.3%11 analysts
$29.58our TP
$26.30price
$34.00mean
$23
$37

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $26.30 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 7.7): -1.5; Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 6.1/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 72d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Cinemark Holdings Inc Cinemark

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8
Leverage penalty (D/E 7.7): -1.5
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.6
P/E (Fwd)10.9
Mkt Cap$3.1B
EV/EBITDA9.8
Profit Mgn5.3%
ROE46.6%
Rev Growth18.9%
Beta1.04
Dividend1.34%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.02bullish
IV46%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.8
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.0
Volume
2.6
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA (recent, shallow — too early to call)

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.6
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.2
Dividend: 134.0%
GatesMomentum 2.0<4.5A.R:R 1.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 72d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
31 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $25.78Resistance $29.82

Price Targets

$25
$30
A.Upside+12.5%
A.R:R1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (72d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CNK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $26.30 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 7.7): -1.5; Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $25.01. Score 6.1/10, high confidence.

What is the CNK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $29.58 (+12.5% upside). Prior stop was $25.01. Stop-loss: $25.01.

What are the risks of investing in CNK?

Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8; Leverage penalty (D/E 7.7): -1.5; Negative momentum.

Is CNK overvalued or undervalued?

Cinemark Holdings Inc Cinemark trades at a P/E of 20.6 (forward 10.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CNK?

17 analysts cover CNK with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $34.

What does Cinemark Holdings Inc Cinemark do?We are a leader and one of the most geographically diverse operators in the theatrical exhibition industry. As of...

We are a leader and one of the most geographically diverse operators in the theatrical exhibition industry. As of December 31, 2025, we operated 496 theaters and 5,637 screens in the United States, or "U.S.", and Latin America. Our U.S. circuit operated 303 theaters and 4,241 screens and our Latin America circuit operated 193 theaters and 1,396 screens across 13 countries. Our significant and diverse presence in the U.S.

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