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Cinemark Holdings Inc Cinemark (CNK) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Entertainment

Earnings in 1 day (2026-05-01). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $27.56. At $29.05 the A.R:R is 0.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $27.56 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 7.2): -1.5.

We are a leader and one of the most geographically diverse operators in the theatrical exhibition industry. As of December 31, 2025, we operated 496 theaters and 5,637 screens in the United States, or "U.S.", and Latin America. Our U.S. circuit operated 303 theaters and 4,241... Read more

$29.05+5.7% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#6 of 27 Entertainment
Entry $27.56(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $25.82Target $29.18(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.1:1Setup A.R:R 1.8:1
Analyst target$33.55+15.5%11 analysts
$29.18our TP
$29.05price
$33.55mean
$23
$37

Wait for pullback to $27.56. At $29.05 the A.R:R is 0.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $27.56 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 7.2): -1.5. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 1d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 7.2): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.9
P/E (Fwd)11.9
Mkt Cap$3.4B
EV/EBITDA11.0
Profit Mgn4.4%
ROE27.8%
Rev Growth-4.7%
Beta1.09
Dividend1.24%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.20bearish
IV58%elevated
Max Pain$21-27.7% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 1d<=7dMomentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.6>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
35 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $27.55Resistance $31.08

Price Targets

$26
$28
$29
A.Upside+0.4%
A.R:R0.1:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.4% upside)
! Earnings in 1 day - binary event risk
! Reward/Risk 0.1:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-01 (1d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CNK stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $27.56. At $29.05 the A.R:R is 0.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $27.56 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 7.2): -1.5. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. Target $29.18 (+0.4%), stop $25.82 (−12.5%), Setup A.R:R 1.8:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CNK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $29.18 (+5.7% upside). Target $29.18 (+0.4%), stop $25.82 (−12.5%), Setup A.R:R 1.8:1. Stop-loss: $25.82.

What are the risks of investing in CNK?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 7.2): -1.5.

Is CNK overvalued or undervalued?

Cinemark Holdings Inc Cinemark trades at a P/E of 27.9 (forward 11.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about CNK?

17 analysts cover CNK with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $34.

What does Cinemark Holdings Inc Cinemark do?We are a leader and one of the most geographically diverse operators in the theatrical exhibition industry. As of...

We are a leader and one of the most geographically diverse operators in the theatrical exhibition industry. As of December 31, 2025, we operated 496 theaters and 5,637 screens in the United States, or "U.S.", and Latin America. Our U.S. circuit operated 303 theaters and 4,241 screens and our Latin America circuit operated 193 theaters and 1,396 screens across 13 countries. Our significant and diverse presence in the U.S.

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