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Madison Square Garden Sports Co (MSGS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Entertainment

Earnings in 1 day (2026-05-01). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $333.81: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.67; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Madison Square Garden Sports Corp., is a Nevada corporation with our principal executive offices at Two Pennsylvania Plaza, New York, NY 10121. Unless the context otherwise requires, all references to "we," "us," "our," "MSG Sports" or the "Company" refer collectively to Madison... Read more

$333.81+1.6% A.UpsideScore 4.4/10#25 of 27 Entertainment
Stop $316.49Target $338.57(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$378.17+13.3%6 analysts
$338.57our TP
$333.81price
$378.17mean
$295
$430

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $333.81: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.67; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 1d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-1.3% upside)
Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)1765.3
Mkt Cap$7.9B
EV/EBITDA1216.9
Profit Mgn-1.5%
ROE
Rev Growth12.8%
Beta0.56
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.67bearish
IV51%elevated
Max Pain$120-64.1% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-18Item 5.02MEDIUM
    On February 17, 2026, Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. (the "Company") and Victoria Mink, the Company's Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer, agreed that Ms. Mink will leave the Company. The Company will commence a search for a successor. Ms.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Unprofitable operations — net margin -1.5%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Net Margin
0.0
Roa
0.1
Current Ratio
1.9
Operating Margin
2.2
Gross Margin
2.6
Moat
5.0
Piotroski F
8.9
No competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9Quality concerns

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.5
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2MEarnings in 1 days

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
1.2
Quality Rank
1.9
Growth Rank
6.0
GatesMomentum 3.2<4.5A.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 1d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $315.17Resistance $345.48

Price Targets

$316
$339
A.Upside+1.4%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.3% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 3.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-01 (1d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MSGS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $333.81: Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.67; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $316.49. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MSGS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $338.57 (+1.6% upside). Prior stop was $316.49. Stop-loss: $316.49.

What are the risks of investing in MSGS?

Target reached (-1.3% upside); Quality below floor (3.0 < 4.0).

Is MSGS overvalued or undervalued?

Madison Square Garden Sports Co trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 1765.3). TrendMatrix value score: 4.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MSGS?

15 analysts cover MSGS with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $378.

What does Madison Square Garden Sports Co do?Madison Square Garden Sports Corp., is a Nevada corporation with our principal executive offices at Two Pennsylvania...

Madison Square Garden Sports Corp., is a Nevada corporation with our principal executive offices at Two Pennsylvania Plaza, New York, NY 10121. Unless the context otherwise requires, all references to "we," "us," "our," "MSG Sports" or the "Company" refer collectively to Madison Square Garden Sports Corp., a holding company, and its direct and indirect subsidiaries.

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