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Madison Square Garden Sports Co (MSGS) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Entertainment

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $351.84: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.25; Below-average business quality.

Madison Square Garden Sports Corp., is a Nevada corporation with our principal executive offices at Two Pennsylvania Plaza, New York, NY 10121. Unless the context otherwise requires, all references to "we," "us," "our," "MSG Sports" or the "Company" refer collectively to Madison... Read more

$351.84+0.4% A.UpsideScore 4.2/10#27 of 28 Entertainment
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield0.59%
Stop $327.21Target $353.24(resistance)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst target$385.17+9.5%6 analysts
$353.24our TP
$351.84price
$385.17mean
$295
$430

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $351.84: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.25; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity 86d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Madison Square Garden Sports Co

Material events (past 30 days)

  • May 4, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: Appointment of Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer On April 28, 2026, the Board of Directors of Madison Square Garden Sports Corp.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Target reached (-4.8% upside)
Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-1128.9
Mkt Cap$8.5B
EV/EBITDA-438.2
Profit Mgn-2.1%
ROE
Rev Growth1.9%
Beta0.56
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C2.25bearish
IV35%normal

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-04Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Appointment of Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer On April 28, 2026, the Board of Directors of Madison Square Garden Sports Corp.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-18Item 5.02MEDIUM
    On February 17, 2026, Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. (the "Company") and Victoria Mink, the Company's Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer, agreed that Ms. Mink will leave the Company. The Company will commence a search for a successor. Ms.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Unprofitable operations — net margin -2.1%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.3
Gross Margin
1.9
Current Ratio
1.9
Moat
4.4
Piotroski F
4.4
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.7
Quality Rank
2.2
Growth Rank
2.9

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.0
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesA.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY 86d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $320.57Resistance $360.45

Price Targets

$327
$353
A.Upside+0.4%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.8% upside)
! Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-12 (86d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MSGS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $351.84: Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 2.25; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $327.21. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MSGS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $353.24 (+0.4% upside). Prior stop was $327.21. Stop-loss: $327.21.

What are the risks of investing in MSGS?

Target reached (-4.8% upside); Quality below floor (1.8 < 4.0).

Is MSGS overvalued or undervalued?

Madison Square Garden Sports Co trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -1128.9). TrendMatrix value score: 4.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MSGS?

15 analysts cover MSGS with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $385.

What does Madison Square Garden Sports Co do?Madison Square Garden Sports Corp., is a Nevada corporation with our principal executive offices at Two Pennsylvania...

Madison Square Garden Sports Corp., is a Nevada corporation with our principal executive offices at Two Pennsylvania Plaza, New York, NY 10121. Unless the context otherwise requires, all references to "we," "us," "our," "MSG Sports" or the "Company" refer collectively to Madison Square Garden Sports Corp., a holding company, and its direct and indirect subsidiaries.

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