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Fox Corporation (FOXA) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Communication Services · Entertainment

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $63.21 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak growth.

Fox Corporation (Class A shares) is a U.S. news, sports, and entertainment company operating Cable Network Programming and Television segments under brands including FOX News Media, FOX Sports, Tubi, and FOX Television Stations. Revenue from affiliate fees and advertising... Read more

$63.21+1.1% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#14 of 27 Entertainment
Stop $60.27Target $63.90(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst target$71.00+12.3%17 analysts
$63.90our TP
$63.21price
$71.00mean
$45
$97

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $63.21 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak growth. Chart setup: RSI 60 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.1
P/E (Fwd)12.2
Mkt Cap$26.8B
EV/EBITDA9.2
Profit Mgn11.4%
ROE16.8%
Rev Growth2.0%
Beta0.51
Dividend0.89%
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C2.00bearish
IV55%elevated
Max Pain$55-13.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerlimited number of distributors
    10-K Item 1A: 'the Company derives a significant portion of its revenues from a limited number of distributors'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
3.0
GatesMomentum 4.0<4.5A.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 11d<=14d (soft)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
60 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $57.19Resistance $66.00

Price Targets

$60
$64
A.Upside+1.1%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.1% upside)
! Momentum score 4.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.1:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-11 (11d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FOXA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $63.21 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Weak growth. Chart setup: RSI 60 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $60.27. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FOXA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $63.90 (+1.1% upside). Prior stop was $60.27. Stop-loss: $60.27.

What are the risks of investing in FOXA?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Weak growth.

Is FOXA overvalued or undervalued?

Fox Corporation trades at a P/E of 15.1 (forward 12.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FOXA?

28 analysts cover FOXA with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $71.

What does Fox Corporation do?Fox Corporation (Class A shares) is a U.S. news, sports, and entertainment company operating Cable Network Programming...

Fox Corporation (Class A shares) is a U.S. news, sports, and entertainment company operating Cable Network Programming and Television segments under brands including FOX News Media, FOX Sports, Tubi, and FOX Television Stations. Revenue from affiliate fees and advertising depends heavily on MVPD distributor contracts and sports rights renewals.

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