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NWSNews CorporationHold5.8·$30.02-0.50%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

News Corporation beats earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, converts 153% of net income to free cash flow, and carries a strong Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, but the stock is in a confirmed downtrend with the 200-day moving average declining at negative 1.7% per month and 17% short interest.

Thesis pillars

  • Superior Free Cash Flow ConversionStable
  • Earnings Beat ConsistencyStable
  • Confirmed Price DowntrendStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

News Corporation (NWS) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Entertainment

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $30.02, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: mixed signals — some dimensions strong, others weak.

News Corporation runs five reportable segments operating primarily in the U.S., Australia, and the U.K.: Dow Jones ($2.3 billion FY2025 revenue), Book Publishing ($2.1 billion), News Media ($2.2 billion), Digital Real Estate Services ($1.8 billion), and Other. The company... Read more

$30.02+2.8% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#6 of 34 Entertainment
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield10.63%
IncomeYield0.66%(5y avg 0.84%)Payout25.32%sustainable
Stop $28.20Target $30.86(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $30.02, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: mixed signals — some dimensions strong, others weak. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 56, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 30d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-07
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202630d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
No bear case signals

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)38.2
P/E (Fwd)23.4
Mkt Cap$16.4B
EV/EBITDA14.3
Profit Mgn12.9%
ROE6.5%
Rev Growth8.8%
Beta0.90
Dividend0.66%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.36bullish
IV110%elevated
Max Pain$40+33.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSupplierAmazon Web Services
    10-K Item 1A: 'the Company relies on Amazon Web Services to supply cloud-based services used in many of the Company's business activities'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Momentum 4.8>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 30d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $27.78Resistance $31.49

Price Targets

$28
$31
A.Upside+2.8%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts15
Consensus4.3/5
Avg Target

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (30d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NWS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $30.02, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: mixed signals — some dimensions strong, others weak. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 56, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $30.86 (+2.8%), stop $28.20 (−6.5%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NWS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $30.86 (+2.8% upside). Target $30.86 (+2.8%), stop $28.20 (−6.5%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $28.20.

Is NWS overvalued or undervalued?

News Corporation trades at a P/E of 38.2 (forward 23.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about NWS?

15 analysts cover NWS with a consensus score of 4.3/5.

What does News Corporation do?News Corporation runs five reportable segments operating primarily in the U.S., Australia, and the U.K.: Dow Jones...

News Corporation runs five reportable segments operating primarily in the U.S., Australia, and the U.K.: Dow Jones ($2.3 billion FY2025 revenue), Book Publishing ($2.1 billion), News Media ($2.2 billion), Digital Real Estate Services ($1.8 billion), and Other. The company monetizes content through subscriptions, advertising, listing products, and licensing. It completed the sale of Foxtel on April 2, 2025, exiting subscription video services.

Related stocks: CNK (Cinemark Holdings Inc Cinemark ) · WMG (Warner Music Group Corp.) · NWSA (News Corporation) · IMAX (Imax Corporation) · SPHR (Sphere Entertainment Co.)
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