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NWSNews CorporationSell5.5·$31.56
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

News Corporation beats earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters, converts 153% of net income to free cash flow, and carries a strong Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, but the stock is in a confirmed downtrend with the 200-day moving average declining at negative 1.7% per month and 17% short interest.

Thesis pillars

  • Superior Free Cash Flow Conversion→Stable
  • Earnings Beat Consistency→Stable
  • Confirmed Price Downtrend↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

News Corporation (NWS) Stock Analysis

SellQualityShortModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Entertainment

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $31.56 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Supplier: Amazon Web Services and Google; Concentration risk — Geographic: United States, Australia and the U.K..

News Corporation is a global media and information services company operating five segments — Dow Jones (The Wall Street Journal, Barron's, Factiva), Digital Real Estate Services (REA Group, Realtor.com), Book Publishing (HarperCollins), News Media, and Other — distributing... Read more

$31.56+10.7% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#17 of 33 Entertainment
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield6.25%
IncomeYield0.62%(5y avg 0.83%)Payout19.42%sustainable
Stop $30.23Target $34.94(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $31.56 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Supplier: Amazon Web Services and Google; Concentration risk — Geographic: United States, Australia and the U.K.. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 42d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About News Corporation

About News Corporation

News Corporation reported fiscal 2025 segment revenue of $2,331 million at Dow Jones, $1,802 million at Digital Real Estate Services, $2,149 million at Book Publishing, and $2,170 million at News Media, with brands including The Wall Street Journal, Barron's, HarperCollins, realestate.com.au, and Realtor.com. Dow Jones counted 6.26 million average daily consumer subscriptions in the June 2025 quarter, and the company describes the U.S., Australia, and the U.K. as its three main operating geographies.

News Corp's Dow Jones segment earns revenue from a mix of business-to-consumer and business-to-business subscriptions (The Wall Street Journal, Barron's, MarketWatch, Investor's Business Daily), advertising, licensing fees for content used on third-party and AI platforms, and participation fees from live journalism events. Its Digital Real Estate Services segment consists of a 61.4% interest in REA Group — which earns the majority of its revenue from property advertising listings and monthly subscriptions from real estate agents and developers in Australia, plus a 78.0% stake in REA India — and an 80% interest in Move, which operates Realtor.com under a perpetual license from the National Association of Realtors and sells listing advertising, lead generation, and referral-based products mostly on subscription or transaction-fee terms. Book Publishing (HarperCollins) and News Media round out the portfolio, and the company has begun licensing its journalism content to generative-AI platforms as an additional monetization channel.

Show full overview

News Corp discloses that it depends on a single or limited number of third-party suppliers for certain products and services critical to its operations, naming Amazon Web Services for cloud infrastructure and Google for workspace and enterprise services — concentrations in cloud and productivity vendors rather than in content or printing supply chains, where the company also relies on third-party paper suppliers and printing partners. The filing does not disclose a contractual alternative for either cloud vendor, and states that securing replacement sources 'quickly and cost-effectively' cannot be assured if either relationship were disrupted or repriced.

See also: Communication Services · Entertainment

From News Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted August 30, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-25
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202642d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: Amazon Web Services and Google
Concentration risk — Geographic: United States, Australia and the U.K.
Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)31.5
P/E (Fwd)20.7
Mkt Cap$16.7B
EV/EBITDA13.8
Profit Mgn6.3%
ROE8.0%
Rev Growth10.8%
Beta0.92
Dividend0.62%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.43bullish
IV70%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSupplierAmazon Web Services and Google
    10-K Item 1A: 'The Company relies on Amazon Web Services to supply cloud-based services used in many of the Company’s business activities and Google to provide workspace and other enterprise services.'
  • HIGHGeographicUnited States, Australia and the U.K.
    10-K Item 1A: 'The Company is particularly exposed to business risks in the U.S., Australia and the U.K., its three main operating geographies.'
  • MEDIUMCustomerretail, technology and finance advertising sectors
    10-K Item 1A: 'Certain sectors of the economy account for a significant portion of the Company’s advertising revenues, including retail, technology and finance.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
5.2

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.6
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.3
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 26)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 42d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
26 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $31.16Resistance $35.65

Price Targets

$30
$35
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (42d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NWS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $31.56 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Supplier: Amazon Web Services and Google; Concentration risk — Geographic: United States, Australia and the U.K.. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $30.23. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NWS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $34.94 (+10.7% upside). Prior stop was $30.23. Stop-loss: $30.23.

What are the risks of investing in NWS?

Concentration risk — Supplier: Amazon Web Services and Google; Concentration risk — Geographic: United States, Australia and the U.K.; Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8.

Is NWS overvalued or undervalued?

News Corporation trades at a P/E of 31.5 (forward 20.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NWS?

15 analysts cover NWS with a consensus score of 4.3/5.

What does News Corporation do?News Corporation is a global media and information services company operating five segments — Dow Jones (The Wall...

News Corporation is a global media and information services company operating five segments — Dow Jones (The Wall Street Journal, Barron's, Factiva), Digital Real Estate Services (REA Group, Realtor.com), Book Publishing (HarperCollins), News Media, and Other — distributing content via subscriptions, advertising, real estate listings, and licensing across the U.S., Australia, and the U.K.

Related stocks: CNK (Cinemark Holdings Inc Cinemark ) · FOXA (Fox Corporation) · MSGE (Madison Square Garden Entertain) · ROKU (Roku, Inc.) · FOX (Fox Corporation)
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