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NOWServiceNow, Inc.Hold5.7·$105.89+0.09%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

ServiceNow offers an exceptional underlying business — free cash flow converting at 291% of net income, a wide economic moat, and 22% revenue growth — but the stock is in a confirmed technical downtrend marked by a death cross, and the most recent earnings quarter delivered a miss after three consecutive beats, making the near-term setup unfavorable despite the compelling fundamental quality.

Thesis pillars

  • Geographic Concentration RiskStable
  • Strong Underlying Revenue GrowthStable
  • Exceptional Free Cash ConversionStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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ServiceNow, Inc. (NOW) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $105.89, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

ServiceNow provides cloud-based enterprise workflow automation software across four product groups — Technology, CRM and Industry, Core Business, and Creator and Other — serving enterprises globally. Revenues are recognized over subscription terms, with sales outside of North... Read more

$105.89+22.1% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#66 of 124 Software - Application
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.66%
Stop $98.88Target $129.83(analyst − 8%)A.R:R 1.5:1
Analyst target$141.12+33.3%46 analysts
$129.83our TP
$105.89price
$141.12mean
$85
$236

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $105.89, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 54. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 19d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About ServiceNow, Inc.

About ServiceNow, Inc.

ServiceNow organized its 2025 product portfolio into four groups — Technology, CRM and Industry, Core Business, and Creator and Other — across six named industry verticals including financial services, healthcare, manufacturing, public sector, retail, and technology. Sales outside of North America represented 37% of total revenues in both 2025 and 2024, indicating that North America remains the dominant revenue geography. The company ships two major platform upgrades annually, each expanding AI and workflow automation capabilities across all product groups.

ServiceNow earns revenue primarily from cloud-based subscriptions recognized over the subscription term, supplemented by professional services. An increasing portion of revenues flows through a partner network of resellers, distributors, and managed service providers that also provide implementation and support services alongside the direct enterprise sales force. The company entered into agreements with public cloud service providers to host customer instances, with performance commitments to those providers. Competition comes from large enterprise software vendors with greater resources, from cloud-native and AI-native point-solution entrants that may build competing workflow or automation products, and from customers' own internal development efforts. In the United States, federal business has been concentrated with a small number of third-party distributors and resellers; if one of those parties is limited by its own regulatory or legal issue, the company acknowledges the resulting business could not easily be redirected.

Show full overview

ServiceNow disclosed that it informed certain U.S. government agencies of an internal investigation and that the Department of Justice subsequently commenced its own inquiry (referenced in Note 18 of the financial statements); potential remedies include contract termination, forfeiture of profits, fines, and debarment from future government work. The EU AI Act simultaneously imposes new requirements on AI technology providers with staggered compliance deadlines, and the Trans-Atlantic Data Privacy Framework — which facilitates data transfers between the United States and the European Union — may face legal challenges that could disrupt cross-border data-handling obligations. These regulatory overlays subject the company to compliance costs and potential business disruption depending on how enforcement interpretations evolve.

See also: Technology · Software - Application

From ServiceNow, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 22, 202619d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Wide economic moat
Risks
Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)63.3
P/E (Fwd)21.2
Mkt Cap$109.6B
EV/EBITDA37.0
Profit Mgn12.6%
ROE16.1%
Rev Growth22.1%
Beta0.93
DividendNone
Rating analysts54

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.73neutral
IV81%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicsales outside of North America37%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Sales outside of North America represented 37% of our total revenues for each of the years ended December 31, 2025 and 2024'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-22Item 5.02LOW
    At the May 21, 2026 Annual Shareholders Meeting, ServiceNow shareholders approved amendments to the Amended and Restated 2021 Equity Incentive Plan increasing the available share reserve by 38,000,000 shares. No officer departure or appointment cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.1
Bollinger
3.6
Support Resistance
5.2

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
1.9
Quality Rank
6.5
Growth Rank
7.0
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.5>=5.5A.R:R 1.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 19d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $89.39Resistance $124.80

Price Targets

$99
$130
A.Upside+22.6%
A.R:R1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts54
Consensus4.1/5
Avg Target$141

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (19d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NOW stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $105.89, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 54. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $129.83 (+22.6%), stop $98.88 (−7.1%), A.R:R 1.5:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NOW stock price target?

Take-profit target: $129.83 (+22.1% upside). Target $129.83 (+22.6%), stop $98.88 (−7.1%), A.R:R 1.5:1. Stop-loss: $98.88.

What are the risks of investing in NOW?

Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is NOW overvalued or undervalued?

ServiceNow, Inc. trades at a P/E of 63.3 (forward 21.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about NOW?

54 analysts cover NOW with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $141.

What does ServiceNow, Inc. do?ServiceNow provides cloud-based enterprise workflow automation software across four product groups — Technology, CRM...

ServiceNow provides cloud-based enterprise workflow automation software across four product groups — Technology, CRM and Industry, Core Business, and Creator and Other — serving enterprises globally. Revenues are recognized over subscription terms, with sales outside of North America representing 37% of total revenues in 2025.

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