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NOWServiceNow, Inc.Sell5.3·$104.08+1.88%
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ServiceNow, Inc. (NOW) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $104.08 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Concentration risk — Geographic: North America (63.0%).

ServiceNow provides an AI-powered enterprise software platform that automates workflows and integrates systems across IT, HR, customer service, finance, and security operations for large organizations globally. Revenue is primarily from subscription contracts, with North America... Read more

$104.08+25.3% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#76 of 98 Software - Application
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.85%
Stop $96.88Target $130.51(analyst − 8%)A.R:R 1.7:1
Analyst target$141.86+36.3%44 analysts
$130.51our TP
$104.08price
$141.86mean
$85
$236

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $104.08 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Concentration risk — Geographic: North America (63.0%). Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity 37d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About ServiceNow, Inc.

About ServiceNow, Inc.

ServiceNow organized its 2025 product portfolio into four groups — Technology, CRM and Industry, Core Business, and Creator and Other — across six named industry verticals including financial services, healthcare, manufacturing, public sector, retail, and technology. Sales outside of North America represented 37% of total revenues in both 2025 and 2024, indicating that North America remains the dominant revenue geography. The company ships two major platform upgrades annually, each expanding AI and workflow automation capabilities across all product groups.

ServiceNow earns revenue primarily from cloud-based subscriptions recognized over the subscription term, supplemented by professional services. An increasing portion of revenues flows through a partner network of resellers, distributors, and managed service providers that also provide implementation and support services alongside the direct enterprise sales force. The company entered into agreements with public cloud service providers to host customer instances, with performance commitments to those providers. Competition comes from large enterprise software vendors with greater resources, from cloud-native and AI-native point-solution entrants that may build competing workflow or automation products, and from customers' own internal development efforts. In the United States, federal business has been concentrated with a small number of third-party distributors and resellers; if one of those parties is limited by its own regulatory or legal issue, the company acknowledges the resulting business could not easily be redirected.

Show full overview

ServiceNow disclosed that it informed certain U.S. government agencies of an internal investigation and that the Department of Justice subsequently commenced its own inquiry (referenced in Note 18 of the financial statements); potential remedies include contract termination, forfeiture of profits, fines, and debarment from future government work. The EU AI Act simultaneously imposes new requirements on AI technology providers with staggered compliance deadlines, and the Trans-Atlantic Data Privacy Framework — which facilitates data transfers between the United States and the European Union — may face legal challenges that could disrupt cross-border data-handling obligations. These regulatory overlays subject the company to compliance costs and potential business disruption depending on how enforcement interpretations evolve.

See also: Technology · Software - Application

From ServiceNow, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 22, 202637d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Wide economic moat
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: North America (63.0%)
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)60.8
P/E (Fwd)20.3
Mkt Cap$105.3B
EV/EBITDA35.5
Profit Mgn12.6%
ROE16.1%
Rev Growth22.1%
Beta0.93
DividendNone
Rating analysts54

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.36bullish
IV69%elevated
Max Pain$232+122.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicNorth America63%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Sales outside of North America represented 37% of our total revenues for each of the years ended December 31, 2025 and 2024.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-11Item 5.02LOW
    Danielle Fontaine appointed Chief Accounting Officer and Corporate Controller effective February 17, 2026. Kevin McBride promoted to EVP Accounting and Corporate Services with new responsibilities. Annual base salary $420,000.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
3.0
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.9%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
2.0
Quality Rank
6.3
Growth Rank
6.8
GatesMomentum 1.7<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 1.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY 37d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $97.50Resistance $139.20

Price Targets

$97
$131
A.Upside+25.4%
A.R:R1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 1.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (37d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NOW stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $104.08 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Concentration risk — Geographic: North America (63.0%). Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $96.88. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NOW stock price target?

Take-profit target: $130.51 (+25.3% upside). Prior stop was $96.88. Stop-loss: $96.88.

What are the risks of investing in NOW?

Concentration risk — Geographic: North America (63.0%); Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is NOW overvalued or undervalued?

ServiceNow, Inc. trades at a P/E of 60.8 (forward 20.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NOW?

54 analysts cover NOW with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $142.

What does ServiceNow, Inc. do?ServiceNow provides an AI-powered enterprise software platform that automates workflows and integrates systems across...

ServiceNow provides an AI-powered enterprise software platform that automates workflows and integrates systems across IT, HR, customer service, finance, and security operations for large organizations globally. Revenue is primarily from subscription contracts, with North America representing approximately 63% of revenues and sales outside North America representing 37% in 2025. The company is under DOJ investigation related to government contracting practices at certain US federal distributors.

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